Halkin Mason Photography for Ballinger

The evolution toward compact, high-performance workplaces reflects one of several ways organizations are redefining value in a changing landscape. While not every company will reduce its footprint, those that do are finding new opportunities to align space more closely with purpose. By embracing flexibility, integrating technology seamlessly, curating meaningful amenities and engaging employees throughout the process, a smaller office can become a strategic advantage rather than a constraint.

Less space demands sharper thinking about what matters most and how design can support it. The organizations that succeed will be those that recognize there is no single model for the future workplace, but rather a range of strategies, and choose the one that best reflects their people, culture and goals.

As organizations explore this shift, the challenge moves beyond deciding whether to reduce space to understanding how each square foot can work harder. For those pursuing a smaller footprint, success depends not on doing more with less indiscriminately, but on aligning space with purpose in deliberate, measurable ways.

Designing for variability rather than certainty

One of the most pressing challenges facing workplace leaders today is unpredictability. For organizations pursuing a more compact footprint, this unpredictability becomes even more pronounced. Attendance patterns fluctuate by day, department and season, making traditional space-planning ratios increasingly unreliable. Fixed assignments – one desk per person, a predetermined number of conference rooms – often lead to underused areas at some times and congestion at others.

To address this, organizations are moving toward environments that are adaptable by design. Activity-based planning replaces rigid ownership with a spectrum of shared settings: focus rooms, open collaboration areas, informal huddle spaces and convertible rooms that can shift function as needed. In practice, this approach allows teams to move fluidly throughout the day, choosing spaces that match their tasks rather than being confined to a single workstation. In one pharmaceutical workplace, for example, an open office environment supports this flexibility through a range of settings paired with furniture systems designed to allow for adaptability and choice in how spaces are used. Rather than guessing how many people will be present on a given day, these environments absorb occupancy peaks and valleys without sacrificing usability.

Flexibility also extends to the physical architecture itself. Modular planning strategies –standardized room sizes, demountable partitions and furniture systems that can be reconfigured – allow spaces to evolve as organizational needs change and increase the longevity of the design. This approach acknowledges a simple reality: work policies will continue to change, and the office must be able to change with them.

Once flexibility is established as a baseline, the next hurdle becomes ensuring that collaboration still works when teams are split between home and office.

Making hybrid collaboration seamless

Hybrid work has blurred the boundary between physical and virtual presence, raising the bar for how offices support collaboration. In workplaces that have adopted a more space-efficient model, the challenge is magnified. There is little room for spaces that only partially work. When technology fails or rooms are poorly equipped, employees quickly question the value of coming in at all.

Successful compact offices treat technology as infrastructure rather than an add-on. Integrated room-booking systems, reliable audiovisual setups and intuitive controls allow meetings to start quickly and include both in-person and remote participants equitably. In one life science workspace, the individual workspace is replaced by large team rooms, anchored by robust audiovisual systems that enable seamless interaction between in-person and remote, global participants without compromising spatial efficiency. The spaces support hybrid interaction through thoughtful planning around sightlines, acoustics and lighting so that people joining virtually feel just as engaged as those in the room.

In one life sciences workplace, large team environments are anchored by robust audiovisual systems that enable seamless interaction between in-person and global, remote participants without compromising spatial efficiency.
In one life sciences workplace, large team environments are anchored by robust audiovisual systems that enable seamless interaction between in-person and global, remote participants without compromising spatial efficiency. Photo credit: Halkin Mason Photography for Ballinger

Equally important is aligning technology with behavior. Employees need to understand which spaces are best suited for focused work, confidential calls or collaborative sessions. Clear cues – through design, signage, and onboarding – help people use spaces as intended, reducing friction and maximizing the effectiveness of a smaller overall footprint.

With collaboration supported, attention can turn to a less tangible but equally critical factor: workplace culture.

Sustaining culture in compact environments

For organizations that have reduced their physical footprint, a common concern is that smaller offices will feel cramped or impersonal, undermining the sense of community organizations are trying to rebuild after years of remote work. In practice, the opposite can be true when space is designed intentionally.

Compact offices tend to concentrate activity, increasing the likelihood of spontaneous interactions that build relationships and momentum. The need to come into the office for many is weighed largely on the desire (or requirement) to have face-to-face interactions with colleagues, making supporting this type of activity even more critical.  Strategically placed gathering areas – near entrances, stairways or coffee points – encourage chance encounters without requiring large, dedicated lounges.

In a healthcare administration workplace, for example, shared amenities are deliberately positioned to support this dynamic: a central hub off the elevator banking is anchored by a collaborative pantry and enclosed meeting space.  This provides opportunities for both formal and informal connections throughout the day by bringing these features to the forefront of the workspace, to an area in which everyone circulates through multiple times a day. These moments of informal interaction often become the social glue of the workplace, reinforcing culture in ways that formal meetings cannot.

In a healthcare administration workplace, for example, shared amenities are deliberately positioned to support this dynamic: a central hub for meetings, both formal and informal, paired with a pantry along primary circulation paths, creates natural opportunities for connection throughout the day.
In a healthcare administration workplace, for example, shared amenities are deliberately positioned to support this dynamic: a central hub for meetings, both formal and informal, paired with a pantry along primary circulation paths, creates natural opportunities for connection throughout the day.
Photo credit: Halkin Mason Photography for Ballinger

Crucially, culture-driven design is not imposed from the top down. Engaging employees early through surveys, focus groups and pilot spaces helps surface what people actually value, whether that is quiet focus, mentorship opportunities or social energy. When staff understand the rationale behind space changes and see their input reflected in the outcome, they are far more likely to embrace new ways of working.

As culture is reinforced through design, amenities become the next lever for enhancing experience without inflating square footage.

Rethinking amenities for impact, not excess

In organizations operating within a reduced footprint, amenities must earn their keep. Lavish, centralized features that consume large areas are giving way to smaller, distributed elements that support daily routines. A series of modest coffee points, for example, can be more effective than a single oversized café, drawing people through the office and encouraging interaction along the way.

Wellness is another area where thoughtful integration matters more than size. Access to daylight, views and varied postures at the individual workspace often have a great impact on well-being and create spaces where people want to come to work. Similarly, small spaces for respite or private conversations can be woven into the plan without expanding the overall footprint.

What distinguishes high-performing compact offices is not the number of amenities but their relevance. When features align closely with how employees actually work – eating lunch, plugging in quickly, meeting informally – they enhance satisfaction while preserving valuable space. In one workplace, a central hub designed to support multiple functions illustrates this approach. By consolidating a pantry space for eating and getting coffee or water, seating for informal meetings and a physical display of the organization’s brand and mission for visitors, the design increases usage throughout the day while maximizing efficiency and engagement without expanding the overall footprint.

What distinguishes high-performing compact offices is not the number of amenities but their relevance. When features align closely with how employees actually work – eating lunch, plugging in quickly, meeting informally – they enhance satisfaction while preserving valuable space. In one workplace, a cafe designed to support multiple functions illustrates this approach.
What distinguishes high-performing compact offices is not the number of amenities but their relevance. When features align closely with how employees actually work – eating lunch, plugging in quickly, meeting informally – they enhance satisfaction while preserving valuable space. In one workplace, a cafe designed to support multiple functions illustrates this approach.
Photo credit: Halkin Mason Photography for Ballinger

Underlying all of these strategies is a recognition that successful downsizing depends as much on process as on design.

Leadership, data, and trust

Reducing office space can be emotionally charged. For many employees, space is tied to identity, position and a sense of belonging. Navigating this transition requires clear leadership, transparent communication and a willingness to ground decisions in evidence.

Data plays a critical role in building confidence. Utilization studies, access metrics and survey results provide an objective picture of how spaces are truly used, often challenging assumptions held by both leadership and staff. When design recommendations are linked directly to these insights – and consistently referenced through a set of guiding principles – organizations are better able to maintain alignment even when difficult trade-offs arise.

Equally important is framing space reduction not solely as a cost-saving measure but as an opportunity to reinvest in quality, flexibility and experience. When people understand the broader goals – supporting collaboration, enabling growth and creating equitable environments – they are more likely to see change as progress rather than loss.

Taken together, these approaches point toward a future in which the success of the office is measured less by size and ownership than by intention.

A smaller footprint as a strategic advantage 

The evolution toward compact, high-performance workplaces reflects a broader shift in how organizations define value. The office is no longer a default container for work but a deliberate tool, one that can be scaled, adapted or reimagined to support connection, learning and innovation in different ways.

For some, that means reducing square footage and investing more intentionally in how space performs. For others, it may mean maintaining or even expanding their footprint to meet different operational needs. What matters most is not the size of the workplace, but the clarity of its purpose.

In this context, less space does not mean less ambition. It demands sharper thinking about what matters most and how design can support it. The organizations that succeed will be those that resist one-size-fits-all solutions and instead align their workplace strategy with their people, culture and long-term goals.

Featured photo by Halkin Mason Photography for Ballinger.

This post was originally published here

CREDA Kansas City meeting at ARCO

Since our official launch in October of last year, CREDA Kansas City has hit the ground running, sponsoring networking and educational events that bring members of the commercial real estate community together to learn about new projects, exchange ideas and get deals done.

As chair of our Government Affairs Committee, I have focused on our chapter’s efforts to support the growth of the commercial real estate industry throughout the Kansas City metropolitan area through effective advocacy on local, state, regional and federal legislation that positively impacts our industry.

To bolster those efforts, more than 20 CREDA Kansas City members met last month with Congressman Ron Estes (R-KS), a member of the House Ways and Means Committee, for an engaging discussion on federal tax policy and the future of commercial real estate. The conversation centered on several key federal initiatives, including implementation of the Working Families Tax Cuts Act, the newly enacted 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, the infrastructure-focused BUILD America 250 Act, and the SPEED Act, which aims to reform the federal permitting process.

The discussion was hosted by Mark Johnson of ARCO Construction in Riverside, Missouri, and moderated by CREDA Kansas City member Joe Oaks, an associate in the real estate practice at Polsinelli. CREDA Kansas City President, Ryan Tompkins from Hunt Midwest welcomed the group.

Congressman Estes represents Kansas’s 4th Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives. Since taking office in 2017, he has played a leading role in advancing tax reform, reducing regulatory burdens and implementing trade agreements with key U.S. trading partners.

While discussing the importance of the new tax law, Congressman Estes stated:

“The Working Families Tax Cuts created permanency in the tax code that provides certainty and stability for small businesses throughout Kansas, including those in commercial real estate. As a proud member of the Ways and Means Committee, I will continue to advocate for tax policies that incentivize long-term investment, promote job growth, and push back against overregulation. It was great to speak with CREDA members and discuss the growth of the Kansas City region, which has a positive impact throughout our state.”

Also in attendance was CREDA’s Senior Director of Federal Affairs Eric Schmutz. Schmutz emphasized the importance of Kansas City’s role in shaping public policy:

“While CREDA Kansas City is a new chapter, my time in Washington has taught me that commercial real estate leaders from the Kansas City area have long had a significant influence on local, state and federal policy. Positioned on the Kansas-Missouri border, the Kansas City metropolitan area is not only a major economic driver for both states, but decisions made here often influence policy discussions across the Midwest.”

Coming Up Next

Our next event will be a luncheon on Aug. 27 featuring special guests Korb Maxwell and Ron Ryckman. They will provide an overview of the Kansas City Chiefs stadium agreement, one of the largest cross-border economic incentive deals in the country.

This post was originally published here

The construction industry is facing accelerated division along regional lines. Data center construction, along with the infrastructure built to support it and downstream consumers, demands skilled trade labor and materials in specific metro markets, creating pockets of acute cost and schedule pressure even as national aggregates understate the problem. With this broader market concentration and contraction, fewer active contractors chasing more specialized, high-value work remains a persistent undercurrent.

Labor shortages, trade policy pressures and geopolitical disruptions are accelerating construction cost escalation, with further increases expected in the second half of 2026. According to JLL’s 2026 Construction Perspective: U.S. Mid-year Update, recognizing these overlaps and acting before contractors reach capacity is the defining factor separating manageable projects from constrained ones.

Structural Labor Shortages

The labor shortage in the construction sector is structural, not cyclical. U.S. construction employment growth is tracking at a meager 0.6% in 2026, falling well below the 2.7% historical average. An aging workforce, a narrow pipeline of new trade workers and an environment that has reduced the supply of immigrant labor have combined to create a permanent shortage that unemployment figures fail to capture.

Overall, this is a geographically locked procurement problem. Trades are locally credentialed, regionally organized and project-bound: they can’t easily migrate to new markets to improve labor shortages. Currently, 61% of U.S. metro markets are supply constrained; where pipeline growth outpaces labor force growth. This figure expected to rise to 72% by 2027.

The localized bottleneck is further squeezed by a persistent, structural million-job gap across the skilled trade sector. For every five workers who retire, only two replacements enter the workforce, a dynamic that JLL Research projects could leave up to 2.1 million skilled trade positions unfilled by 2030, with economic losses reaching $1 trillion annually.

Unfortunately, available labor is not concentrated in the markets with the most quickly expanding construction pipelines. In areas near active data center projects – notably Baltimore, Dallas and Pittsburgh – spillover competition for specialty trades has pushed building cost indices to approximately 7% year-over-year, nearly double the 4% national average. This divide is illustrated by contractor backlogs: contractors with data center exposure carry an average backlog of 12.2 months, compared to just 8.3 months for those without, according to the ABC Construction Backlog Indicator.

Trade Policy and Tariffs

Trade policy no longer just exists in the background; new and existing tariffs are impacting project costs directly. However, rather than uniformly changing costs, recent tariff restructurings have redistributed pressures across project types, based on materials, equipment and furniture needed.

A narrow group of equipment, mostly mobile machinery and certain HVAC systems, caught a temporary break: effective rates dropped to 15% through 2027, but that relief doesn’t reach the metals driving most project budgets. Office fit-out and interior upgrade projects face their own cost pressures too, driven less by a direct tariff on furniture and more by a change in how the customs value of imported materials is calculated, which effectively widens what can be taxed. Additionally, a pending federal review could stack new duties on top of existing tariffs, pushing effective rates on some materials past 50%.

Materials costs are already climbing faster than overall prices, and contractors have little room left to absorb that gap through their own margins, so bid prices are set to keep rising through the second half of 2026. And nothing here is settled: new tariffs on Canadian imports were announced as recently as late July, overlapping the already strained USMCA Trade negotiations.

Economic and Geopolitical Volatility

At the end of last year, many developers anticipated that 2026 would bring a period of stabilization, aided by anticipated interest rate cuts. Instead, the first half of 2026 has altered those expectations. At the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting, the median interest rate projection shifted to 3.8% by year-end, up from 3.4% in March, with nine out of 18 participants projecting a rate hike rather than a cut. The anticipated interest rate offset is not delayed – it has been removed from near-term expectations.

This shift, compounded by current geopolitical disruption, is adding cost complexities that domestic policy can’t fully address. Energy cost increases driven by ongoing global conflicts have increased the price of site operations, transportation and the production of energy-intensive materials globally.

As a result, construction materials produced in these highly energy-exposed foreign economies carry higher intrinsic costs that directly impact U.S. project estimates. This divergence is highly visible in commodity pricing: copper is up 36% year-over-year, aluminum is up 45%, and U.S. HRC steel is up 27%, even as Brent crude has dropped 38% from its April peak. In short, construction materials are simply not following energy price trends.

What Comes Next: A Shift in Procurement Strategy

We have entered a market that has concluded that economic relief is not coming, and contractors are pricing their 2027 and 2028 bids accordingly. According to the ABC Contractor Confidence Index, roughly three in four contractors across size categories expect profit margins to stay the same or expand over the next six months, a level of confidence not seen since early 2025. The market has clearly adjusted its pricing to an elevated baseline.

To navigate this complex environment, CRE leaders must shift to a structural procurement strategy:

  • Engage partners early. Waiting to engage partners is a legacy strategy that will not succeed in the current market. Early contractor engagement is essential to capture both availability and terms.
  • Utilize mid-to-small-size contractors. For owners who don’t overlap with active data center regions or draw heavily from the same specialty trade pool, mid-to-small contractors can offer a window of contractor availability and scheduling certainty, rather than relief from overall cost pressures. Moving forward with these partners secures capacity and timeline reliability as broader commercial demand recovers.
  • Implement dynamic risk-sharing. Owners should work collaboratively with partners to dynamically share risk, rather than forcing contractors to absorb volatility.

Ultimately, early action remains structural, not just directional. In an environment where the mechanisms that would have moderated either cost or labor pressure are no longer in play, organizations that engage now capture availability and terms their competitors bidding later won’t see.

Content and strategies shared on CREDA blog posts are intended to provide information and insights to industry practitioners and do not constitute advice or recommendations. CREDA and its blog post authors disclaim any liability for actions taken as a result of these blog posts.

This post was originally published here

As office vacancy remains elevated in many markets, developers across the country are asking the same question: How can obsolete office buildings be successfully repositioned for new uses? 

On a recent episode of the Inside CRE podcast, Steve Neiger, managing principal at CAST and 2026 president of CREDA Southern Nevada, shared lessons from The Cliff at Green Valley Ranch, a $55 million office-to-retail conversion transforming an aging suburban office campus into a vibrant destination for dining, retail, wellness and entertainment. 

His experience offers valuable insights for developers evaluating adaptive reuse opportunities in today’s market. 

The unique challenges of adaptive reuse  

While adaptive reuse is often viewed as a solution for obsolete office buildings, Neiger says existing properties present a very different set of challenges than ground-up development. 

“Adaptive reuse can feel like opening Pandora’s box,” he said. “The biggest struggle with making adaptive reuse pencil comes down to time and cost.” 

Unlike new construction, adaptive reuse projects must contend with aging building systems, existing infrastructure, zoning considerations, evolving building codes and lengthy entitlement processes – all of which bring uncertainty to project schedules and budgets. 

Those delays can significantly affect returns. 

“In the brokerage world, we always say time kills deals,” Neiger said. 

Start with market fundamentals 

For developers considering an office-to-retail conversion or other adaptive reuse project, Neiger believes success starts long before design begins. 

For The Cliff at Green Valley Ranch, rather than focusing on what an existing building could become, his team first evaluated whether the surrounding market could support a premium lifestyle destination. 

Located at the intersection of two major highways in Henderson, Nevada, The Cliff benefits from strong demographics, exceptional visibility and an underserved trade area. 

“The more you looked at the fundamentals,” Neiger said, “the more excited [we] got about the project.” 

Only after confirming the market opportunity did the team determine what level of investment the project could support. By working backward from achievable rents and projected net operating income, they created a redevelopment plan grounded in financial feasibility rather than wishful thinking. 

More than filling vacant space 

The Cliff demonstrates that successful office redevelopment isn’t simply about replacing office tenants with retail tenants. 

Instead, Neiger’s team focused on creating a destination with a carefully curated mix of restaurants, retail, health and wellness businesses that reinforce one another. 

“We are calling it ‘Henderson’s new center of gravity,’” he said. 

Rather than accepting the first lease opportunities, the team remained disciplined in selecting tenants whose brands and customer base aligned with the project’s long-term vision. 

The result is a lifestyle-oriented development designed to generate sustained traffic and create value for both tenants and visitors. 

Modernized regulations could unlock more opportunities 

One of the biggest obstacles facing adaptive reuse projects isn’t the building itself – it’s the approval process. 

Neiger noted that The Cliff should have taken 12 to 18 months to reach the construction phase but instead required nearly three years because of entitlement and permitting delays. 

“I don’t think municipalities understand how the erosion of [Internal Rate of Return] can really discourage folks from doing these kinds of projects,” he said. 

