Emanuel Fabian, the Times of Israel’s military correspondent, says Polymarket bettors sent him death threats after he reported that an Iranian ballistic missile struck an open area near Beit Shemesh on March 10 with no injuries.
The Dark Side Of Betting On Conflict
The dispute centers on Polymarket’s “Iran strikes Israel on…?” contract, which has generated $15 million in volume. The contract resolves “Yes” only if an Iranian missile impacts Israeli ground territory. Intercepted missiles do not count.
Fabian reported the missile hit a forested area roughly 500 meters from homes.
That wording would resolve the March 10 contract as “Yes.”
Bettors who wagered “No” on that date wanted him to change his report to say the missile was intercepted, which would flip the outcome in their favor.
What started as messages asking Fabian to clarify his reporting turned into …
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