Will S&P 500 Open Up Or Down On March 16? Traders Lean On Higher Opening As Trump Issues NATO Warning, Oil Hovers Near $100

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The S&P 500 closed Friday’s session in a precarious position after hitting its lowest close of 2026 earlier in the last week. However, heading into the Monday open, a wave of late-weekend optimism has shifted the narrative.

The Polygon-based (CRYPTO: POL) Polymarket crowd has turned decisively bullish for the March 16 open. The market currently reflects a 75% chance of an “Up” open, a 26% change in confidence over the last 24 hours. Early trading volume for this specific bet has reached $17,799.

Why That Number Matters

Geopolitical maneuvers are once again the primary driver of market sentiment. On Sunday evening, President Donald Trump increased pressure on global allies, warning NATO of a “very bad” future if they do not provide military assets—including …

Full story available on Benzinga.com

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