As more communities seek solutions for obsolete office buildings, Neiger believes local governments have an opportunity to modernize development processes and remove unnecessary barriers while maintaining appropriate public safeguards. 

He pointed to Maricopa County, Arizona, which recently eliminated dozens of pages from its development code – an example other jurisdictions could follow. 

“I would like for us all to get to a point where we call Maricopa County an inspiration and not the exception,” he said. 

Lessons learned 

As demand for traditional office space continues to evolve, adaptive reuse will play an increasingly important role in redevelopment. 

Neiger encourages developers evaluating office-to-retail conversions or other adaptive reuse opportunities to remain disciplined, prioritize strong market fundamentals and focus on communities experiencing sustained economic and population growth. 

“Growth is the key to our industry,” he said. “Growth will always happen wherever it’s easiest and best to do business.” 

Projects like The Cliff demonstrate that while adaptive reuse of obsolete office buildings is rarely easy, the right location, thoughtful planning and patient execution can transform underperforming assets into thriving commercial real estate destinations. 

 Listen to the full episode of the Inside CRE podcast. 

This post was created with the assistance of AI tools; all content was reviewed by the author. 

Featured photo courtesy CAST.

This post was originally published here

Artificial intelligence has moved beyond experimentation in commercial real estate. As owners, operators and investors face persistent rising operating costs and growing pressure to do more with existing resources, AI is increasingly being deployed to improve efficiency rather than replace people.

The strongest returns are emerging in areas where work is structured, repetitive and data-intensive – from financial operations and leasing to lease administration and building performance. Rather than disrupting existing workflows, today’s most effective AI applications are natively woven throughout the systems property teams already use, helping automate routine tasks, surface insights faster and improve decision-making.

Financial and administrative efficiency

1. Operational workflow automation

Finance, accounting and operations teams spend a disproportionate amount of time on repetitive, rules-based work: processing invoices, reconciling data, generating reports and moving information between disconnected systems. These are exactly the types of tasks where AI is delivering measurable value.

Across the industry, enterprise real estate platforms are embedding AI directly into day-to-day workflows, enabling teams to retrieve portfolio information, generate reports and automate routine processes using natural language instead of manual data gathering. Rather than spending hours compiling information, a property manager can simply ask, “Run a budget-versus-actuals comparison for all properties in Q1 2026,” and receive an answer within seconds.

Yardi Virtuoso illustrates what this looks like at scale. Rather than functioning as a standalone AI application, generative AI capabilities are integrated throughout the platform to support everyday operational workflows.

“The biggest savings come from purpose-built AI agents activated for specific workflows”, says Turner Levison, industry principal at Yardi. “Smart Approval auto-approves low-risk invoices against vendor history, saving an estimated 6,500 hours per 100,000 invoices. Lease Audit Analyst scans leases against Voyager records to catch billing gaps, recovering an estimated 1% to 3% of top-line revenue. Vendor Payment Terms Specialist optimizes payment terms to unlock 2% to 3% in operating spend savings.”

Ultimately, AI’s greatest value isn’t simply reducing manual work. It enables organizations to standardize repeatable processes, improve data consistency and expand team capacity without proportionally increasing headcount.

2. Accounts payable automation

Invoice matching, GL coding and approval routing remain among the most time-consuming processes for finance teams because they combine high transaction volumes with standardized business rules. AI is particularly well suited to these workflows, automating invoice capture, coding and approval recommendations while reducing manual review.

For commercial real estate operators, faster accounts payable processing means more than administrative efficiency. Cleaner financial data improves budget forecasting, accelerates month-end close cycles and gives finance teams more time to focus on analysis rather than transaction processing.

Lead acquisition and nurturing

3. AI-assisted leasing and prospect engagement

In leasing, speed and follow-through are the two variables most likely to determine whether a prospect converts or moves on. A high-intent lead who submits a detailed inquiry at 11 p.m. on a Saturday and receives no response until Monday morning is a lead already evaluating alternatives. AI-assisted leasing platforms can respond immediately using current inventory, pricing and property information while maintaining a consistent experience across email, text and phone.

The more durable advantage is continuity. When a prospect moves across email, text and phone over the course of a week, most leasing operations lose the thread. AI systems that retain the full conversation history across every channel – preferences expressed, questions asked, objections raised – allow every subsequent interaction to build on what came before rather than starting from scratch. That continuity reduces drop-off rates between initial inquiry and tour, which is where conversion is most often lost.

For multifamily operators, AI leasing tools can recognize behavioral signals – a lead who engaged enthusiastically and then went quiet – and adjust follow-up timing and tone accordingly, rather than continuing a generic drip sequence. For CRE operators managing longer, more complex leasing cycles, the same principle applies: AI can track prospect engagement signals across weeks-long conversations and prompt outreach at the moments most likely to advance a deal.

Critically, the value is not in replacing leasing agents. It is in ensuring that no lead falls through the gap between business hours, team capacity or channel fragmentation. AI handles the first mile of every inquiry so that human expertise is concentrated where it has the most impact: tours, negotiations and closing conversations.

Lease and contract intelligence

4. Lease abstraction and document intelligence

Commercial leases often run from dozens to well over a hundred pages, with amendments, SNDAs and co-tenancy clauses adding complexity. A thorough manual review of a standard commercial lease can take hours, which is why KPMG identifies document review and data extraction as among the high-value applications of AI in real estate. At portfolio scale, those hours compound: a 100-lease portfolio represents hundreds of analyst hours that AI can reduce substantially while giving teams a cleaner starting point for review.

AI-powered lease abstraction extracts key terms in minutes, reducing the risk of missed rent escalations, incorrect CAM billing and overlooked renewal deadlines – each of which can affect portfolio performance. Several commercial real estate technology providers – including Yardi Smart Lease, MRI Software and Prophia – use large language models to interpret lease language and populate key lease data directly into management workflows.

5. Tenant risk monitoring

AI can help asset managers detect early signs of tenant risk by analyzing operational signals such as declining space utilization, shifts in service-request activity and changes in communication patterns. By bringing these insights into existing property management workflows, AI provides earlier visibility into potential renewal challenges, giving teams more time to strengthen tenant relationships, explore lease restructuring or prepare contingency plans if needed.

Lenders are also beginning to use AI to enhance portfolio monitoring by identifying patterns that may indicate emerging financial stress, complementing traditional covenant reviews with more continuous analysis. Because these models rely on tenant, occupancy and financial data, organizations should establish clear governance policies, limit the use of personally identifiable information and ensure human oversight remains part of any significant operational or lending decisions.

Asset and facilities performance

6. Predictive maintenance dispatch

Work order data, IoT sensor readings and asset age create the structured, high-volume dataset AI handles well. Models trained on historical failure patterns flag equipment likely to fail before it does. Early adopters report repair cost reductions of 20% to 30%, consistent with McKinsey’s finding that digitized, automated maintenance delivers a 20% to 30% reduction in costs across asset-intensive industries, with fewer unplanned outages.

In industrial and office portfolios, the primary impact is HVAC and critical systems uptime. Failures that interrupt tenant operations carry lease risk that routine repair costs understate. Major property management platforms – including Yardi, AppFolio and Entrata – are increasingly incorporating AI-assisted maintenance triage and work-order dispatch into existing operating systems.

7. Building energy management

AI-driven HVAC and lighting optimization tools adjust to occupancy patterns, weather forecasts and utility rate schedules in real time, helping reduce energy costs by 10% to 20% in commercial buildings with existing sensor infrastructure. JLL has reported that its AI platform cuts HVAC energy use by around 20% while maintaining tenant comfort. The U.S. Department of Energy’s Federal Energy Management Program documents that well-executed operations and maintenance programs (including predictive maintenance) can reduce energy costs by 5% to 20% without significant capital investment.

The case is strongest for office and industrial portfolios, where energy is a meaningful expense line and ESG reporting adds a compliance driver. Building technology providers including Johnson Controls, Siemens and Yardi now offer AI-enhanced energy management capabilities that integrate with existing building management systems, helping operators optimize HVAC performance while supporting broader sustainability goals.

Where to start

JLL’s 2025 Global Real Estate Technology Survey shows that 88% of investors, owners and landlords are piloting AI. Yet despite near-universal adoption, only 5% of CRE occupiers report achieving all their program goals. How organizations apply AI makes all the difference.

Rather than pursuing AI for its own sake, successful operators are focusing on clearly defined workflows where automation delivers measurable business value. Before investing in new technology, evaluate the AI capabilities already embedded within your existing platforms. Measure their impact, identify opportunities to expand successful use cases and prioritize solutions that integrate naturally into daily operations.

Organizations seeing the strongest returns aren’t necessarily deploying the most AI. They’re applying it selectively where structured data, repeatable processes and human expertise work together to improve operational performance.

Content and strategies shared on CREDA blog posts are intended to provide information and insights to industry practitioners and do not constitute advice or recommendations. CREDA and its blog post authors disclaim any liability for actions taken as a result of these blog posts.

This post was originally published here

Her path into commercial real estate may have been unconventional, but every step was deeply intentional, said Jennifer Villalobos, senior associate, Cushman & Wakefield, and a recipient of the 2025 Developing Leaders Award.

A first-generation Mexican American, Villalobos initially considered a career in healthcare. She ultimately found commercial real estate to be a better fit, offering the same sense of purpose through service, relationships and community connection.

Villalobos serves on the CREDA Arizona Developing Leaders Steering Committee and was previously also the Developing Leaders Education Chair; she is also a founding member of the chapter’s DEI Committee. She was selected as a 2024 recipient of the Prologis and CREDA Inclusion in CRE Scholarship. With CREDA Arizona, she also teaches Real Estate 101 courses for high school students in Tier 1 schools.

Villalobos is a founding member and board member of the American Cancer Society’s Latinos Contra el Cancer, Arizona chapter – an initiative that is being expanded nationally. She also serves as a board member for both the Valleywise Health Foundation and Arizona Financial Credit Union. She co-founded a statewide “Girls Can Build” program in partnership with the Girl Scouts to introduce girls, especially those from underrepresented backgrounds, to careers in commercial real estate, construction and architecture.

In her role with Cushman & Wakefield, Villalobos specializes in representing high-growth tenants in office leasing transactions representation throughout the metro Phoenix area. She and her team have completed numerous leases from small spaces to large, complex build-to-suit transactions. Villalobos assists corporations locally, nationally and globally in every stage of the real estate process, including projects such as relocations, consolidations, subleases, acquisitions, dispositions, strategic planning, demographic and site consulting, project management and post-occupancy services.

Prior to joining Cushman & Wakefield, she spent five years in the commercial real estate industry as the vice president of business development and marketing for a general contractor.

She has been recognized for her leadership by both the Phoenix Business Journal and AZ Big Media.

CREDA asked this purpose-driven leader how she got involved in commercial real estate and what advice she would give to other young professionals in the industry.

CREDA: Can you talk about a project or initiative you’re particularly proud of and what you learned from it?

Villalobos: One of the projects I’m most proud of is a 30,000-square-foot, five-year engineering office deal I worked on early in my commercial real estate career. It was especially meaningful because it came from a long-standing relationship I had built with the business owner over years of networking. It reinforced for me that relationships and consistency matter; sometimes the seeds you plant today turn into opportunities much later.

CREDA: How has being a member of CREDA helped your career?

Villalobos: I genuinely believe that I’m a broker today because of the doors that CREDA opened for me. The relationships I’ve built through this organization – especially within the Developing Leaders program – have been instrumental in my growth, both personally and professionally.

From day one, I’ve been surrounded by peers and mentors who not only believed in me but invested in my development. Their guidance gave me the confidence to make the leap into brokerage, and their continued support has helped me navigate the challenges and opportunities that come with this career.

CREDA has given me access to a network of leaders who lead with purpose, a platform to contribute to our industry, and a community that truly champions the next generation. It’s more than a professional association – it’s been a catalyst for the career I’m proud to be building today.

CREDA: What is one piece of practical advice you would give to Developing Leaders who are just starting out in their careers?

Villalobos: Get involved early and don’t be afraid to invest in yourself by paying membership fees – it’s worth it. Organizations like CREDA have given me invaluable relationships, educational opportunities and scholarships that have advanced my career. Those investments helped me grow, represent my clients better and open doors to opportunities I wouldn’t have had access to otherwise.

CREDA: What is your ultimate career goal?

Villalobos: My ultimate career goal is to build a legacy of success that creates space for others – especially those who come from backgrounds like mine. I’m inspired by the achievements of my senior partners and hope to follow in their footsteps, not only in business but in impact. I want to continue growing as a top producer in the Valley so that I can expand my ability to work with nonprofits, first-generation business owners and local entrepreneurs who are often overlooked in traditional commercial real estate spaces.

Beyond the deals, what drives me is the opportunity to be a visible example for underserved communities – proof that someone who looks like them, who comes from where they come from, can thrive in this industry. I’m committed to paying it forward, whether that’s through mentorship, board service or volunteer efforts like Junior Achievement, where I help introduce students to the powerful, life-changing career paths available in commercial real estate. My long-term vision is to help others build generational wealth, just as I continue to build mine – one relationship, one deal and one community at a time.

CREDA: What do you like to do outside of work?

Villalobos: Working out is a non-negotiable for me – it’s how I recharge, stay disciplined and decompress. I also love spending time with family and friends; those relationships keep me grounded.

CREDA: What is something you’re passionate about?

Villalobos: I’m deeply passionate about my community, especially giving back and creating access for others. As a first-generation Mexican American, I experienced firsthand the barriers created by language and lack of access to resources. That drives me to mentor, serve on nonprofit boards and advocate for underserved communities. My “why” is opening doors for the next generation and helping people who look like me gain opportunities they might not otherwise have.

Read more about the 2025 Developing Leaders Award winners in Development magazine. Recipients of the 2026 Developing Leaders Award will be announced this summer.

This post was originally published here

While he jokes that his aunt, a broker, talked him into a career in commercial real estate, Alex Vasileff, vice President, acquisitions, Bedrock Detroit, and a recipient of the 2025 Developing Leaders Award, said that the complete answer is that he was drawn to the ability to transform communities, combined with the use of skills related to problem-solving, math, research and relationship building.

In his role as vice president of acquisitions with Bedrock Detroit, Vasileff sources on- and off‐market commercial real estate of all sizes and product types in downtown Detroit and Cleveland, leads acquisitions that drive over $7.5 billion investment and development across 140+ properties, spanning 21 million square feet of office, retail, residential and hospitality space; runs deal negotiations and due diligence from initial underwriting through closing; manages a team of three; and handles all transaction-related endeavors.

“One of Bedrock’s pillars is creating space for the community,” Vasileff said, noting that the company believes that “great cities are only as strong as the communities within them.” To that end, the company engages with organizations, businesses, civic leaders and nonprofits to orchestrate spaces that serve the community and carry out Bedrock’s vision, partnering with groups like Gleaners Community Food Bank, Michigan Veterans Foundation and Arts for Scraps.

Vasileff is the inaugural chapter president of CREDA Detroit and has played an instrumental role in launching the chapter. He is also a member of the Capital Markets 6 CREDA Forum.

CREDA asked this visionary leader more about his work and involvement with CREDA.

CREDA: Can you talk about a project or initiative you’re particularly proud of and what you learned from it?

Vasileff: I’ll always be proud of helping to facilitate GM’s move from the Renaissance Center to Hudson’s Detroit. This project required intense collaboration across teams and a fast-paced timeline, all in service of a transformational moment for our city. While my role was one part of a much larger effort, the long-term impact of this move – driven by two iconic companies deeply committed to Detroit – will reshape our urban core for generations.

CREDA: How has being a member of CREDA helped your career?

Vasileff: The relationships and diverse experiences I’m privileged with as a member of CREDA have not only made me a better professional but also a better person. Some of the smartest people I’ve met have been through this organization and I always walk away from a conference or event more inquisitive and educated than when I arrived. My membership in CREDA has also directly aided in helping solve new problems as I’ve been able to get advice from my network from someone who has dealt with the subject.

CREDA: What is your ultimate career goal?

Vasileff: My career goal is to continue to transform cities and people through real estate and provide solutions to housing shortages and improve the community.

CREDA: Name a person who has had a notable impact on your career. What did they do that made a difference?

Vasileff: Cathy Clark, Bedrock’s CIO and my manager, has had a profound impact on my career. She has shown me that sincerity and respect are not only compatible with high-stakes transactions, but they’re essential. From her, I’ve learned the value of grit, curiosity and a relentless focus on solving problems. Her leadership style has shaped how I approach challenges and build trust in complex deals.

CREDA: What is something you’re passionate about?

Vasileff: I’m passionate about all things Detroit: its people, its energy and its potential. Whether it’s through real estate, community engagement or simply cheering on our teams, I’m proud to be part of the city’s continued resurgence and evolution.

Read more about the 2025 Developing Leaders Award winners in Development magazine. Recipients of the 2026 Developing Leaders Award will be announced this summer.

This post was originally published here

Last weekend, House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) and members of his leadership team retreated to Camp David with a number of GOP members to discuss strategies for advancing a third budget reconciliation bill. Republicans hold a narrow majority in the House, with 219 Republicans, 215 Democrats and one independent. In the Senate, Republicans hold a 53-47 majority, but 60 votes are needed to overcome an opposition filibuster effort that would block legislation from advancing. But Senate procedures make a budget reconciliation bill immune to a filibuster, allowing it to advance legislation with a simple majority vote. As a result, congressional Republicans and the administration have spent much of this Congress relying on budget reconciliation as a means of advancing priorities through the Senate.

Congressional Republicans were relatively successful in using reconciliation to pass major tax legislation last summer as well as funding for the Department of Homeland Security, which ended the partial government shutdown earlier this spring. Now, they are pursuing a third reconciliation bill. President Donald Trump would like to use it to fund his Department of Defense spending priorities, while House Speaker Mike Johnson has promised to include election security measures from the SAVE America Act.

Budget reconciliation was never intended to be the legislative tool it has become today. It was originally created as a procedural mechanism to help Congress align spending and revenue with its overall budgetary framework.

Over the past several decades, however, increasing political polarization and the Senate’s 60-vote threshold for overcoming a filibuster have transformed reconciliation into the primary vehicle for advancing partisan priorities.

While President Ronald Reagan used reconciliation during his first term to pass his Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981, the first major partisan use of reconciliation (with the president and both chambers of Congress held by the same party) occurred in 1993, when President Bill Clinton and congressional Democrats passed the Deficit Reduction Act. President George W. Bush and congressional Republicans later used the process to enact the Economic Growth and Tax Relief Reconciliation Act in 2001 and the Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act in 2003. Divided government largely sidelined the process until 2010, when President Barack Obama and congressional Democrats used reconciliation to pass portions of the Affordable Care Act. It was later used in 2017 by Trump and congressional Republicans to pass the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act in his first term.

The process gained even greater prominence during the 117th Congress, when President Joe Biden and congressional Democrats successfully used reconciliation twice: first for the American Rescue Plan in 2021 and then for the Inflation Reduction Act in 2022. Not to be outdone, Trump and congressional Republicans passed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act last year and, in June, used reconciliation to fund the Department of Homeland Security and end the partial government shutdown.

Johnson is now directing Republican members of the House Budget Committee to advance a third reconciliation package before the August recess. The bill is expected to include $67 billion in supplemental funding for military operations in Iran, and Trump has requested $350 billion to cover the remaining FY 2027 Department of Defense budget request, that was not included in the regular appropriations process. Johnson is also exploring ways to incorporate provisions from the SAVE America Act.

This will be a significant challenge because reconciliation may only be used for three purposes: spending, revenue (taxes) and the debt limit. The Senate’s Byrd Rule imposes a “mere incidental” test, requiring that a provision’s budgetary impact be its primary purpose rather than a byproduct of a broader policy change. To address this limitation, House Republicans are proposing a $4 billion grant program designed to incentivize states to verify voter identification and citizenship.

The reported total for new spending in “Reconciliation 3.0” could exceed $420 billion. Although House Republicans have proposed offsetting a portion of that spending with fraud-reduction reforms in Medicare, Medicaid and other federal assistance programs, those savings are unlikely to fully cover the cost. In previous reconciliation efforts, both the Biden and Trump administrations proposed reforms to Section 1031 like-kind exchanges and carried interest provisions as ways to increase federal revenue. These tax provisions are critically important to the commercial real estate industry, and CREDA’s Federal Affairs team has successfully advocated for their preservation in prior negotiations.

The recent passing of Senate Budget Committee Chairman Lindsey Graham (R-SC), the illness of Senator Mitch McConnell (R-KY) and resistance from Senate appropriators all present significant obstacles to Reconciliation 3.0. In addition, there are fewer than 25 legislative days remaining in the 119th Congress before the Nov. 3 midterm elections. During this critical time when events can move rapidly, CREDA’s government affairs team is taking nothing for granted, and will continue working to ensure that revenue provisions harmful to commercial real estate are not included in any emerging tax and spending bill.

This post was originally published here

Michael Tait has built his commercial real estate career around relationships – and now he’s using those relationships to help open doors for the next generation of industry leaders. Tait, a recipient of the 2025 Developing Leaders Award, successfully revived the mentorship program of CREDA Maryland, which had previously struggled to get off the ground. Through his strategic vision and concerted efforts, Tait created a new structure for the program that has facilitated frequent meetings and long-lasting relationships between mentors and mentees.

In his role as a leasing representative with St. John Properties, Tait is responsible for the leasing efforts of an office and flex portfolio totaling more than 2.6 million square feet of space. He manages all facets of the leasing process from conducting tours, proposals and lease negotiations to collaborating with in-house design, interior construction and property management.

Tait is an active member of the CREDA Maryland chapter, including serving as a chapter board member and Developing Leaders chair. He is also a board member of both the Army Alliance and the Touchdown Club of Annapolis.

CREDA asked this passionate and driven young leader about his path to commercial real estate and his work with his chapter.

CREDA: Can you talk about a project or initiative you’re particularly proud of and what you learned from it?

Tait: One project that I’m particularly proud of is re-starting CREDA Maryland’s mentorship program. I’ve been fortunate enough to have a few wonderful mentors and coaches throughout my life and career, and I want to give back to those coming up in the industry. I believe strongly that to be successful, not only in this industry but overall, you need to have strong mentors who are invested in your success. If we’re able to open the door to new relationships between industry veterans and young Developing Leaders, that will not only help those involved but also the local CRE industry as a whole. 

CREDA: How do you continue to grow and develop as a leader?

Tait: As a leader, I believe staying curious and asking “why” is key to growth. I actively listen and ask thoughtful questions to gain deeper insights and diverse perspectives. This approach clarifies challenges, fosters collaboration and sparks creative solutions. It keeps me adaptable and committed to evolving as a leader.

CREDA: What motivated you to get involved in commercial real estate?

Tait: With my mother working in the legal department for a national real estate investment trust, my uncle in property management and my aunt handling lease administration, commercial real estate was undoubtedly in my DNA. Despite earning a degree in kinesiology with dreams of training athletes, I quickly pivoted to CRE when I realized my talents in sales and developing relationships would take me further. While the path was slightly circuitous, I firmly believe I made the right decision and never looked back.

What is one piece of practical advice you would give to Developing Leaders who are just starting out in their careers?

Tait: My biggest piece of advice would be to find a good mentor (whether in your organization or outside), that you’re able to be open with, while receiving their honest and constructive feedback. This person should be someone who celebrates the wins while helping work through challenging times – and there will be both.

CREDA: What is something you’re passionate about?

Tait: I’m very passionate about hockey – it’s been a huge part of my life. I’ve played since I was a few years old and coached for a few years after I finished playing. I am a huge fan of the Washington Capitals.

Read more about the 2025 Developing Leaders Award winners in Development magazine. Recipients of the 2026 Developing Leaders Award will be announced this summer.

This post was originally published here

2026 World Cup

With the 2026 FIFA World Cup making headlines, a recent PropertyShark market study revealed that in five of the 11 hosting cities, the cheapest available ticket for the most expensive game is now on par with – or above – a full month of rent or mortgage payments. Even at the low end, seats for many of the most anticipated matches already translate into a significant share of a typical household’s monthly housing cost.

The PropertyShark study analyzed the lowest available ticket price for each city’s most expensive group-stage match and priciest overall match (at the time of the publication). The analysis compared that against the local average rent and estimated monthly mortgage payment. Mortgage estimates were based on local median sale prices using a 30-year mortgage at 6.5% interest with 20% down payment and rental figures were provided by RentCafe.

Ticket prices remain subject to dynamic pricing and resale-market shifts and the exact figures presented in this study were applicable at the original time of the publication, June 4.

Five Host Cities Already Reach the One-Month Housing Costs Threshold

The broad takeaway is straightforward: In five of the 11 U.S. host cities, the cheapest ticket to the most expensive local match costs at least as much as one month of rent or mortgage, with New York City standing out the most. At current pricing, the least expensive ticket to the World Cup final would cover more than six weeks of average rent in the city and nearly two months of average mortgage payments.

Even before the knockout rounds, the numbers are substantial. In eight of the 11 host cities, the cheapest ticket to a top-priced group-stage match already represented at least 10 days of rent or about one week of mortgage expense. In other words, the affordability gap is not limited to the final rounds of the tournament.

Pricing Highlights in the 11 U.S. Host Cities

FIFA ticket New York

New York City displays the most extreme comparison. The cheapest ticket to the July 19 final is $7,256, while average monthly mortgage and rent costs stand at $4,096 and $4,872, respectively. This is the equivalent of six weeks of rent costs or nearly two months of mortgage payments. Even a major group-stage match such as Brazil versus Morocco cost $1,465 or about one-third of a month’s housing costs.

Miami FIFA ticket

Miami also showed one of the most striking examples. The Colombia-Portugal match is priced at $2,700, compared with an average monthly mortgage payment of $2,731 and average rent of $2,696. Even Scotland versus Brazil, a more typical group-stage match, was priced at $1,673 or more than half a month of housing costs.

In Dallas, the Argentina versus Austria match carried a $1,096 entry point, nearly three weeks of rent (at a $1,578 average rent) and close to half a mortgage payment (set against a $465,000 median sale price). The July 14 semi-final rises to $2,391, effectively matching a full month’s mortgage or six weeks of rent.

Atlanta’s group-stage prices are less severe, but its semi-final is not. The most affordable ticket to Spain versus Saudi Arabia cost $653, roughly one-third of a month’s rent or mortgage. Meanwhile, the July 15 semi-final is priced at $2,208, equivalent to around one month of mortgage or roughly five weeks of rent.

In Los Angeles, a USA versus Paraguay ticket started at a $905 minimum, equal to about 10 days of rent or one-fifth of a monthly mortgage. The July 10 quarterfinal rises to $1,564 or roughly one-third of a mortgage payment and more than two weeks of rent.

Kansas City is also a clear case where event pricing has moved into monthly-expense territory. A group-stage ticket to Argentina versus Algeria was significantly cheaper than other matches, priced at $823, but it still represents more than half a month of rent or mortgage. The July 11 quarterfinal is priced at $1,567, higher than the city’s average mortgage payment of $1,477 and its average rent of $1,342.

In Boston, the quarterfinal on July 9 is priced at $1,333 or more than one-quarter of a monthly mortgage and around 10 days of rent. This is prompted by the city’s $850,000 median sale price, which drives a $4,298 monthly mortgage cost and a $3,885 average rent.

Philadelphia remains the most affordable housing market among the host cities, but even there, ticket prices carry real weight. The cheapest seat for Match 89 on July 4 is $1,006, versus an average mortgage payment of $1,416 and monthly rent of $1,984. Brazil vs. Haiti, the city’s most in-demand group-stage match, was priced at a minimum $855, meaning that locals had to spend over 50% of a month’s mortgage or the rough equivalent of two weeks of rent.

Seattle, already an expensive housing market, also shows meaningful ticket-to-housing comparisons. Seattle’s USA versus Australia match cost $1,096 or roughly one-quarter of the average mortgage and half a month’s rent.

Houston is somewhat lower, but still notable. The Portugal versus Uzbekistan match was priced at $802, equal to more than two weeks of average rent and about half a month’s mortgage. The city’s most expensive match overall, Match 90 on July 4, is slightly higher at $854.

San Francisco is the main outlier, since housing costs are already high there and the city got a weaker group stage. Paraguay versus Türkiye was priced at $391 or about three days of rent and 6% of the average monthly mortgage. Meanwhile, the city’s most expensive scheduled match is $682, equal to roughly six days of rent and 10% of a monthly mortgage payment.

World Cup Pricing: Locals Might Choose Between Tickets or Housing Bills

What makes the comparison notable is not just the absolute ticket price, but the fact that entry-level access to the biggest matches is now aligned with one of the most important monthly household expenses.

Once the tournament moves beyond the group stage, the cheapest available seats in several markets sit squarely in the same range as monthly rent or mortgage obligations. And because this analysis uses the lowest ticket prices available at the time of review, that means entry is effectively barred for the majority of locals.

Top FIFA games

Methodology

Ticket prices were compiled from the official FIFA World Cup 2026 portal and major ticket marketplaces, including GameTime, SeatGeek, StubHub, TicketData and Vivid Seats and include both primary and resale listings.

Prices were last verified at 7 a.m. EST on June 4, 2026.

Match opponents, dates and locations were sourced from FIFA World Cup 2026.

Median sale prices reflect PropertyShark’s proprietary data and local MLS research for April-May 2026. Mortgage estimates assume a 30-year loan at 6.5% interest with 20% down.

Rental figures come from RentCafe, a Yardi company, and reflect December 2025 data.

About PropertyShark

PropertyShark is an online real estate database and property research tool that provides building details, ownership information, comparable sales, and foreclosure data. Founded in 2003, PropertyShark serves real estate professionals and consumers in New York and other major U.S. markets.

This post was originally published here

Tenants demands have been evolving since the start of COVID-19.  While today’s tenants generally need less overall space, the full picture is more complicated than that. When a company is moving into a new space – whether due to right-sizing, relocation, or another need – they need to make the space their own.  This is not about smaller space; it’s about smarter space.

In the past, many landlords would offer a tenant allowance, in which a tenant would need to engage an architect, hire a general contractor, plan and purchase furniture. Though this put more in the tenant’s control, it would greatly extend the amount of time needed for the tenant to properly execute this plan and ran the risk of delivering the space late and over budget.

More recently, the tenant market has moved to speculative suites (spec suites). These spaces are move-in ready, including furniture. The cost is known, and the occupancy date is determined at lease signing.

Spec suites reduce uncertainty in an uncertain decision-making environment. Not only does the timing and cost become more certain, but so does the outcome. Spec suites take the abstract and make it tangible. Tenants can walk a space and understand how it functions, then make decisions faster and with more confidence.

To address the tenants’ needs in this environment, property owners and managers need to keep some key factors in mind.

Think beyond the suite. Tenants are looking for quality from the second they enter the building through the lobby. Attractive lobbies include newer entry systems, well-maintained elevators, updated common corridors and restrooms, modernized LED lighting, etc. These features put the future occupants in the right mindset to envision what could be possible in their space.

Spec suites have and continue to evolve. Once they arrive at the spec suite, they need to feel like their business can thrive in the space. These spaces are more hospitality focused and quality driven than traditional office space. Demand is shifting toward layouts that balance collaboration and focus rather than maximize density.

Flexibility still matters, even within spec. Even though tenants reap the benefit of leasing furnished spaces, they will often have requirements to modify the layout or re-work the design altogether. The design has to work, not just fit. Landlords need to remain nimble. Strategic adjustments to layout or finishes are often part of getting a deal done, but the spec suite fosters the ability of the tenant to “fit” in the space presented with a few minor manipulations.

Make it as turnkey as possible. Tenants are not looking to manage construction projects. Most companies do not have the expertise, nor desire, to run an office buildout. Spec suites eliminate the need to dedicate internal resources to a complex, unfamiliar process. While prospective occupants want to put their stamp on their future home, they want the decisions to be streamlined.

Landlords are increasingly acting as curators, not just providers. The value is in showing tenants what a high-functioning office looks like, how space can be used to support culture, productivity and team interaction. When our industry talks about the “flight to quality,” the motivation is not just about aesthetics but about performance. The office has to compete with working from home. That means it needs to be a place people want to be – comfortable, functional and thoughtfully designed.

Spec suites demonstrate landlord strength and capital investment. Delivering high-quality, move-in-ready space shows that ownership is invested in the asset. That matters to tenants evaluating long-term stability and partnership. In an economic environment when many businesses are constricting, a decision to lease a new office means the business leaders have a vision for enduring success that will be fostered in that space.

Spec suites offer an opportunity for owner-managers to set themselves apart in the new era of office leasing. As hybrid work becomes the standard for most companies, tenants want flexible choices and efficient processes in their office buildout as well.

Image courtesy of Urban Innovations.

This post was originally published here

Today, I am proud to announce a pivotal moment in our association’s history: We are now the Commercial Real Estate Development Association (CREDA). This change goes far beyond a name change; it signifies a clear statement about what our association stands for, who we serve and where we are headed.

More than 50 years ago, a group of professionals focused on the development of office and industrial parks first came together. These individuals saw a need for an organization that could connect people working in this industry as well as advance the interests of commercial real estate on the state, local and federal levels.

Over time, our association has grown to include 22,000 commercial real estate professionals in 55 chapters across the U.S. and Canada. We have produced countless research reports through our Research Foundation; grown our flagship Forums program to more than 1,100 members; launched new courses and resources to advance our members’ careers; and brought together the members of our extensive network to build relationships and partnerships. And, of course, true to our origins, we have achieved numerous legislative successes at all levels of government.a

Commercial real estate has changed over the history of our association and it is time for our name to reflect that. The industry encompasses multifamily, retail, aerospace, industrial outdoor storage, senior living, data centers, medical office, life sciences, student housing and more. It connects developers, owners, investors, building managers, engineers, architects, brokers and others. Commercial real estate has adopted new technologies and adapted to changing ways of working and living.

The Commercial Real Estate Development Association is direct, precise and clear. It affirms that our association is the place for commercial real estate professionals to develop their skills, build their careers, shape the industry and make a difference in their communities. It conveys to policymakers and partners that our association represents our members and the industry. It creates a bridge between the public’s perception of commercial real estate and the work that our members do in the communities in which they also live, work, shop, innovate and connect.

From creating jobs to delivering tax revenue, commercial real estate plays a significant role in the economic growth of cities and towns across North America. But above all, our industry is one focused on people. The relationships that go into a development team require strong partnerships and commitment. As bright, bold and high achieving as our members are, they cannot accomplish a development project without a team. This mirrors the foundation of our association; our focus is, as it always has been, on people.

As we go forward under this new name, our unwavering commitment to our members has not changed. Members will continue to benefit from exceptional education, effective advocacy, extensive networking and cutting-edge research. Our association will continue to provide our members with innovative resources to stay at the forefront of change. Now, they can move forward with confidence that this new name will bring clarity as we tell the story of commercial real estate development and the critical role it plays in communities across North America.

I would like to thank the members of our executive committee and board of directors, the members of our rebrand task force, our CREDA Global and chapter staff, our graphic design and media partners working on this rebrand, and above all, our members. You are the reason that our association exists, and it’s with you that our association thrives.

Together, we will build on the established strength of our former name and look to the future with our new one. Together, we will advance our members and the commercial real estate industry. Together, we will build what is next for commercial real estate.

This post was originally published here

Americans are moving less. In 2024, about 7.15 million people relocated across state lines, according to a recent StorageCafe analysis. The number, representing 2.1% of the U.S. population, is the lowest interstate mobility rate in more than a decade and a clear step down from 2.5% in 2022 and 2.3% in 2023.

The rapid reshuffling that defined the early 2020s has cooled, easing the demographic momentum that often influences housing demand and broader commercial real estate activity. Yet the slowdown does not mean stagnation: regional winners and losers are still emerging; family, jobs and affordability remain central drivers; and generational patterns are reshaping who moves and where they settle.

Gen Z accounts for the largest share of interstate movers

Gen Z leads all generations in interstate moves, accounting for roughly 2.2 million relocations. That reflects life-stage mobility: early careers, education transitions and rental housing flexibility.

Millennials remain relatively mobile as well, with 2 million moving to a different state during the same period. However, rising home prices, mortgage rates and the natural progression toward a different stage of life have obviously altered decision-making related to moving. With borrowing costs elevated and many homeowners locked into lower mortgage rates secured before 2022, discretionary relocation has slowed.

Texas and Florida still lead in net gains, but growth has tempered significantly

Despite the broader slowdown in interstate mobility, Texas and Florida remain the top two states for net domestic migration in 2024. Texas recorded approximately 76,000 net inbound domestic migrants in 2024. That total, while enough to secure the No. 1 position nationally, represents a sharp decline from 2023, when the state added roughly 136,000 net newcomers. Florida followed with about 68,000 net new residents in 2024, down significantly from the roughly 126,000 it gained the year prior.

South Carolina posted around 54,000 net gains, and Arizona added about 51,000. Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia and Tennessee also ranked among the top states for net migration.

Nevada stands out in particular. With over 45,000 newcomers, the state more than doubled its net domestic migration compared with the previous year, marking one of the strongest year-over-year accelerations in the country. Tennessee follows the same trend, increasing net migration by 19% to receive 33,000 newcomers, incentivized by a still-affordable housing market.

The Midwest is starting to emerge as an attractive moving destination

Among the top 10 states for net migration in 2024, only one falls outside the South and Mountain West. Ohio recorded approximately 29,000 net domestic migrants, marking a meaningful reversal from prior years of population loss.

Ohio’s surprising inclusion in the top 10 signals an emerging shift. As housing costs have climbed in traditional Sun Belt destinations, some households are broadening their search. States in the Midwest are benefiting from lower home prices and stable employment bases, which are drawing movers seeking affordability without sacrificing economic opportunity. Looking beyond the top 10 states for net migration, Michigan and Wisconsin are also showing signs of capturing interest from Americans moving long distance.

While the Midwest does not yet rival the South in total inbound numbers, its relative improvement suggests we might soon see a far more diverse migration landscape.

Smaller states lead per-capita migration gains

Population-adjusted migration reveals something raw totals can’t: where growth is most concentrated relative to the existing base. That distinction matters because structural shifts in housing demand, labor supply and local economic activity are driven by growth intensity, not volume, and, on that measure, smaller states dominate the rankings.

By that measure, Vermont ranks first nationally, adding just over 20 net domestic migrants per 1,000 residents in 2024 – roughly 2% population growth from interstate moves alone. The composition of that inflow sharpens the picture further: 86% hold at least a bachelor’s degree and 36% are Gen Z. For a small state, that level of concentrated, education-driven in-migration can meaningfully reshape local labor markets, housing demand and the commercial activity that follows both.

North Dakota and Wyoming each added more than nine net newcomers per 1,000 residents, but the two states tell different stories. North Dakota’s arrivals skew younger and more rental-oriented – only about 31% purchased a home shortly after moving. Wyoming’s movers, by contrast, transitioned predominantly into homeownership, suggesting financially established households with a different footprint on local services and retail activity.

West Virginia and Idaho round out the top five at roughly eight and six net newcomers per 1,000 residents respectively. In both states, Gen Z represents the largest incoming cohort, reinforcing the growing role of affordability and lifestyle considerations in shaping where younger Americans are choosing to settle.

California heads high-cost states that continue to see net migration losses

The migration map in 2024 still shows a clear divide between high-cost coastal states and lower-cost interior markets.

California remains the largest net exporter of residents. The state recorded a net domestic migration loss of more than 263,000 people in 2024, marking the 10th consecutive year of net migration losses. While departures are no longer at the extraordinary levels seen in 2021 and 2022, when remote work flexibility accelerated exits, the overall trend has not reversed.

New York follows with a net domestic loss of approximately 129,000 residents. Unlike California, however, New York’s outflow slowed meaningfully compared with the prior year, with about 50,000 fewer net departures. The state continues to face housing affordability constraints, but the pace of relocation appears to be stabilizing as labor markets in finance, media and technology regain momentum.

Illinois and New Jersey also remain in negative territory. Illinois saw a net loss of roughly 81,000 residents in 2024, while New Jersey recorded about 61,000 more departures than arrivals. Both states improved slightly year over year, yet the longer-term direction remains outward.

Self-storage adjusts to the slower migration cycle

Self-storage demand closely follows mobility. Even with interstate migration slowing to 2.1% of the population in 2024, more than 7 million Americans still changed states, sustaining a solid baseline of relocation-driven storage use.

During the peak migration years, many inbound states expanded aggressively. Storage inventory now sits well above the national benchmark of 7.4 square feet per resident in key growth markets: 11.4 square feet in Texas, 11.7 in Nevada, 9.8 in Florida and 13.2 in Oklahoma.

As migration cooled, markets began differentiating. In states where inbound flows eased, such as Texas and Florida, street rates adjusted modestly, down 0.9% and roughly 1.5% respectively. In contrast, Nevada, where net migration more than doubled year over year, saw rates hold steady despite elevated supply. Oklahoma recorded a 1.1% rate increase alongside stronger net migration.

The takeaway is balance. Storage markets are aligning with local migration fundamentals rather than broad national momentum. For operators, that means performance increasingly depends on disciplined market selection and supply management. For renters, it generally means greater choice for self-storage services and pricing affordability and stability.

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Like other legislatures around the United States, the New York State Legislature spent the first half of this year considering policy on controversial topics that affect commercial real estate development. When both chambers adjourned their 2026 legislative session in early June, two bills they had passed demonstrated the antithetical approaches to development policy that many other states are currently deciding between.

On the one hand, there was the Responsible Data Center Development Act (A.11560/S.106420), a one-year moratorium on data center development that, if signed into law, will become the harshest statewide restriction on data center development in the nation. On the other hand, A.10009-C/S.9009-C, the state’s budget bill for fiscal year 2026-2027, included a significant reform of the State Environmental Quality Review Act (SEQRA) that both NAIOP chapters in New York – NAIOP Upstate New York and NAIOP New York City Metro – supported during their Day at the Capitol in Albany earlier this year. These diverging approaches to development policy within the same state illustrate the crossroads at which many states find themselves while trying to fulfill promises of affordability.

Though data centers have existed for decades, opposition to data center development rapidly became a prominent political issue nationwide starting in 2025 amid the AI boom. Over the past year, dozens of municipalities have placed temporary bans, or moratoriums, on data center development. Though these moratoriums largely started in smaller towns, they have spread to major cities like Denver, Minneapolis and Charlotte by the spring of 2026. No state has yet enacted a data center moratorium, though there has been one close call. Maine passed a one-year moratorium bill through both chambers of its state legislature in April 2026; however, an unexpected veto from Governor Janet Mills killed that effort until at least 2027. Now, New York has become the second state to pass a data center moratorium through its legislature and potentially will become the first to enact it.

New York’s Responsible Data Center Development Act contains multiple provisions affecting development of data centers, which the bill defines as any facility with a peak electrical power demand of at least 1 megawatt that is used for computing or related services. The strictest regulation, of course, is the one-year development moratorium, which will freeze permitting for “large” data center projects with peak loads of at least 20 megawatts. Additionally, these “large” data centers will face a new public utility classification for their electricity and water usage, provide benefits programs for the local community where the data center is located, and host a public hearing on development at least three months before receiving a permit. All data centers with peak loads of 5 megawatts or higher will face strict renewable energy and prevailing wage labor mandates, while data centers of any size will have to comply with energy efficiency requirements. Finally, the bill directs the Department of Environmental Conservation to complete an 18-month study on the environmental impact of data centers to inform future regulations. New York Governor Kathy Hochul has until Dec. 31 to decide whether to sign or veto this bill, meaning it could take quite some time to know if New York will become the first state with a data center moratorium.

In contrast to the anti-development posture of the data center moratorium bill, the state’s budget, signed by Hochul in late May, contained major reforms to New York’s State Environmental Quality Review Act (SEQRA). Modeled off the federal National Environmental Policy Act, SEQRA is an environmental review law that requires the completion of a lengthy environmental impact assessment prior to any discretionary government decision regarding development, such as a zoning change or special permit.

Including New York, 15 states and Washington, D.C., have a NEPA-like environmental review law, often making development much harder. The recent political debate over “affordability” has generated momentum to reform these laws; in June 2025, California majorly reformed the California Environmental Quality Act (CEQA), the strictest environmental review law in the nation, as part of an effort to address a housing shortage.

In 2026, Hochul began promoting her “Let Them Build” agenda, which included a request that the New York legislature include reforms to SEQRA in its annual budget. When NAIOP Upstate New York and NAIOP New York City Metro sent representatives to Albany earlier this year, they urged state legislators to support Hochul’s proposal. In a huge win for NAIOP and the broader development community, these reforms successfully passed as part of the budget. Now, residential developments of up to 500 units in New York City and 300 units in the rest of the state are exempt from SEQRA reviews if they are built on previously disturbed sites. This exemption also applies to certain water infrastructure projects. Additionally, stricter timelines have been placed on SEQRA review timelines, creating a more consistent environment for developers.

While these two bills only directly affect New York, many other states are currently discussing these same or similar issues right now. And as these bills demonstrate, the relevant policy solutions have the potential to either help or harm the commercial real estate development industry. If NAIOP members ensure to engage with their state and local governments, they can help ensure that more pursue the path of working with, not against, developers.

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I never intended to work in commercial real estate. In college, I studied English literature (and I do still love reading poetry). I was fortunate enough to have a commercial real estate company take a chance on hiring me, and then arrogant enough to think that I would probably just do this a couple of years until I found a “real” job!

My boss encouraged me to join NAIOP just a few years into my career, and this helped me build a professional network in Colorado and, later, across the U.S.

How did you get involved in commercial real estate? Why do you find it engaging?

I love sharing with clients and users how the space they occupy can have a positive (or negative) impact on their lives and business. When we share with an investor how we take a “whole health” approach to our senior living communities, such that the building itself can improve quality of life and care; or I explain to an industrial tenant how modern column spacing can increase their warehouse efficiency by double digit percentages over dated Class C product; or work with an office client to show options that can increase employment recruitment and retention, helping their bottom line tremendously – my passion for our business reignites.

If we are trapped indoors nine hours out of 10, then those buildings need to work for us, not just be walls and a roof where we exist. That philosophy has kept me going for over 20 years; it turns out, I found the real job from the beginning!

What do you see as the biggest benefit of NAIOP?

Being a member of NAIOP is all about resources and connections. Our incredible national resources are further bolstered by an indispensable network of professionals with which you can have instant access to learn about best practices, new technologies and how to partner with cities to create better development policy. Those resources are truly invaluable.

How has NAIOP helped your career? Your business?

NAIOP has been an invaluable asset to my career and by business over the years. Having in-depth knowledge and proactive engagement in local public policy issues kept us at the forefront of changes in development practices and tax implications; our relationships forged through NAIOP have allowed our Denver-based organization, Confluent development, to grow toward development in nearly half the states in the country and in all four time zones.

Commercial real estate is an industry that is impacted by both national and local practices. While we are always a “boots on the ground” business, markets and municipalities are increasingly influenced by strategies in other regions. As a Colorado-based developer, we have gained tremendous benefit not only through the local relationships we have developed, but also through relationships at the federal level and local markets such as southern California, where public policy decisions have served as inspiration in our own local market. This combination of engagement has yielded tremendous opportunity for our organization.

How are Developing Leaders shaping both our association and our industry?

As one of the youngest NAIOP members to serve as chair, I have had the benefit of experiencing firsthand the engagement and enthusiasm of our Developing Leaders. In an industry that has historically been resistant to change, our DLs are ushering in a new way of thinking, leading all of us to embrace a combination of tested best practices with new innovations in the industry. I truly believe that commercial real estate, like many industries, will be required to embrace many new changes in operations and technologies to improve our efficiency and data resources, and our Developing Leaders will certainly lead the way in this regard.

Meet Celeste Tanner in this short video:

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Industrial outdoor storage (IOS) has long been a familiar sight near ports, airports and industrial corridors. Yet despite its visibility, the sector remained largely overlooked by institutional investors for years. That is changing rapidly.

In a recent episode of NAIOP’s Inside CRE podcast, NAIOP President and CEO Marc Selvitelli, CAE, spoke with Leo Addimando, managing partner and cofounder of Alterra Property Group, about the evolution of IOS from an under-the-radar property type into one of commercial real estate’s fastest-growing sectors.

Defining a Once-ambiguous Sector

Alterra has been at the forefront of that transformation, acquiring more than 470 IOS properties nationwide. According to Addimando, one of the biggest reasons the sector remained overlooked for so long was that it lacked a clear identity.

“It was the largest category of real estate that had not been institutionalized and frankly had been hiding in plain sight,” he said.

For years, investors struggled to define what constituted IOS and how to evaluate it. The sector’s fragmented ownership structure, inconsistent zoning classifications and relatively small property sizes made it difficult for institutional capital to gain traction.

Today, however, a more standardized understanding of IOS is emerging. Addimando defines the asset class as properties ranging from one to 100 acres with limited building coverage and zoning that supports outdoor storage and operational uses.

Infrastructure Investment Fuels Growth

While logistics and transportation companies were historically the dominant users of IOS properties, demand patterns have shifted.

“Three or four years ago,” Addimando explained, “I would have told you it was two-thirds to three-quarters logistics- and transportation-related tenancy.”

Today, federal infrastructure spending, population growth in key markets and the rapid expansion of data centers are generating significant needs for construction equipment, utility contractors and service providers that rely on IOS facilities.

“The logistics folks are not growing right now, and the infrastructure folks are growing. So that’s where the demand comes from right now.”

The data center boom is proving particularly significant. Beyond the facilities themselves, supporting infrastructure for power, water and fiber networks is creating sustained demand for IOS properties across many markets.

Transportation Costs Drive Decision-making

Like every real estate sector, success in IOS begins with location. But the economics driving site selection are somewhat different.

According to Addimando, transportation expenses typically account for about half of an IOS tenant’s operating costs, while occupancy costs represent only a small fraction of the overall budget.

“When your transport costs are 50% of your cost base and your rent costs are 5%, how location-sensitive are you going to be? Very, very location sensitive.”

Proximity to customers, transportation networks and labor pools often outweigh land cost considerations. For many tenants, paying a premium for a well-located site is far more economical than absorbing higher transportation costs over time.

Zoning: The Critical Factor Investors Can’t Overlook

One of the most important lessons for investors entering the sector is understanding zoning. While environmental concerns often receive significant attention, Addimando argues that zoning presents greater risk.

Because few jurisdictions have zoning categories specifically designed for IOS, investors must carefully evaluate whether local regulations support long-term operational uses. Misjudging zoning requirements can significantly impact a property’s value and usability.

Early Innings of Institutional Adoption

Despite growing interest from large investors, Addimando believes IOS remains in the early stages of institutional adoption.

Major private equity firms, sovereign wealth funds and public REITs have begun exploring the sector, but its highly fragmented nature continues to present challenges. Building scale requires aggregating hundreds of smaller properties rather than acquiring a handful of large assets.

However, while challenges around scale and zoning remain, the sector’s fundamentals suggest IOS will play an increasingly central role in supporting infrastructure, logistics and emerging industries. What was once “hiding in plain sight” is now emerging as a recognizable and indispensable segment of the commercial real estate landscape.

Listen to the full episode of the Inside CRE podcast.

This post was created with the assistance of AI tools; all content was reviewed by the author.

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Transportation and infrastructure spending have always been a focus of NAIOP’s advocacy efforts at the federal level. With surface transportation programs expiring later this year, getting Congress to reauthorize these programs in advance has been one of our top 2026 legislative priorities. A little more than two weeks ago on May 22, the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee took an important step in that direction when it passed HR 8870, the “BUILD America 250 Act” by a strong bipartisan vote of 62-2.

NAIOP members know how important modern and efficient transportation systems are to the health of the commercial real estate industry, and of the importance of continued robust investment by the federal government. Transportation investment directly influences property values, development opportunities, tenant demand and regional economic growth. It can serve as a catalyst for commercial development in a number of ways:

  • New highway interchanges can unlock previously inaccessible land for industrial and retail projects;
  • Freight improvements can increase the attractiveness of logistics hubs and distribution centers; and
  • Transit investments can support higher-density office, multifamily and mixed-use developments.

Industrial real estate may be among the sectors most directly affected by transportation policy decisions. The rapid growth of e-commerce, domestic manufacturing investment and supply chain reshoring has increased demand for warehouse and distribution facilities. Access to efficient freight corridors, intermodal facilities, ports and rail infrastructure has become a critical site-selection factor. The next iteration of transportation policy should aim to promote investments that enhance freight mobility and strengthen regional logistics markets across the country.

With housing supply and affordability currently being a top concern for policymakers, promoting transit-oriented development (TOD) has become an important public policy consideration for both political parties. Office-to-residential conversions are occurring in many cities, and creation of a federal incentive for adaptive reuse of commercial buildings for residential use is also a top NAIOP legislative priority, with NAIOP-supported bipartisan legislation having already been introduced in the House of Representatives. The policies are complementary, with many cities pursuing office conversions and mixed-use development projects centered around public transportation stations. Federal transit funding can support the expansion and modernization of rail and bus systems that attract both residents and employers.

The current five-year authorization for federal surface transportation programs, the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA), expires on Sept. 30, 2026. Funding levels, improvements needed for program operations, and the timing of the reauthorizing legislation are all important factors that will be considered as the House and Senate move forward on legislation:

  • Funding: The IIJA provided a total of $365 billion for highway programs, with $304 billion coming from Highway Trust Fund, with the rest subject to Congress having provided the funding in later appropriations. The BUILD America 250 Act is a five-year reauthorization through 2031, that invests in roads, bridges, transit and rail infrastructure, and would fund transportation programs through a combination of guaranteed Highway Trust Fund spending and authorized funding requiring annual congressional appropriations. It authorizes approximately $580 billion in transportation spending over five years, with approximately $474 billion coming from the Highway Trust Fund.
  • Improvements: The reauthorization of transportation and infrastructure programs provides an opportunity to streamline project delivery while simultaneously reducing costs. Environmental reviews, permitting requirements and interagency coordination can significantly increase the time it takes to bring a project to completion, thereby increasing project costs and uncertainty. Reforms that accelerate infrastructure project timelines while maintaining appropriate environmental protections are needed.  Faster delivery of transportation projects can create more predictable development environments and support economic growth.
  • Timing: Large-scale development projects often require years of planning, permitting, financing and construction. Developers, investors and local governments rely on predictable infrastructure funding to support long-term growth strategies. The sooner that long-term reauthorization legislation is enacted, the sooner state and local governments can begin planning longer-term infrastructure and transportation investments that can lead to greater economic benefits for their communities.

The Senate has yet to produce its own version of reauthorization legislation, and any policy differences with the House will need to be resolved before legislation gets signed by the president. How the Highway Trust Fund is financed in the future – currently, it is financed through taxes on gasoline – will surely be a source of debate due to declining fuel tax revenues and increasing vehicle efficiency. For its part, the House included a new revenue stream from electric vehicles. The Senate is likely to have different funding mechanisms.

In terms of timing, the good news is that the House committee passed its bill with a strong bipartisan vote more than four months before the current legislative authorization expires, with the House expected to pass the bill shortly. As such, they would be farther along than some previous reauthorizations.

But with congressional midterm elections occurring this November, and with Republicans having such slim majorities in both the House and Senate, Democrats may prefer waiting until after the elections to pass a transportation reauthorization bill so as not to provide Republicans with a substantial legislative victory. A short-term continuation of current programs would then be the likely scenario.

In either scenario,  NAIOP will be engaging with House and Senate members and their leadership throughout the legislative process, pushing for faster action and for policy changes that support responsible commercial real estate and economic development benefiting their communities.

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As the “opportunity zones (OZ)” program enters a new phase, investors, developers and advisors are preparing for what many are calling “opportunity zones 2.0.” In a recent episode of NAIOP’s Inside CRE podcast, Angel Rice and Dave Sobochan of Cohen & Co., one of the top tax and accounting firms in the U.S., discussed how the program is evolving, where uncertainty remains, and what the transition means for commercial real estate.

A Program Designed to Unlock Capital

The original opportunity zone program was created to encourage investment in low-income and economically distressed communities by offering tax incentives to investors who reinvest capital gains into Qualified Opportunity Funds (QOFs).

Rice explained that Congress recognized that taxpayers had millions of dollars sitting in unrealized capital gains that were not being deployed because investors wanted to avoid triggering tax. The OZ program aimed to redirect that capital into communities that historically struggled to attract investment.

The program offers three core tax benefits:

  • Deferral of capital gains taxes,
  • A potential reduction in taxable gains after a five-year or seven-year hold, and
  • Exclusion of appreciation on the OZ investment after 10 years

With OZ 2.0, the program is now permanent, with taxable gains eligible for a rolling five-year deferral period.

The Market is Strong, But in Transition

Despite regulatory uncertainty, the opportunity zone market remains active.

Sobochan described the program as “wildly successful,” noting that investment activity continued even before initial regulations were finalized. However, the market is now facing a complicated transition between OZ 1.0 and OZ 2.0.

“There’s really no bridge between OZ 1.0 and OZ 2.0,” Sobochan said, adding that investors are evaluating alternative structures to potentially get the benefits of both worlds.

Even so, developers are still moving projects forward. As Sobochan emphasized, “This is an incentive, so the deal must work on its own merits to attract investor attention. [The OZ program] becomes the icing on the cake.”

New Census Tracts Will Reshape the Map

One of the biggest changes under OZ 2.0 is the redesignation of opportunity zone census tracts.

Beginning in July 2026, governors will nominate eligible census tracts for certification under the new rules. Once finalized, the map will remain in place for 10 years.

Rice explained that the criteria are becoming more targeted. Median family income thresholds are lower than under OZ 1.0, and contiguous tracts adjacent to qualifying zones – that previously could qualify without meeting income standards themselves – will no longer receive special treatment.

“There will be some census tracts that get left out simply because of the numbers,” Rice said.

She also highlighted that Puerto Rico will lose its blanket OZ designation under the original program and will instead compete for designation under the same rules as every other jurisdiction.

Investors Are Getting More Creative

As the market adapts, sponsors and investors are exploring increasingly sophisticated planning strategies. One emerging trend involves creating taxable “inclusion events” before the end of 2026 so investors can potentially reinvest gains into new OZ 2.0 funds starting in 2027.

Another trend is the rise of secondary offerings, where investors purchase existing OZ fund interests from owners seeking to exit struggling projects.

“There are a wave of new investors looking to come in,” Sobochan said, particularly in projects that may be purchased at a discount and repositioned under the next phase of the program.

IRS Guidance Remains a Critical Unknown

A recurring theme throughout the discussion was the need for additional IRS and Treasury guidance.

Developers are seeking answers to important questions, including:

  • What happens to projects still under construction after Dec. 31, 2028?
  • Can existing OZ projects raise additional capital if their census tract is no longer redesignated?
  • Will existing OZ 1.0 tracts remain viable during the transition period?

Rice noted that these issues are top priorities for the industry right now.

Long-term Outlook Remains Positive

Despite near-term uncertainty, both experts expect Opportunity Zones to become even more important over time. Because the program is now permanent, Sobochan believes more institutional investors will commit resources to understanding and utilizing OZ structures.

“I absolutely think it’s going to grow,” he said. “You’re going to see a wave of new investors, specifically on the institutional side.”

The conversation also highlighted the growing importance of collaboration between states, developers and local business communities when selecting future Opportunity Zone census tracts. States that align OZ designations with real development demand are likely to see stronger investment activity.

As the industry waits for further guidance, one thing is clear: Opportunity zones remain a major force in commercial real estate investment strategy, and the next chapter is already taking shape.

Listen to the full episode of the Inside CRE podcast.

This post was created with the assistance of AI tools; all content was reviewed by the author.

This post was originally published here

From the Northeast to the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast, industrial markets across the Eastern U.S. are evolving at different speeds. At NAIOP’s I.CON East this week in Jersey City, New Jersey, a panel of market leaders analyzed migration patterns, supply pipelines, absorption trends and shifting capital flows to identify where fundamentals remain strongest and where caution is warranted. 

JLL Vice Chairman Leslie Lanne served as moderator, with panelists Gregory Boler Jr., founder and managing partner, KMT Partners LLC; Emily Cannon, chief investment officer, Dogwood Industrial Properties; and Clark Machemer, senior managing director, Crow Holdings Development. 

The panelists agreed that we’re in a period of normalization after the expansion of the COVID-19 era. Cannon cited port volumes, generalized demand, absorption and other metrics. 

The question now, she said, is whether industrial is still cyclical or if it’s a “forever-tailwind business.”  

“We can’t time the market in the East Coast markets that we’re all in,” Machemer said. His company recently closed on a site in South New Jersey that they signed an LOI [letter of intent] for in 2019; it took six years to get through the entitlement process. 

“The way I describe the market today, especially from a development side, is that it’s back to how it used to be, which is a grind,” Machemer said, far from the relatively smooth days of 2018 to 2022.  

What’s key now is execution and identifying the right locations for development, Machemer said, “So you can get through it in as much of a predictable pattern as possible.” 

“It’s not easy, but the folks in this room are all problem solvers,” Machemer said, “And we’ll find ways to get through the issues that we encounter, be it regulatory issues, market changing issues, rents up, rents down, rates up or down.” 

Machemer said that he used to always look at demand for the East Coast; now, he focuses on the supply side. “When you look at that, it can help you project what rents might be into the future if there’s going to be rent growth.” 

The panelists work across a wide range of geographic areas, Lanne noted, and asked the panelists, “What are you prioritizing?”  

“Every site we look at, we have a slightly different thesis,” Machemer said. The regulatory environment can be challenging on the state and local levels. Having local municipalities or leadership that is supportive of a project is key, he noted, and provides a more predictable path forward for a project. There are more than 560 municipalities in New Jersey alone, and it’s important to know what works in one versus another. 

“I look at where there is a confluence of population labor as well as a good amount of infrastructure from an interstate standpoint,” Bohler said. He acknowledged a bias toward his home base of Atlanta but noted that it has good population growth. Pennsylvania – not just the Lehigh Valley – is also a favorite, he said, along with some secondary markets like Nashville and Charlotte, North Carolina.  

“For so long, we’ve invested around dense population centers and interstates, and now [we might be looking at] substations and proximity to power,” Cannon said. “For us, it’s moving to markets that we’ve been able to identify that have non-consumer demand tailwinds at the moment.” She had historically focused on areas of the Southeast, and her team is now taking a closer look at some Midwest markets. 

“Now, with this AI and supply chain future, we’re looking at markets that just have underlying infrastructure benefits that we think will be the drivers of that consumption,” Cannon added.  

“Every call is about big box right now of 900,000-square-feet or more,” Lanne said. But not every market can accommodate that, and there may be headwinds to face including legislative issues, potential NIMBYism, and securing entitlements.  

“We get a lot of questions about what’s coming to market, what’s hitting, what’s working and what’s not working,” Cannon said. “And I think just we see time and time again that there are markets where there are profiles of deals that trade and profiles of deals that don’t trade; I call them the have and have nots.” 


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“Today we’re going to talk about land-constrained East Coast markets and the fact that creativity is becoming a major competitive advantage,” began Mark Levy, chief investment officer, FRP Holdings, Inc., the moderator of a panel this week at I.CON East in Jersey City, New Jersey. “If you don’t have the ability to bring creative solutions to identifying sites and future development opportunities, you’re certainly going to find that you are left behind.”

The panel included Michael Bennett, managing director and head of development, Kadima Industrial Partners; Dale Koch, PE, principal, Bohler; and Scot Murdoch, AIA, partner, KSS Architects.

When we talk about creative reinvention in today’s industrial market, what’s really driving the trend?

“At least in our recent time here, doing a lot of work in the [New York City] boroughs, it really comes down to location, location, location – then fundamentals,” Murdoch said. “If the environment is solid and there’s a huge population center, then you look at whether an asset has good skin, good bones, good strength and can, with minor intervention, be actually repurposed.”

“I would [say] land scarcity and maybe one step further to zoning scarcity,” Bennett said. “A lot of what we work with is diminishing industrial-zoned land.”

Koch agreed that location and land scarcity are key drivers. His company has found opportunities in New York, with “a lot of aging assets where the structures and the buildings have really good bones, and they’re in a great location.”

“Your opportunity there is to go in and find something that could be reused and push yourself through the entitlement process without sitting for years trying to get something approved through the local municipality,” Koch said.

Which projects are ripe for redevelopment? Which are more trouble than they’re worth?

“Define ‘more trouble than they’re worth,’” said Bennett, noting that it depends on how much time and effort someone is willing to spend. He said some potential redevelopment projects are the usual suspects, like old manufacturing facilities and suburban offices. He also mentioned older retail strip malls or super centers, along with old airport sites that no longer support that business.

“The entitlement environment doesn’t have a linear path oftentimes,” Bennett said. He shared a story of trying to entitle a project in the same town as a competitor’s project; both were obsolete office properties. Bennett’s project was approved, while the competitor’s was rejected. “The difference was less than half a mile, so it’s hard to predict.”

“Things that were built years ago still need new driveway access, new utilities, new infrastructure, changes to the building,” Koch said. When evaluating a project, running numbers and trying to see how viable it is, developers should stop and think, “Yeah, you could save a few dollars to reinvest and repurpose something, but does it make sense for [the] end user?”

“The adaptive reuse idea is very complicated; people think you can take an old, obsolete industrial building and just raise the roof and reskin it, and all of a sudden you’ve got a functional asset,” Levy said. “But there are hundreds of considerations,” including whether it ultimately makes more sense to take a building down and completely redevelop the property.

“The other thing that strikes me is having a really strong point of view on who your market and audience is, because you can do all the analysis on whether an asset in its place should be saved, preserved or rebuilt, but if you don’t know who you’re doing it for, you could get the equation wrong,” Murdoch said.

He shared an example of a successful project in South Brunswick, New Jersey, in an area where the building had a firewall down the center of it, with a great base and great walls, and clear heights of 20 feet.

“We ultimately analyzed a lot of different ways to raise the roof, made it almost a 40-foot-clear building – ahead of its time – and were able to then create a masonry base with tons of clerestory glazing in it, and got rid of the firewall because we were putting in a new [Seismic Force-Resisting System (SFRS)].”

“So, we had the space; we could reclassify the building; and it took very little investment to create a completely brand-new building,” he said.

Are municipalities in general becoming more favorably predisposed to these kinds of projects?

“I do believe that municipalities are getting smarter. They’re learning how to review some of this stuff and hire the right professionals to assist them on a consulting basis,” Koch said. “We’ve [experienced] a lot of situations where we’ve had great dialogue.”

“There have been challenges, but because of the understanding of what the economic impacts of redeveloping a project like that are, they’re working with us and saying, ‘OK, we know this is a problem because we understand that when the building was occupied, this user had this issue. Let’s try and work together and make it work because we really want to see this become something that’s successful,’” Koch said.

Particularly in highly developed areas, municipalities understand the long-term impact of redeveloping empty buildings or underperforming assets, he added.

“One of the things that we’re doing is economic analysis and consulting,” Levy said. “We’re hiring people to come in and demonstrate to these various jurisdictions the benefit of the project.” Towns that may have received federal funding from the government during the COVID-19 era are now trying to balance their budgets and looking at these projects in a new light, with the potential to transform underused or vacant assets into tax revenue for their jurisdictions.

Koch added his perspective as chair of the local planning board in his town.

“From a local planning standpoint, you want the development there; you want to have a tenant, you want the tax ratables,” he said. “It’s important for the economic success of the town.”

People outside of industrial real estate do not always understand what “industrial” means; it evokes 1960s Cleveland, Levy said. Framing a project in terms of “logistics” resonates in a much different way, with people viewing it as high-tech and scientific.

Industrial real estate is ultimately about the movement of goods and power; at its core, industrial is infrastructure, Murdoch said. “You have to create a narrative that touches people’s hearts as well as make financial sense for development; it’s a both/and equation, not an either/or.”


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Anne Strauss-Wieder, senior freight and logistics researcher and lecturer at Rutgers University, issued a directive to attendees at a panel discussion on the evolution of supply chains at I.CON East in Jersey City, New Jersey, this week:

“I don’t want you to think about your occupier’s demands of you as building owners or developers. I want you to think about what demands are being placed on that potential occupier. Just think of how we buy and what we buy today, and how that’s rapidly evolving. There are a number of demands that customers are placing on the companies, and that affects what goes on in the building and what they’re shipping out.”

The term “rapidly evolving” also applies to the supply of materials, including where those goods are coming from, and the operating context for supply chains, said Strauss-Wieder, who moderated the panel. “One [thing] I’ll highlight is disruptions. Whether they’re caused by nature, whether they’re manmade, whether they’re a supplier, whether they’re transportation, whether they’re cyber, we’re having a lot more disruptive events today.”

In turn, these disruptive events have resulted in the diversification of production locations, ports and transportation providers, and distribution facilities as occupiers have learned it is unwise to operate without backups.

Nolan Lewin, executive director of the Rutgers Food Innovation Center, noted that food supply chains now carry a very significant risk. “We only have to look at the news to understand why that is. There are situations going on in the Middle East, in Asia, in Africa, all over the world, where we used to get a lot of products.”

Resilience is replacing optimization, Lewin said. “‘Just in time’ doesn’t always work anymore for a lot of different businesses, including the food business. You need some way of falling back on other resources, building relationships with suppliers, with transportation folks. Because if you can’t get a truck to bring you product because they’re booked up doing something else, our production in the food world can stop pretty quickly.”

Among the major supply chain shifts he’s noticing are more regionalization and nearshoring. “That means basically we want to look in our own backyard here in the United States for as much product as we can to ensure there’s an unrestricted flow of that ingredient source” for clients that want to develop products at the Food Innovation Center.

Federal Business Centers Inc., a fourth-generation family-owned commercial real estate company, focuses exclusively on Raritan Center, a business park in New Jersey that it developed after purchasing the former arsenal site from the U.S. government in the 1960s. Today, Raritan Center has about 80 buildings totaling approximately 10 million square feet, including office space, flex space and warehouse/distribution space.

Federal Business Centers is developing a multimodal aspect to Raritan Center, partnering with a short-line rail carrier to service the center. According to Patrick Connelly, the company’s chief operating officer, about 12,000 rail cars come to and from Raritan Center per year.

“I would say about 70% of those are in the plastics world, so bulk plastic products come in by rail in various aspects of what we do. We do a lot of building products. Home Depot is there as well. And then lastly, food. Arizona Beverage has a bottling plant. So sweetener is brought in, [and] they participate in the plastic use because they do the bottling there as well. We also have flour as a raw commodity. We’ve had produce a little bit. And now we’re starting to see some food production, food manufacturing taking place for us.”

The former U.S. Army port at Raritan Center that was once used to send munitions over the Atlantic Ocean during World War I and World War II is too shallow for today’s shipping. “But the way to the future for us would be barge services,” Connelly said. “We’re working with the state agencies, federal agencies … and looking to create more synergy between the port, the rail and the trucking.”

Ultimately, he said, “we’re really looking to just improve ways in and out of our buildings for the occupiers … and also just reacting to what’s in the greater supply chain.”

Matt Schlindwein, managing partner in charge of development and creation of assets at Greek Real Estate Partners, noted the first question tenants in the industrial market used to ask was about the availability of labor. Now it’s about the availability of power.

“And a lot of the tenants that are asking about the availability of power don’t even necessarily need the power [right now],” he said. “They just want to know that there’s a pathway to get the power should they need it in the future.”

“I think a lot of it is just sometimes educating our users and making sure they know what they really do need to use and what their future needs might be and trying to do those projections. Because the one thing that we also run up against is, although we’re willing to speculate on power requirements, the utilities are not. They’re not in the business of speculation.

“We’re trying to play the game where we want to give the tenants the ability to have that flexibility that they need, all while working with the utility to not be the boy who cried wolf.”


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Across commercial real estate, AI tools are becoming a regular part of the due diligence process. At I.CON East this week in New Jersey, a panel on AI and proptech in due diligence emphasized the opportunities for using AI to enhance workflows while still recognizing situations when human judgment and reasoning are essential.

Tim Oberwenger, senior vice president of sales at Stewart Title Guaranty Company, moderated the discussion with industry experts who addressed legal challenges, due diligence and the importance of thoughtfully embracing AI.

Effective Uses of AI in Due Diligence

Due diligence in CRE involves environmental reviews, zoning analysis, lease abstraction and document management. AI can significantly reduce the time needed to complete these tasks by automating processes like lease prescreening and identifying relevant zoning regulations.

Panelists highlighted how tools like ChatGPT, Claude or Grok can be used to analyze datasets and detect potential project sites. When asked “Which parts of the CRE due diligence workflow [can] get automated away?” Peter Millar, executive managing director at Cushman and Wakefield, shared, “I think [it’s the ability] to go through and look at a large volume of data, [a] large number of properties and determine which ones need that deeper dive, that deeper look.” These tools can help prioritize projects by suggesting where to focus your energy, and where you may want to be more cautious.

In addition to AI chatbots, specialized AI platforms have been developed to provide users with established, verified data libraries. Matthew Player, founder and CEO of Zoneomics, explained that his platform provides a comprehensive zoning knowledge base. By using AI to aggregate and map zoning data in advance, Zoneomics reduces the need to verify data and delivers actionable outputs.

When Do We Need a Human?

After using AI to collect and review environmental data, it is essential to have a human review and verify the findings and make final decisions.

While drone footage and camera glasses like Meta’s can provide valuable information and capture extensive site data, they cannot replace on-the-ground field work. Millar emphasized, “Without looking at it, without touching it, feeling it, walking through the property, you’re going to miss bits of deferred maintenance. They’re not going to come through in photos. They’re not going to come through Google Earth. They’re not going to come through drone imagery.”

A physical inspection allows for the identification of subtle site conditions that these technologies can miss, such as soil instability, drainage patterns, environmental hazards and the broader context of surrounding properties.

Building Client Trust in AI

Inga Caldwell, partner at Cole Schotz P.C., noted that her firm has started addressing AI use directly in their client agreements. “In our retainer letter, we have language about the use at our firm of artificial intelligence,” she explained. This transparency often prompts clients to review terms more carefully than they typically would.

However, Caldwell observed that this initial concern typically fades over time. As clients become more familiar with how AI is being used and observe the efficiencies it provides, they become more comfortable.

Caldwell also noted that the term “artificial intelligence” was coined in the 1950s, and while we have come a long way from that decade, there is still much ahead. She compared this to the world wide web, as a “sort of a utopian notion of … freeing mankind to do bigger and better and more important things.” This perspective remains relevant today as AI continues to shape how we work and how it is used within the human experience.

Concern for the Next Generation of CRE Professionals

If you’ve participated in training on using AI in commercial real estate, you’ve likely heard the advice to prompt an AI tool as if it were a junior analyst. While this approach can be effective, panelists raised concerns about the potential long-term impact on talent development.

Millar discussed that this model may inadvertently be hurting the field by limiting the opportunities for early-career professionals to build critical skills and expertise. The “grunt work” that AI can now automate has traditionally served as training. Millar emphasized “without learning those skills, you can’t become a good senior project manager, let alone a reviewer of the work.”

Panelists emphasized that this shift presents a challenge for firms as they think about developing the next generation of CRE professionals.

Building Trust in AI Use in CRE

To close the session, Oberwenger shared a story from about 20 years ago while holding up a pair of wired headphones. He recalled a friend asking, “What’s with all these earbuds? Don’t you people have thoughts?” The remark mirrors concerns that many have about AI today.

The panel concluded that these tools are not meant to replace human thinking, but to support and enhance it. Just as listening to music through headphones can deepen focus or improve an experience, AI can strengthen how we work and think. When used thoughtfully, it enables better insights, more efficient processes and ultimately more effective results.


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There is over 20 billion square feet of industrial real estate in the United States, according to Jack Fraker, president, global head of industrial and logistics capital markets at Newmark. But while the one-million-square-foot deals generate the most headlines and excitement, “the vast majority of the U.S. inventory is smaller buildings; small-bay buildings.”

At I.CON East this week in Jersey City, New Jersey, Fraker invited three panelists to share insights into how their companies have found success in the small-bay market and why this often-overlooked sector shows such strong fundamentals.

Brian Whitmer, co-founder and managing partner at Doors & Spaces, said the company was founded specifically to buy and build small-bay product, with its average tenant size under 3,000 square feet. “As we’ve come to understand the small-bay space, there’s a break point at which the tenant is either covered by the brokerage community or they’re not. And if you’re a tenant that’s sub-3,000 square feet, you’re going to have to go through social media, you’re going to go through Facebook, and you’re going to go through nontraditional real estate channels to source your space. And that’s where we’ve had our biggest impact and, I think, our competitive advantage.”

WareSpace, founded in 2021, focuses on what Jeff Jenkins, vice president of acquisitions, termed “microindustrial,” with the average suite size about 800 square feet. The company caters to small businesses that need small, flexible warehouse space. “We’re not ground-up developers. We buy existing boxes that are usually functionally obsolete because most of our tenants [are] coming out of their home or their garage” to build up their business.

Greek Real Estate Partners, founded in 1934, specializes exclusively in industrial, although not specifically in small-bay. “But small-bay makes up a very important part of our own investment portfolio,” said David Greek, managing partner at the company. “It’s something we’ve been involved with for a very long time and have developed some management techniques and leasing techniques within these spaces that keep them well occupied and great investments in the long term.”

Much of Greek Real Estate Partners’ small-bay portfolio is made up of assets that were single-tenant, Class A warehouses 30 to 40 years ago. As the utility of the buildings have changed, the company has divided them up into smaller spaces and leased them to multiple tenants, typically at a minimum size of 5,000 square feet and ideally closer to 10,000. “You’re looking at it from a perspective of buying older, dysfunctional assets … But the key is really keeping occupancy high. That is one of the secret sauces of making sure these assets perform in the long run.”

Whitmer said Doors & Spaces takes a commodity approach to small-bay. “You’re not working with a large corporate company that’s looking out 24 months or committing to a build-to-suit. These tenants need it, and they need it now, because they’re expanding out of a garage or wherever it is … So we’re either buying that profile or we’re building that profile.”

Jenkins said WareSpace is “focusing a little bit more on adaptive reuse. We’re trying to be the largest buyer of single-story office call centers in the country. And we’ve found success adaptively reusing those functionally obsolete buildings beyond just industrial buildings. And these office call centers … tend to be in locations that are also tangential to retail and nicer suburbs or closer to our tenant base.”

Each of the panelists mentioned the stability and strong fundamentals that small-bay offers. “The occupancy rate generally, if managed well, stays consistent and stays relatively high,” Greek said. “You might be underwriting 5% or 10% continual vacancy because of the constant tenant turnover and the number of tenants in your building. But unlike [developing] big box, there’s never that binary of either I have cash flow or I don’t. So it is, in the long run, a much more stable, much better cash-flowing investment than investing in a one-million-square-foot big box distribution center.”

  • Among the other insights and takeaways shared by the panelists:
  • Small-bay’s resilience stems from hyperlocal demand, flexible short-term leasing and diversified tenant bases that stabilize cash flow.
  • Small businesses often prioritize proximity and convenience, supporting “stickiness” despite shorter leasing terms.
  • Success in the market is operationally intensive and often requires hands-on management and tenant education.
  • There is support for small-bay from capital markets when lenders understand the model.
  • The use of AI is helping to streamline and qualify tenant leads, but it is not replacing the importance of human relationships.

Ultimately, small-bay’s blend of flexibility, diversification and steady demand positions it as one of the most resilient and compelling investment strategies in today’s market.


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Industrial Outdoor Storage (IOS), the sub-asset class previously coined the “beautiful ugly duckling,” is spreading its wings within the investment community. Josh Neill, president and chief investment officer at Outpost, opened a panel discussion this week at NAIOP’s I.CON East in Jersey City, New Jersey, offering two facts that have piqued investor interest: IOS rents are up 100% since 2020, and yields often exceed 8%. 

The panel of industry experts included Justin Horowitz, senior managing director at Cooper Horowitz, LLC; Jason Lundy, managing director of capital markets at JLL; Alex Olshansky, managing principal at APEX IOS; and Seth Zuidema, director at Cushman & Wakefield US, Inc. They explored how IOS is maturing and what opportunities remain as the sector scales. 

“IOS has been defined as truck parking, contractor storage, fleet yards, low coverage industrial, and covered land play for purposes of institutional investment,” said Neill, who asked the panel to weigh in on their definitions. Olshansky noted a broader way of thinking about it is a low-coverage industrial asset where the primary value to the tenant – over 50% – is in the land. Lundy added, “Most of the value that is attributed to these sites is relative to the excess parking or storage, and not necessarily a higher and better use [as is typical with a warehouse].”  

Not All Sites Are Created Equal 

Many will say a prime site has the “magic three:” it is fenced, paved and lit. “But there’s more nuance. What about utilities?” Neill said, “And is there a bathroom off-site?” These are items that tenants such as Tesla and Lucid seek. Lundy mentioned clients who wanted gravel instead of paving so their containers wouldn’t break through the ground. And in this instance, the capitalization rate was the same for both gravel and paved assets.   

From the investor side, Olshansky said his firm underwrites the buildings more than the land. “The best site appeals to the biggest pool. We want to have a site that’s durable through economic cycles, through transportation, and booms and busts.” 

On the ground in the New Jersey and New York City markets, Zuidema added that the perfect site in his market is multimodal, with active rail, a deep-water pier, and multitruck access. Location is key, but a newer trend has emerged: power access is the latest aspect that creates the perfect site. Horowitz shared, “That’s where the new acronym EOS [Electrified industrial outdoor storage] comes from in IOS.”  

How Have Deals Changed? 

“You used to underwrite in this order: location, basis price you’ll pay, level of improvements,” answered Olshansky. “Now it’s location, then level of improvements, which informs and correlates to what basis you’ll pay.”  

Lundy stated, “The mix of IOS tenants has evolved as well, from more transportation-oriented to business services-oriented, with electrified parking,” naming Tesla, Lucid and Rivian as large tenants. Olshansky added that tenants are backed heavily by balance sheets and venture capital, indicating they can offset risk, especially when considering a deal’s leverage. 

And the financing has become larger. The panel participants’ first deals were relatively small. It wasn’t until 2023 that Horowitz saw financing hit $10 million. “It really wasn’t until 18 months ago that these large-scale portfolios started to come about … the space has just gotten more efficient on the financing front.” Around the same time, he started doing deals with a couple of life insurance companies. “The leverage on deals is only about 60% for life insurers, whereas leverage on other deals is stabilized to an absolute maximum of 75%,” Horowitz added. 

Deal interest is starting to attract separately managed accounts on behalf of investment managers, Odyssey funds, sovereign wealth funds, and pension fund money.  

What is the Single Largest Underwriting Mistake? 

Zuidema advised not to overlook zoning. “We speak a lot about zoning risk, and you have to understand zoning to a T. What are the adjacent zones? What types of structures and actual zones are there? What’s the existing use? You need to know if it’s specifically for vehicle storage, truck storage or container storage.”  

Another area is looking at comparable deals or “comps.” “You need a good understanding of how to comp. It can give you an edge.” For instance, Olshansky stated, “We price every deal in the market across the country every day.” A local broker he calls might have a couple of comps, whereas he can find “complementary” comps in similar markets elsewhere.  

Lundy added that some tenants will pay only for usable acreage, not growth acreage. “Truckers are big on only paying usable storage, whereas others will price gross. This is not a mistake but a nuance.”  

But be careful not to “over-underwrite” in your underwriting, Horowitz added. And Zuidema maintained that in his market, with tight pricing, investors sometimes must get in and take a long-term approach.  

One Bull Market and One Bear Market 

Olshansky answered that he prefers assets with certain physical characteristics. He likes what he calls “manufacturing + IOS.”  

Lundy liked Long Island and northern New Jersey for population density and supply constraints.  

Horowitz liked Nashville, Tennessee, for its dense population growth and Mobile, Alabama, for its growing port. 

Zuidema concluded the discussion, “Never bet against New Jersey. The New York City outer boroughs as well. If you look at Green Street, it has the highest projected rental rate growth in the industrial sector.”


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Two headlines, two very different conclusions. One reads, “Manufacturing Roaring Back,” the other, “U.S. Manufacturing Renaissance Missing in Action.”

So, which is it? Is U.S. manufacturing momentum rhetoric or reality?

That’s the question Greg Healey, executive vice president, head of industrial services in North America for Savills, and Mark Russo, vice president of industrial research for Savills, explored with attendees at I.CON East this week in Jersey City, New Jersey.

“We are, in fact, in a boom in terms of building new manufacturing plants,” Russo said, “and these are expensive advanced manufacturing plants, running 57% above the 10-year average.”

At the same time, he said, several metrics suggest that the U.S. is not growing its industrial production in terms of output.

Why is that? One answer is that there is a timeline factor at play.

Savills tracks not just announcements of new manufacturing projects but also whether those projects make it to completion. Do they get revised up or revised down, put on hold indefinitely or canceled outright?

Russo said that of the manufacturing investments announced in the past five years, only one-third have made it to completion and started production thus far. “That includes EV battery plants, chip plants that were big announcements four years ago.”

Another factor is that it’s very expensive to build advanced manufacturing facilities. “So maybe we’re producing some expensive smaller items like chips, EV batteries, but we’re not by and large producing a lot of consumer goods. That’s part of what’s underpinning those mixed headlines” about manufacturing’s performance.

In tracking stalled manufacturing projects, Savills has noted an above-historical-average amount of projects being canceled or put on hold, although data has been heading in the right direction over the past 18 months. Russo noted that another metric Savills uses, called a stall rate, got as high as 70% in late 2024. “What this means is that for every 10 new manufacturing jobs that were being announced, seven were put on hold,” he explained. “That is coming down very significantly and thankfully moving in the right direction. But this has become an important indicator.”

Russo said there is interesting data to show what underpins companies’ decisions to grow their domestic manufacturing footprints (reshoring). The top factors have remained the same for the past 10 years: government incentives, proximity either to customers or part of a manufacturing ecosystem, and a skilled workforce. In 2025, tariffs were cited as a factor more frequently than any other time going back through 15 years of data, but it was still only 10th on the list. Russo said having a sustained policy on tariffs could cause that factor to rise in importance in future years.

As for tariffs’ wider impact, Russo pointed to an analysis suggesting they are an overall net positive over the long term on manufacturing output in the economy. But it’s a bit of a mixed bag too. “The traditional manufacturing sectors stand to gain the most, at least from the most recent iteration of this policy. But the advanced industries stand to be hurt by it. Why is that? It’s about the complexity of the manufacturing process, about the critical inputs, that are often imported.”

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act also poses pluses and minuses for manufacturing. Rules around 100% rapid depreciation creates some incentive to invest in manufacturing production facilities, and increased defense spending has been underpinning growth in aerospace and defense manufacturing activity. “But it has definitely been a setback for the clean tech supply chain,” Russo said.

Geopolitical risk is also driving the aerospace and defense sectors, with venture capital funding running 300% above the five-year norm. In addition, 40% of new manufacturing announcements over the past year were in aerospace and defense.

The second largest bucket for manufacturing announcements involves AI and energy infrastructure. “These are manufacturing projects related to the build-out of data centers,” Russo said. “Anything from data center hardware to infrastructure needed to supply electricity to expand the power grid.”

“Life sciences is also an emerging area of manufacturing, with tariffs impacting that, as well as the growth of new drugs like GLP-1.”

Russo said that more than 50% of manufacturing projects over the past five years have been awarded to five states: North Carolina, Texas, Arizona, Tennessee and South Carolina.

“Those are places that are winning on a number of factors,” Russo said. “They have land. They have land at the right price. They have the right labor pool. They have the labor pool at the right price. They have the infrastructure, and they have an existing manufacturing base that could provide some synergies. And last but not least, they really have the state and local governments that are pro-business, that are providing robust incentives.”


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What does it take to deliver one of the largest cross-laminated timber (CLT) warehouses under construction in the U.S.? A powerhouse panel at I.CON East this week in Jersey City, New Jersey, broke down the strategy behind a 2.4 million-square-foot, robotics-ready distribution facility. The panelists shared how collaboration across the capital stack is redefining what’s possible in large-format industrial development. 

Moderator Kelly Beaudreau-Hwang, RA, senior project manager/principal, BL Companies, led the discussion with panelists Clint Kehres, vice president of field operations, The Whiting-Turner Contracting Company, and Joseph Swain, AIA, LEED AP BD+C, associate principal, Mithun. 

The trio worked together on the case study project in Texas, considered one of the largest mass timber warehouses in the U.S. It took the team a year from breaking ground to project delivery. Kehres and Swain both said they found the project to be a novel and rewarding experience. 

“One of the biggest things that I took away from it was the amount of upfront coordination needed,” Kehres said. Whiting-Turner Contracting Company started holding mass timber coordination meetings with the mass timber contractor, the design team and the general contractor. The meetings quickly expanded to include contractors who worked on windows, structural steel, dock equipment and roofing. 

“Pretty soon, every contractor on the project was in these mass timber coordination meetings; because the mass timber is part of the exterior wall and therefore part of the structure, everybody touches it,” Kehres said. 

The warehouse itself consists of almost two miles of perimeter wall between 45 feet and 60 feet tall, Swain said. It has a cross-laminated timber skin that is three ply and four inches thick. “Everything is determined by the dock doors,” he said. “And you just have a ton of coordination between how those windows get inserted because the windows actually are part of also the cladding system, how the dock doors connect, how the wood connects to the steel.” 

“I’ve worked in mass timber a lot, but I’m relatively new to using mass timber in an industrial application,” Swain said. He was able to apply his experience in managing coordination across mass timber project teams and his knowledge of industrial-specific components, such as dock doors. 

“Every dock door represents money to the tenant of the building,” Beaudreau-Hwang said, making the amount of material between the doors a significant consideration in the design. “It’s crucial that we maintain a specific count of dock doors.” 

“We did a lot of BIM modeling and clash detection right from the get-go because there were so many components that we had to think about in the exterior wall of this facility,” she said.  

“All in all, everything came out and fit together well because we modeled everything so extensively at the front end,” Kehres added. 

The 400-square-foot office block of the property is a fully mass timber structure that is integrated into the warehouse component, although it’s structurally separate. “That structure is fully mass timber post and beam CLT floors and roof,” Swain said, “and those solid walls are acting as shear for wind loads, so those are structurally integrated and anchored down into the foundation.”  

The tenant’s corporate sustainability goals were the driving force behind using mass timber in this project, but the sustainability efforts did not stop there. The development team worked to minimize the carbon footprint of everything from the amount of concrete used for paving to the recycling of wood, steel, cardboard, concrete, asphalt and other materials diverted from a landfill.  

A secondary driver for the client in using mass timber for this project was employee well-being and retention, with Beaudreau-Hwang noting the term “biophilia,” the innate desire for humans to be in touch with nature through our surroundings. 

“The wood gives you a different kind of inner feeling versus the traditional warehouse where you’re just seeing steel, concrete and metal,” Beaudreau-Hwang said. Improving the employee experience in these buildings is a strong aspect of why this tenant considered going the CLT route, she said. 

This facility operates around the clock with 1,000 employees in the building. Research shows that the use of these natural materials lowers stress levels of the people working inside, according to Beaudreau-Hwang. If that gives employees a little more satisfaction in their workplace and affects the retention rate year after year by a couple of percentage points, that would be considered a win for the tenant, she said.  

“I’ve been working on industrial distribution facilities for the last 10 years now, and it was really fun to be on a project where we’re using some new materials and we’re exploring new ways to improve the look and feel of these buildings,” Beaudreau-Hwang said.  

“That’s the feedback we get when we go into some towns where we’re trying to get approvals for warehouses where they don’t want just these big concrete boxes in their towns,” she said, “And finding new ways to put these buildings up and make them more interesting and more enjoyable to look at and to be inside is a very cool thing for us to start seeing more and more of in the industry.” 


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Can industrial architecture be creative, contextual and cost-effective at the same time?  

Ten years ago, this was the challenge accepted by Steven Harper, AIA, co-founder and managing partner at Modellus Novus, and Mac Carbonell, founder and creative director at Verdant, in their team’s adaptive reuse of the Crye Precision headquarters at the Brooklyn Navy Yard.  

At the I.CON East conference this week in Jersey City, New Jersey, the pair demonstrated how constraints – including landmark status, operating costs, horticultural interest and mechanical, electrical and plumbing (MEP) demands – sparked innovation. Disciplined planning, landscape integration and precise logistical coordination transformed a 100,000-square-foot former shipbuilding facility into a modern industrial workplace with a strong sense of identity. 

There is a growing trend among clients who want to live their brand and create a “feeling” in their workspaces. Harper’s experience with this at Modellus Novus started with Crye Precision. The textile manufacturer’s founder wanted to create a distinctive space that would serve as a manufacturing, design, and client-facing workspace for the company. Starting with a 1900s ship-building structure in poor condition, the team’s mantra was, “Don’t mess it up.” The challenge was how to incorporate a 21st-century building without losing the original character.  

The client had previously leased several spaces across different areas of the Brooklyn Navy Yard. Harper gained a deep understanding of Crye Precision’s operations and created a design to maximize the flow of their process, from raw materials to finished products. This included a first floor to deliver raw materials to manufacturing, a mezzanine level for design and expansion, and an MEP structure built behind the current building. Harper pointed out that this kept the space open to air and light and was cost-efficient.  

They installed many sliding doors to accommodate employees’ rolling carts, and because the client needed to retool their sewing rooms for each customer’s order, tables were designed to be flexible, and compressor lines dropped down from the ceiling. 

They also painted two yellow lines across the floor space, “as a call back to the train tracks that ran through the space previously,” and to achieve historical building tax credits. 

With the client’s needs met, Harper was able to focus on a design element to add distinction. He tapped Carbonell’s firm to handle horticulture. 

“What was exciting about this project horticulturally was that the client wanted to push [the limits],” said Carbonell. Challenges included getting the height and lighting right for trees in the building. First, they conducted a preliminary study, which led to the introduction of stadium lighting 25 feet above the ground to support plants. They also built a mini model with plants in a room for six months to make sure they didn’t live out a horticulture design firm’s biggest fear – that the plants would die.  

The Navy yard is built on landfill; they tested the ground for contaminants, excavated, poured a foot of gravel (and deeper for trees), and brought in new soil. 

The plant life chosen was a broad selection of mostly tropical plants that thrived in 60-80-degree temperatures. To flourish, they had the client agree that they would not leave their front bay doors open. And finally, to deal with pests, especially rats, which are common to the shipyard, the client got a cat. 

The forest is meant to be seasonal, with leaves falling in autumn and plants flourishing in spring. Carbonell hired a gardener who maintains the forest and installed an irrigation and misting system. With a client budget of approximately $40,000 per year, the building’s horticultural elements have flourished over the last decade. 

The forest is a “wow” factor when clients come to the building, beginning with a walk through the forest to reach a concrete reception desk. Clients are welcomed and then ascend to the second floor via elevator or stairs, which are a catwalk among the tall trees. Harper’s team built an island conference room – a minimal glass box set above and between the forest and the production side of the building. 

The building was completed on time and under budget, and it won a 2020 AIA New York Design Award. The project itself came in at about $140 a square foot in 2016 dollars, and the horticulture element was in the single digits as a percentage of the overall construction budget.  

“I think that they feel like it was a really worthwhile investment just to add a couple of percentage points onto the total, to have something really sort of remarkable and differentiating both for their team and for their guests,” Harper concluded. He added that employee retention at Crye has been incredible. 


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Environmental risk isn’t a box to check anymore – it’s a portfolio‑level business threat that can lead to a bad deal if you don’t address it smartly. As climate pressures intensify and regulations tighten, the industrial sector is being pushed to rethink how it assesses, prioritizes and manages exposure across its entire footprint. 

At I.CON East in Jersey City, New Jersey, this week, Kathryn Peacock, strategic director at Partner Engineering and Science, Inc., led a lively conversation with three leaders on the front lines of this shift: Drew Cooper, partner at DLA Piper; Canaan Crouch, PG, managing director at Jencap Specialty Insurance Services; and Andrew Dorn, senior manager of EHSS at Illinois Tool Works. Together, they broke down how property buyers and sellers can manage environmental strategy so it’s not a money pit. 

What makes environmental liability “sticky”? 

The regulation shaping the regulatory environment is the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act (CERCLA) – also known as Superfund. Waste disposal liability is a large component, and Cooper said, “if you’re using common sense when thinking about your environmental liability exposure, you’ve already lost.” Everyone is liable under CERCLA, he added, from the current owner to operators and owners involved when the waste occurred. 

Cooper shared a story about a fourth-generation family business that manufactures nuts and bolts that received a letter from the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). For decades, the company had generated water containing small amounts of oil and rust in the process of cleaning its product. The landfill they used for disposal became a Superfund site; the EPA defined their water as “sludge,” and Cooper’s client had no choice but to cut a $180,000 check. This is an example of cradle-to-grave liability, and the risk is real for buyers and sellers.  

What is “all appropriate inquiry”? 

Peacock brought the discussion around to all appropriate inquiry (AI), which actually refers to a defense you build when regulators come after you for environmental liability. It’s very specific due diligence that allows you to say, “I looked, and there wasn’t an issue. I made sure of it. I did the proper due diligence. You can’t hold me responsible.” However, Cooper stated, “We had a site in Texas for a client where the EPA Assistant Regional Council said, ‘Wow, this is the first time I’ve actually seen all appropriate inquiry be effective in my 25 years here.’” Still, if you don’t conduct an appropriate inquiry, the panel agreed that without it, you don’t have any hope of an exemption from liability.  

Dorn stated that a Phase I study is key to obtaining an AI defense. Cooper added that it’s also important to separate the AI from the compliance review. Hiring a lawyer to conduct the compliance review provides the added benefit of “privileged and confidential” information. While data is not privileged, opinions and recommendations will be, which can help down the road in disputes. Given Crouch’s role as an insurance broker, this privileged and confidential information can help prevent the omnibus environmental exclusion from denying coverage in client insurance policies. However, if you are doing a deal in states like Massachusetts or New Jersey, which already mandate studies through private consultants, then hiring an attorney does not matter. 

While Phase I studies are non-invasive, Phase II studies are more a la carte. Likening it to going to a doctor, Cooper stated that you pursue a Phase II when there’s a specific concern coming out of a Phase I study. However, “think about the overall deal metrics before moving to Phase II, and how they will likely change for you as the buyer or seller,” Cooper stated. Crouch highlighted that this will likely reduce property value, so you will need to be thoughtful.  

And Dorn joked, “When you get a recommendation for a Phase II, go get a different Phase I study.” 

It’s better to know than not to know. 

All kidding aside, the panel agreed that environmental liability is something to assess and not ignore. And unlike what some people say about federal regulations easing, you must be aware of state regulations and local interests.  

For instance, Peacock highlighted that one out of every two former dry cleaner sites tested positive for contamination exceeding regulatory standards, with an average remediation cost estimate of $400,000 (though the highest cost in data collected by the Environmental Bankers Association was $2.67 million). Other panelists have seen remediation cost estimates, which are important for lenders and insurers, as much higher for larger industrial sites. 

Buyers and sellers should understand environmental exposure and how it affects the economics of a deal. Dorn warned that you risk selling a property only to have a buyer come back to claw back millions from the deal. You’ll look like the bad guy to regulators if that happens. “And don’t use someone else’s environmental consultants,” warned Cooper. “Don’t save money by using a seller’s assessment if you are the buyer. They have different interests.”  


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In her keynote at NAIOP’s I.CON East this week in Jersey City, New Jersey, Cushman & Wakefield Head of Quantitative Insights and Principal Economist Rebecca Rockey argued that AI, demographic shifts and growing geoeconomic fragmentation are rewiring the global economy, as nations and firms re-evaluate the tensions between pure efficiency and resilience – a transition with major implications for industrial real estate and supply chains.

“We are now well into a regime shift in the global economy that will not be undone,” she said. This shift started with President Donald Trump’s first term, continued through President Joe Biden’s term, and persists in Trump’s second term. And it is not just happening in the U.S.

This period in the global manufacturing landscape is also colliding with the rise of AI and the potential for automation, Rockey said. At the same time, a “silver tsunami” is facing most regions of the world as record numbers of baby boomers retire from the workforce without skilled labor ready to take their place.

“This convergence of factors means that there are structural shifts that are going to dominate the landscape, both on the economic side and on the property market side,” Rockey said. “There are foundational things that will change; understanding them and integrating them into strategic frameworks for thinking about capital deployment is going to be essential, and I would argue a differentiator for investors over the next decade.”

“The near-term cycle matters,” Rockey acknowledged. “I don’t want to downplay that, but we are in a shift away from decades and decades of certain trends, and that results in underlying structural momentum which had not existed, [and which] started in Trump’s first term.”

Economic growth is uneven, Rockey said, whether you look at it by sector, by market, or income group. “Some markets are expanding, some industries are expanding, some are in contraction.”

Economic growth is being driven by three “A’s,” she said: Asset Values, Affluence (the share of spending by upper income households in the U.S. population) and AI, which itself is symbolic of the broader government focus on expanding the productive capacity of the U.S. economy.

Since the advent of ChatGPT, the value of the entire U.S. equity market has risen by $32 trillion, Rockey noted. “For some perspective, our national debt is $39 trillion,” she added. For every dollar of additional wealth from higher asset values, U.S. consumers tend to spend about three more cents. In other words, people spend more when they feel wealthier, even if they are not flush with cash.

“So, if you do the math in any given year since COVID-19, this [wealth effect] has added roughly 30 basis points at a minimum to headline GDP growth,” Rockey said. “And in some years like 2024, potentially up to 70 basis points of headline economic growth came from the consumption effects that high asset value had on consumer behavior.”

“The top income deciles in the U.S. economy are accounting for a historically large share of spending,” Rockey said, noting the disparity of income distribution across the country. “This is an uneven economy, but affluent households are not as price-sensitive the way that lower income households are, so when gas goes up to $4.50 a gallon, their behavior does not change in the same ways that a broader base of consumption would change.”

“We can’t not talk about AI,” Rockey said, while also stressing that the rapid rise of AI needs to be considered in context. Rockey said that starting with Trump’s first term, the U.S. government has, for the first time in decades, been actively trying to strengthen America’s ability to produce things. This can be through the tax code, incentives, federal spending, tariffs and trade agreements.  

“AI is just another line item in the supply side of the U.S. economy that allows us to be more productive,” Rockey said, “Productivity is the engine of growth that results in higher well-being.”

“I think that there’s a little bit more underlying resilience to the economy than we sometimes give it credit for,” she said, although she noted that her firm has downgraded its projection for growth specifically due to the ongoing conflict in Iran.

“I think it’s still reasonable under a pretty wide set of baseline assumptions to assume that we’ll get a [GDP] growth year in the 2%-2.5% range,” Rockey said, “And that’s a pretty decent year.”

Starting even before COVID-19, we’ve moved from an era solely focused on efficiency to one where we’re focused on resilience because of supply-side shocks to the economy, Rockey said. The shocks in those years have been many: along with COVID-19, there’s been the Russia-Ukraine war, significant trade and immigration policy changes, and more recently, the conflict in Iran.   

“And the Federal Reserve’s toolkit is really designed for demand-side shocks, which have been predominant over the last several decades [relative to supply-side shocks]. This is a new world of more frequent disruptive supply side shocks and a period of time where resilience is going to matter more, and the calculus therefore changes.”

“I think the macro story in industrial real estate has been pretty consistent across the last few years,” Rockey said. “We knew in the aftermath of COVID-19, particularly as rates started to rise, that demand was going to cool off. It would also cool off because a nontrivial share of pandemic demand was pulled forward from future years – a giveback was inevitable.”

“We had rates go up, so we had interest-rate-sensitive spending start to pull back at faster paces,” Rockey said, “And ultimately, we had a huge amount of construction that was coming, so we knew vacancy was going to go up from its cyclical low (2.8%), which was unprecedented in our data.”

“Ultimately, there’s going to be shifting structural demand that originates from the forces that I talked about, in particular, global supply chains and manufacturing, and the effects are not just national,” she said. “You’re going to hear me talk about different geographic corridors in the country because these are a starting point for understanding relative competitive advantages, and from there we can go down to the city, the submarket, or asset level.”

Regions in North America that score highly on factors such as highway and rail access, affordable and available infrastructure, labor availability and related metrics include Texas, the Southeast, the Midwest, the Intermountain West and Rocky Mountain Corridor, and Mexico.

Different parts of the country offer different strategic advantages; parts of California might have higher tax rates, higher cost of labor and higher energy costs, but they also benefit from access to goods coming from Asia and proximity to large population centers (and therefore labor). The West Coast generally boasts pockets of highly skilled workers that are difficult to find elsewhere at scale.

Labor is a crucial consideration for industrial real estate; not only does labor typically make up 50% of operating expenses, but the industrial workforce is old – and getting older.

“About a quarter of the industrial workforce is eligible, or will be eligible in the next few years, to retire,” Rockey said. One result of this is that companies are focusing more on fully autonomous warehouses and integrating them strategically into their supply chain.

“There is an economic imperative to do this,” she said.

Rockey said that automation is “moving from a ‘nice to have’ to a necessity, and that’s really kicking into high gear.” Automation, of course, has different needs than a traditional warehouse, with significantly more power requirements, heavier floor loads and potentially a longer horizon for return on capital expenditures.

From a portfolio perspective, integrating more automation-ready facilities can help balance risk. In addition, the diversification of the industrial tenant base can allow for what Rockey calls “thematic occupancy:” analyzing who tenants are, what their industries are, noting any cyclicality in those industries, and deciding if that exposure is the preferred strategic approach.  

Ultimately, Rockey emphasized that the winners of the next decade will be those who build resilient, strategically flexible portfolios aligned with the dramatic reshaping of the global economy.


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The consensus among a panel of experts discussing capital markets and industrial investment trends at I.CON East this week in Jersey City, New Jersey, is that the industrial market remains healthy and full of opportunities. 

Moderator Eric Foster, co-lead of industrial capital markets at Avison Young, led the discussion, asking panelists to share their perspectives on “where people are spending money, and how they’re sometimes maybe not spending money, in the industrial asset landscape.” 

Craig Cowie, senior managing director at Affinius Capital, said that industrial has repriced aggressively and quickly. “We’re seeing development spreads that are really, really healthy on a relative basis.” He noted that it’s been tougher to compete on acquisitions compared to ground-up development, “but we’re seeing exceptionally healthy flow on what I would call infill bespoke opportunities for industrial. So it’s not one-size-fits all. It’s not one major market, but we’re finding incredible opportunities and pulling the trigger where we can.” 

Similarly, Brian Tilton, managing director, portfolio management at Nuveen, said his company is “seeing compelling opportunities to pursue development across our buckets of capital” that invest in industrial. He noted Nuveen recently closed on two infill, airport-adjacent development sites where they tore down Class C office buildings and are building LEED-certified, Class A multitenant light industrial. 

Andrew Goodman, senior managing director, Link Logistics Real Estate, said he considers the market “very healthy, very functional. We are buying and selling a lot.” In terms of current capital market activity, “there’s a lot of equity out there that continues to want to be deployed into real estate, into logistics. Debt is readily available, all different types of debt … so capitalizing deals is really not an issue.” 

On the deployment side, Goodman noted that “it’s really been a basis play many times because as rents reset and many markets reset and recalibrate, you are able to get in at a per-square-foot value that’s below replacement cost, that feels good historically, and has good leasing demand.” 

Foster noted there had been a general lack of development over the past couple of years. “What I am seeing and what we’re forecasting is a real potential landlord’s market getting even stronger.” He asked what Tilton expects for future rents and vacancies as he underwrites assets. “Do you think we’re going to be back to the days where you could really push rents, and a lot of space will be absorbed in the next year or so?” 

“From an underwriting standpoint, we tend to be fairly conservative across the board, across strategies,” Tilton said. “Our team has not materially changed their underwriting over the past six to 12 months. … We tend to underwrite 3% rent growth but spend a lot of time focusing [on] utilizing our dataset to try to identify where current spot rents are and where we think we’re going to be relative to market at exit.” 

“On the coast, it’s more dependent on where in-place rents are relative to market. … But where we’ve been focusing on recycling capital has been to those interior, noncoastal markets.” 

Foster also asked about tenant demand and whether tenants are changing their logistics plans, especially given the impact of artificial intelligence and the growth of manufacturing in the United States. 

“What we’re noticing,” Cowie said, “is a small deceleration in 3PL [third-party logistics] and a reacceleration of corporate, which I think speaks to the earnings growth,” which he noted is anywhere between 14% and 18% for the S&P 500. “And what we’re starting to see is that earnings acceleration equals confidence and [encourages] corporates to commit … longer term.” 

He added that they’re also observing e-commerce tenants coming back in terms of net-new development. “So, broadly speaking, we’re feeling pretty good on the tenant side of things.” 

Goodman noted many large tenants that had tabled leasing conversations a year ago during the tariff turmoil have since reengaged. Other factors driving demand are the rise in onshoring and nearshoring, as well as data center construction. 

“The infrastructure to support that is massive, so all of that has a flywheel effect,” he said. “We’re seeing very strong activity in our portfolio.” 

He also noted that a significant amount of tenant demand is coming from both the bulk side – assets 400,000 square feet and larger – and the small-bay side. “The middle tranche, there are some supply issues, some availability issues, so it’s a little softer, but I think we’ll work our way out of that.” 

And then there is the Amazon effect. “It’s not all about Amazon, but they do set the tone,” Goodman said. “They have more than doubled their footprint since 2020.” He cited a stat he recently read saying that 66% of homes were within an hour drive of an Amazon delivery hub in 2020. “It’s now 86%. So that is very real. And those tailwinds are real.” 

Returning to the topic of data centers, Tilton said that Nuveen Real Estate isn’t investing in them through its industrial platform (although its parent company has significant exposure to them). “But I think we are benefiting from the adjacent component manufacturers who need space to be close to the data centers. We’re also seeing the data centers clearly compete for land and help to hold up potential industrial land values.” 

Goodman noted that access to power has become a central focus not just for data centers, but also for industrial tenants, especially those involved in advanced manufacturing. “We are combing through our portfolio to see where we could access more power to offer that to our tenants to create a leasing advantage. I don’t consider Link to be in the data center business, but we are touching it in a very real way in terms of power and access to power.” 

Cowie said Affinius Capital has the same number of people devoted to data centers as it does to its industrial business. The company has developed about 400 megawatts thus far and has another 600 to 800 megawatts under control. He said the data center business is like a “rocket ship,” but projects need to have a clear path to power by 2028 or perhaps early 2029 “or you’re effectively going to go to the back of the queue in terms of the engagement by that tenant on your dirt or on your project.” 

At this point, he doesn’t see the data center boom competing with capital for the industrial market. “I think the capital that wants to go into data centers is looking for something different to what I would call sort of traditional vanilla food groups of industrial housing and maybe storage, etc. … But where we are going to see it is an equity gap in the debt capital markets. The volume of capital raised by hyperscalers and data center developers is going to chew up capacity in that sector. And I think bank balance sheets are going to become really strained if they’re not there already, unless they’re recycling capital. 

“With the amount of capital needed to develop data centers and AI, we’re watching the debt capital markets aspect really closely.” 


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At I.CON East this week, tour attendees got an up-close look at how the New York City Economic Development Corporation (NYCEDC) plans to modernize the Brooklyn Marine Terminal (BMT), transforming it into a key component of the city’s “Harbor of the Future,” while also addressing a critical land-based concern: more housing at a range of affordability levels. 

NYCEDC assumed operational control of the 122-acre site in 2024 from the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey. The Port of New York and New Jersey, comprising multiple sites, is the nation’s second busiest port for loaded containers, but BMT serves a small niche segment of the market, handling under 1.5% of container volume. David Lowin, senior vice president of development in NYCEDC’s asset management group, said that while BMT no longer fit into the Port Authority’s long-term plans, it offered a “generational opportunity” for the city.  

He explained that BMT is something of an outlier from other terminals in the area. For one, it is the only such facility east of Manhattan. For another, it is surrounded by a residential neighborhood (Red Hook) and doesn’t have any connection to rail. Much of the acreage is not intensely used, and only 51% is occupied by maritime-dependent uses: the Brooklyn Cruise Terminal and the Red Hook Container Terminal. Its existing finger piers are either out of service or nearing the end of their useful life. 

Still, Lowin emphasized that the vision for BMT is not to displace its maritime uses, but rather to reinvest in them while dedicating its unused land to residential and mixed-use assets. 

Among the goals he highlighted for BMT were: 

  • Reinvesting in the port, including addressing a significant amount of deferred maintenance and supporting its long-term financial sustainability. 
  • Modernizing and electrifying the port while decreasing its use of diesel. 
  • Maximizing the number of containers entering and leaving the port via water while reducing truck traffic on the surrounding streets. 
  • Taking advantage of unused land to create mixed uses such as hospitality, retail and light industry that benefit the community. 
  • Increasing the density of the site so that ferry service can increase from once per hour to three times per hour. 
  • Improving resiliency by preparing the site and adjoining neighborhoods for sea-level rise and climate change. 

Another major component of the new vision for BMT is the creation of 6,000 housing units, including 2,400 affordable units, across two separate sites that are currently partially vacant or underused: Atlantic Basin and BMT North.  

“This is one of the few opportunities that still exist in the city for creating housing at scale,” Lowin said. The mixed-use residential development will also create open space and public waterfront access. 

Plans are to transform Atlantic Basin into a newly activated and modern working waterfront. Preliminary concepts include enhanced ferry service, a new cruise terminal, and a workforce training and experiential learning center. BMT North is envisioned as a pedestrian-forward neighborhood with transit focused on Columbia Street, including a dedicated neighborhood busway. 

Other planned uses include 250,000 square feet of community facility space, 275,000 square feet of commercial space, 275,000 square feet of light industrial/industrial space, and up to 400 hotel rooms. 

BMT is also envisioned as the entry point into a broader “Blue Highways” freight system. Under this plan, food-grade containers would come into BMT on container vessels from international ports and then be transferred onto barges for delivery to a large food distribution center at Hunts Point in the South Bronx, greatly reducing emissions and traffic from truck deliveries. According to NYCEDC, there are opportunities for Blue Highways activities at more than 25 locations along the city’s waterfront. It is also exploring the potential use of private landing sites in partnership with industry along the Bronx and Queens waterfronts. 

According to figures from NYCEDC, the new vision for BMT is expected to generate $18 billion in economic impact. In addition, it is expected to create 37,000 temporary construction jobs and 2,000 permanent operational jobs.  

While leading tour attendees on a van tour of BMT, Lowin noted that the site is currently limited by its infrastructure. But that is changing. Currently, $418 million of public capital has been secured from a combination of city, state and federal funds to revitalize and modernize the container port. The future 60-acre port will feature flex maritime space, including additional container storage, bulk cargo, construction staging and Blue Highway space. 

The goal: to set a new standard for modern maritime. 

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Touring a ghost kitchen may not sound glamorous – until you step inside and realize you’re looking at cutting-edge food delivery infrastructure. 

During I.CON East this week in Jersey City, New Jersey, attendees were able to tour CloudKitchen’s 17,000-square-foot Union City, New Jersey, facility. CloudKitchens provides commercial kitchen space for delivery-only restaurants, ranging from household names like Starbucks to local mom-and-pop shops looking to expand their business. More than 500 facilities worldwide are part of a portfolio that also includes food production facilities operated by ProFood Properties, which focus on single tenants and large-format food production. 

According to Statista, revenue in the U.S. online food delivery market is projected to reach $473.49 billion in 2026. An estimated 60% of U.S. adults order takeout or food delivery at least once a week, with the COVID-19 pandemic accelerating growth in the use of food delivery services. 

 CloudKitchen aims to create a plug-and-play setup for restaurants; the company provides space, onboarding services, on-site technicians for mechanical support, basic equipment, proprietary technology platforms and access to local markets that might not otherwise be available. The company’s staff includes a large component of architects and engineers able to customize kitchens to meet tenant needs. The company’s goal is to take care of the real estate side of the equation so that their tenants can focus on the food side. 

CloudKitchen combined three former electrical supply/wholesaler buildings for their Union City location, which opened for production in 2024. The facility hosts 32 tenants, with some operating at all hours of the day, serving a wide range of cuisines. The location of the facility enables a tenant restaurant to reach 206,000 residents and 90,000 workers within a 15-minute delivery radius.  

The process is deceptively simple: A consumer places their order through their favorite delivery app; the order gets routed to the delivery person and CloudKitchen restaurant, and the race is on. When the delivery person arrives at the CloudKitchen lobby, they simply display the order information on their phone to CloudKitchen’s camera, and the corresponding locker holding that order opens. In and out – simple as that. 

Behind the scenes, CloudKitchen leverages software to closely track and analyze their operators’ habits and needs, adjusting as necessary. BMS (Battery Management System) sensors track each kitchen’s temperature, moisture level and even patterns of activity, such as typical hours of operation. That data is then charted daily to maximize the optimal use of the facility’s power and air flow. CloudKitchen tries to anticipate their operators’ challenges and help them be successful.   

Air flow is top of mind for the CloudKitchen engineers; they closely track and modify the air going in and out of the building, and in and out of each kitchen. Whether it’s a noodle company or a char-grilled chicken sandwich restaurant, the facility needs to carefully calibrate the temperatures, moisture and air flow to match the individual needs of each operator. 

Each location of a CloudKitchen facility offers unique opportunities and challenges – ones that the team relishes solving. Adapting a former industrial building for the Union City facility provided built-in advantages such as a roof that could support heavy-duty ventilation systems but also required updates to electrical systems and duct work. 

As food delivery continues to reshape consumer behavior, facilities like these may become as essential to cities as warehouses, office towers and apartment buildings. 


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As data center projects expand into new markets, they are drawing increased scrutiny from local governments and communities. In a session this week at NAIOP’s I.CON Data Centers in Jersey City, New Jersey, panelists explored how developers are navigating misconceptions, engaging with stakeholders, and moving projects forward.

Led by moderator Scott Ziance, Esq., partner, Vorys, Sater, Seymour and Pease LLP, the panelists included Daniel English, managing partner, Legacy Investments; Hank Evans, economic development and community engagement, OpenAI; and Martin Romo, vice president, external affairs, Rowan Digital Infrastructure.

“We’ve been investing in data centers for 15 years, so we’ve been at this for quite a while,” Romo said. “I was lamenting that nobody knew what we were doing for 14 of them, and then suddenly we were hated but never loved. So, I’m happy to talk about what we’ve been up to.”

The panelists shared their key recommendations for working successfully with local stakeholders to launch a successful data center project.

Listen to the local community.

When a development team is first coming into a community, they don’t necessarily know the history, personalities or needs of that community. “I think the first thing really is just to listen – I think that is really underrated,” English said. He likes to hold a listening roundtable and talk about the project at a high level and then revisit the conversation later to share project details.

People may have concerns about data centers, but hearing from the local community is critical to getting off to a great start, Romo said. The project team can hear from the community about their economic development goals and translate how the data center project fits into their vision.

Address misconceptions with truth.

“There’s a massive misunderstanding of what data centers are,” English said. “Most people I talk to don’t know what a data center is; they’ve heard of it, they think it’s bad and scary, and they might have some sense that data lives in it.”

English noted a data center project in downtown Minneapolis his team worked on that repurposed a building built in 1988 into a modern, high-tech facility. After touring it, the mayor was pleased to learn that the project was not only aesthetically pleasing but generated tax revenue and did not have the environmental drain that was feared.

From a city’s perspective, vacant buildings are considered dead assets. They are not being leased, not being used, not producing tax revenue – and sometimes declining right in the urban core. In these cases, when a data center development team has harnessed existing electrical power and water infrastructure, increased the tax basis, and brought in significant amounts of investment into the downtown area, city leaders are excited about welcoming a data center, English said.

Balance transparency with confidentiality.

“[Non-disclosure agreements (NDAs)] have become a weird lightning rod, but for some of our clients, it has long been a part of the script for engaging in a community,” Ziance said, and asked the panelists how they balance the need for confidentiality versus the need for transparency.

“For us, it’s paramount to start establishing trust from the very first conversation, and to build on that trust,” Romo said. “It doesn’t start with handing over a piece of paper and saying, ‘Please sign here.’”

“[The approach] has changed significantly in the past decade,” Evans said. “Now, we don’t use NDAs in communities.” When you’re briefing a city’s board of commissioners early on in the project, you need to trust that they’re not going to share that information with the community or with the press, he said, even knowing that it’s likely that some members won’t be favorable toward this asset class.

There will always be aspects of a project that can’t be shared because they are still changing or confidential, such as the company expected to occupy the data center.

Engage across multiple platforms.

Early and iterative engagement across multiple platforms helps address concerns from community members, said Romo. Some people want to come to an open house; some people go online to learn more and can read FAQs or submit their questions through a portal on a project website; some prefer to go to a community dinner to meet the project leaders face to face.

“If you want to have that type of open dialogue, it has been pretty helpful to allow people to let out their frustrations and learn a little bit about how we actually are developing versus what their misconceptions may be,” Romo said.

“The best community meetings I’ve been to are ones where we’re not on the hot seat – it’s the city manager or mayor on the hot seat there, and they own the own the project more than we do,” Ziance said. This is the result of those months of building trust.

Invest where it matters.

“At Rowan, we sponsor community grants,” Romo said. “We have a Community Catalyst program where we sit down with local leaders and understand what’s missing, what’s wanted [in their community].” His team tries to determine how they can address local priorities, such as sponsoring STEM centers in elementary schools or creating apprenticeship programs with their construction teams.

From workforce development programs to supporting affordable housing, “It’s really about identifying some of those local leaders and the key drivers in that community and becoming a true partner,” Romo said. “These aren’t huge capital expenditures, but they actually go a really long way in helping to build that trusted developer partner that we all want to be.”

“One of the biggest benefits that we hear from residents is they’re so excited that we can come in and build a curriculum at the school so their kid might actually be able to have a job in the community where they grew up instead of having to leave to look for work,” Evans said. “That is, far and away, a huge focus for us and really impactful.”

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Power is no longer just a requirement in data center development – it is a key differentiator. This week at NAIOP’s I.CON Data Centers in Jersey City, New Jersey, two experts discussed how utilities and developers are working together to navigate rising demand, explore alternative energy solutions and integrate on-site generation to tackle grid constraints and evolving energy needs.

National Grid Ventures Vice President, Asset Development, Nabil Hitti, and Christie 55 Solutions Managing Director Bob Martin shared their perspectives on not only the challenges but also the opportunities related to delivering power to data centers.

The Key Role of Partnerships

Utilities and power suppliers have been connecting generators for many years, and there are lessons learned that can be implemented in the current landscape. Hitti said he has been looking at how to increase speed to market and work with the power suppliers to bring the power that’s needed on a co-located basis, behind the meter or in front of the meter.

“You have to work with all your stakeholders on a daily basis,” said Hitti, noting that “stakeholders” includes local communities.

“We build gas and electric infrastructure over hundreds and hundreds of miles, which means there are thousands and thousands of communities that we have to bring along and partner with to make sure that we are able to do that in a cost-effective way and a way that is success for both of us,” Hitti said.

Updating Aging Power Infrastructure

We get caught up in discussions about where power is located and NIMBYism, but we forget that the grid needs massive upgrades, Martin said, noting that 70% of the grid is 25 years or older. “In that length of time, consider the changes in technology that have [occurred].”

“One thing I know for sure is that the utilities, the load-serving entities, have to play a major role in looking forward; in long-term planning,” Martin said. “I think FERC [Federal Energy Regulatory Commission] and RTOs [Regional Transmission Organizations] across the country really missed the boat on this.”

“The bottom line is that those major players should have been worried about supply and demand,” Martin said. “And I think that now is the time to get all the players in the room working to drive [progress] and make things work long term, because it affects all of the overall data center business.”

“In the last 20 years or so, we haven’t seen the growth in the demand we’ve just started to see in the last couple of years,” Hitti said. “So, a lot of the utilities infrastructure ages, because you’re not really making as much investment when you don’t really see that load growth, and the same is true with power supply.”

Now, companies like National Grid Ventures are focused on modernizing and investing in the grid, as well as anticipatory planning to keep ahead of the changing technology and prepare for what’s next.

“For us, it really is just actually being able to think ahead on those things, understand the dynamic and be part of the solution on how we advance these innovative ways [to deliver power] and make investments into making the grid much more robust for the future,” Hitti said.

Anticipatory planning is a team sport; it requires working with regulators, with government officials, with other stakeholders to get everyone working collaboratively and look ahead to what’s coming next.

Trained Labor: A Critical Resource

Another long-term challenge that needs immediate attention: training the next generation of specialists who understand how to manage power networks efficiently: power system engineers, electrical engineers, mechanical engineers and others.

“I remember when I graduated, we had a couple of hundred folks graduating with power systems [degrees]; nowadays, you’re lucky to have four,” Hitti said. “We need folks who can help us bridge that gap because we have a big gap on the people side.”

“We always talk about equipment; we talk about having turbines ready.” Hitti said. “But then what? If you don’t have the people who know what they’re doing, that’s not going to help you that much.”

“You need a generation of kids going into those trades to be able to build those centers – not just the data center side, but the power generation side,” said Martin.

A Long-term Strategy for Success

Nuclear power is definitely a major part of the long-term strategy for power generation, Martin said. “The SMR [Small Modular Reactor] technology is dynamic right now.”

There are six or seven major players – companies like GE Vernova, Hitachi, TerraPower, and Holtec – that are investing billions into SMR and are going to meet that race in the next 7-10 years, Martin said.

“Everything plays a role in meeting the increasing need for power: batteries, solar, wind, natural gas, combined cycle, single cycle, nuclear,” Hitti said. “It’s really important to not just think about one single option.”

“Your supply and demand are all dynamic and real-time,” Hitti said. It’s better to have more tools in your toolbox, he added, particularly when managing the peaks and valleys of changing economic conditions, variable weather conditions, and staying cost-effective for customers.

“That’s why we really believe in an ‘all of the above’ strategy; not because it’s a buzzword, but it’s genuinely the right tools to have for operators, for people that are actually balancing the system to produce the best outcome.”

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The capital chasing data centers today is staggering. But as panelists at NAIOP’s I.CON Data Centers conference this week in New Jersey pointed out, the bigger story is what it takes to deploy that capital successfully.

Led by moderator Tyler McGrail, executive managing director, Newmark, panelists were Robert Filley, senior managing director, Institutional Property Advisors; Jonathan Quinn, director, Capital Markets, Panattoni Development Company; and Sara Wayson, head of data centers, U.S., Mapletree.

Forecasts say the United States could add between 80 and 130 gigawatts of new power capacity tied to data center demand over the next several years – requiring an estimated $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion in equity and debt capital.

But despite the flood of money entering the sector, the panel agreed that capital is no longer indiscriminate. Investors, lenders and developers are becoming far more selective about where they place bets, how partnerships are structured, and which projects are truly financeable.

And increasingly, the difference between projects that move forward and those that stall comes down to one word repeated throughout the session: Power.

Just a few years ago, a compelling narrative around a site – future demand, conceptual infrastructure plans, strategic geography – could generate investor interest. Today, panelists said, capital providers want tangible proof in the forms of load studies, utility engagement, water solutions, community outreach, permitting strategies and infrastructure plans.

“If you’ve got a [data center] site, you are now in the infrastructure business,” Filley said.

That evolution is reshaping how projects are underwritten from the earliest stages. Developers are spending six months to a year preparing sites before formally bringing them to market, often investing millions upfront simply to create a credible development story.

Filley described how even private landowners are increasingly pulled into sophisticated early-stage capitalization structures. In some cases, “phase one” equity partners are funding predevelopment work – including power studies, environmental diligence and entitlement efforts – long before a project is ready for institutional capital.

“It’s not a little bit of capital,” he said. “It can be $5 million to $15 million to get to the point where you’re actually ready to go.”

That front-loaded diligence is also changing investor behavior. Historically, many institutional groups waited until projects were fully de-risked – after construction, leasing and utility procurement – before deploying capital. Today, investors are entering much earlier in the process.

“What we’re noticing is a lot of groups are coming to the table even prior to that point,” said Quinn. “They’re willing to take that risk that maybe historically they had shied away from.”

The result is a new generation of partnership models where investors and developers are increasingly working collaboratively through entitlement, utility coordination and infrastructure development.

But that shift can also create friction. As capital providers move upstream into the development process, developers are navigating more negotiation around control rights, milestones and utility risk. Investors want greater visibility into schedules, permitting and infrastructure timelines, while developers are being asked to carry more exposure if utility delivery slips.

“A lot of tenants are starting to take more of an active approach,” Quinn said. “They’re looking to the owner to ultimately take on that utility risk and take on that delay.”

That dynamic is particularly important in a market where timelines continue to stretch. What once qualified as a “quick path to power” has fundamentally changed.

“A quicker path to power two years ago was 12 to 18 months,” said Wayson. “Now, if I can get power in 36 months, then I’ve still got a great site.”

At the same time, tenant demand remains remarkably strong across multiple segments of the market – not just among hyperscalers. Wayson observed that midsize colocation and retail operators are still expanding aggressively, often competing for 20 to 50 megawatts of capacity while hyperscalers pursue much larger deployments.

That demand is also influencing how owners think about long-term portfolio strategy. Existing leases signed years ago are now colliding with today’s infrastructure realities, forcing owners to modernize buildings, secure additional power and reposition older facilities for evolving tenant needs.

In many cases, tenants themselves are becoming capital partners, investing heavily into infrastructure upgrades while seeking longer lease terms to protect those investments.

The discussion also highlighted the growing divide between established data center markets and emerging ones.

Northern Virginia continues to dominate because of its proven ecosystem, infrastructure redundancy and connectivity advantages, said Filley. But as power constraints intensify, developers and investors are aggressively exploring secondary and tertiary markets across the Southeast and Midwest.

“There’s a rush for power,” Filley said. “It’s speed to power.”

Still, panelists cautioned that not every “next market” will succeed.

Panelists agreed that many emerging markets carry risks that are still not fully understood – including long-term political support, taxation structures, infrastructure limitations and community acceptance. That uncertainty is forcing investors to think beyond immediate demand and ask harder questions about long-term viability.

“We’re looking at, ‘What do I see in five years?’” Wayson said. “If for some reason I have a tenant leave, can I release that because it’s still in a market people want to be in?”

The panelists repeatedly returned to flexibility as one of the most important characteristics for success moving forward.

That flexibility may become even more important as financing structures continue evolving and as second-generation data centers create entirely new pricing dynamics across the market, particularly as older infrastructure depreciates and operators compete on cost.

Even so, infrastructure concerns remain front and center, with Filley noting the vulnerability of aging utility systems supporting highly secure digital infrastructure.

Capital and demand remain, the panelists agreed, but the projects that secure financing – and ultimately succeed – will likely be the ones that can demonstrate not only access to power, but also the ability to navigate entitlement risk, utility coordination, infrastructure delivery and long-term operational relevance.

This post was originally published here

By Kathryn Hamilton, CAE

The data center development landscape is evolving at extraordinary speed, panelists agreed during a session at NAIOP’s I.CON Data Centers this week in New Jersey. But as demand accelerates, so do the challenges. Developers today are navigating a far more complicated environment than even two years ago – one shaped by power constraints, growing community scrutiny and shifting utility requirements.

Moderated by Henry Fox, managing director at Newmark, the panel featured Sam Stockdale, managing director of power and infrastructure at Link Logistics; Douglas Swain, president of Logistix Property Group; and Jeff Zygler, founder and chief executive officer of Active Infrastructure.

As the group explored what it now takes to deliver large-scale data center projects across both established and emerging markets, several themes consistently emerged.

Certainty Has Become More Valuable Than Scale

Not long ago, the industry’s primary focus was securing large land positions with access to significant power capacity. Today, the conversation has shifted toward certainty for entitlements and power delivery.

A site’s viability can no longer be judged solely by headline megawatt availability. Developers are taking a much closer look at whether power commitments are truly secured, what level of collateral utilities are required, and whether projects have a realistic path to delivery.

At the same time, entitlement risk has become a defining factor in site selection as data center projects face greater public scrutiny in many markets. Unlike power challenges, which can often be addressed with enough time and capital, entitlement issues are far less predictable.

As a result, investment committees are becoming more cautious. In some cases, unresolved entitlement questions are creating more concern than difficult infrastructure challenges.

Community Engagement is Now a Core Development Strategy

The importance of community relations and public perception continues to grow as organized opposition to data center projects becomes more common, particularly in fast-growing markets. Concerns around water usage, power consumption, noise and land use are increasingly surfacing during entitlement processes.

Panelists acknowledged that some of those concerns stem from misunderstandings about how modern facilities operate, particularly around cooling systems and infrastructure impacts on the residential consumer. At the same time, they stressed that dismissing community concerns is not a viable strategy.

Instead, developers are approaching municipalities and local stakeholders as long-term partners and considering that political dynamics are also becoming part of project underwriting, with election cycles, leadership changes and shifting public sentiment all capable of affecting project timelines and approvals – especially in jurisdictions where zoning codes do not clearly address data center uses.

Power Strategy is Becoming More Sophisticated

While access to power remains foundational, the industry’s approach to power strategy is evolving quickly.

Rather than relying exclusively on utility-delivered grid power, developers are evaluating broader infrastructure solutions that include natural gas access and alternative energy strategies designed to accelerate delivery timelines.

The industry is also adapting to increasingly stringent utility requirements that require, in many markets, larger deposits, stronger financial guarantees, and a more rigorous application process before reserving capacity.

Utility coordination has become far more collaborative, with developers participating directly in procurement efforts for long-lead electrical equipment and, in some cases, contributing to infrastructure development to compress timelines.

Select Emerging Markets Are Gaining Momentum

Geographic preferences are also shifting as traditional data center markets become increasingly constrained.

While established hubs such as Northern Virginia, Dallas, Chicago and Atlanta remain highly active, developers are expanding into emerging regions where power availability and development flexibility may offer advantages – including markets across the Midwest, Pennsylvania and parts of the South.

Still, panelists stressed that market selection is no longer simply about finding inexpensive land or secondary locations. Developers are evaluating regions through a broader lens that includes entitlement certainty, infrastructure readiness, political climate and long-term scalability.

Projects capable of delivering meaningful power capacity before 2030 are attracting significant interest regardless of geography. In many cases, speed to power has become more important than whether a market is traditionally viewed as “tier one” or “tier two.”

Supply Chain Control is Becoming a Competitive Advantage

Beyond land and power, developers increasingly view equipment procurement and supply chain management as critical differentiators.

Long-lead electrical infrastructure – including transformers and switchgear – continues to create significant schedule risk. In response, some firms are taking a more proactive approach by locking in equipment earlier and securing manufacturing capacity well ahead of project delivery.

Panelists suggested that in the years ahead, managing supply chain timing may become just as important as controlling land positions.

A More Disciplined Phase of Growth

Despite the challenges, panelists remained optimistic about the sector’s long-term outlook, acknowledging that the industry is entering a more disciplined phase – one where successful execution depends less on speculative land aggregation and more on infrastructure expertise, stakeholder alignment and development certainty.

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By Marie Ruff

Hyperscalers, cloud providers and enterprise users are becoming more precise in how they evaluate data center opportunities. In a session at NAIOP’s inaugural I.CON Data Centers conference this week in Jersey City, New Jersey, panelists shared what differentiates successful projects and how developers can align strategy with evolving user expectations.

The session was moderated by Randy Borron, SIOR, vice chairman, Cushman & Wakefield; panelists included Todd Johnson, director of development, mission critical, Ryan Companies US, Inc.; Ryan McGrath, Northeast critical facility practice area leader, Gensler; and Marie Purkert, national client leadership team, Kimley-Horn.

The Explosive Growth of Data Center Development

“I think we can refer to this as a once-in-a-generation infrastructure expansion,” said Borron. “Globally, the [data center] market now exceeds $340 billion and is growing at double-digit numbers – don’t write that down because it’s going to change tomorrow.”

Data center growth is being driven by AI workloads that are fundamentally changing how data centers are sized, located, powered and designed, Borron added. The U.S. accounts for more than half the global hyperscale capacity and demand continues to outpace supply; in 2025 alone, the U.S. market absorbed 2.5 GW of capacity.

“The evolution of data center development is just a hockey stick [indicating a long period of slow growth followed by a sudden, dramatic spike] in the last three, possibly four, years since ChatGPT [emerged],” said Johnson.

“In terms of the [data center] developer, they need to be in a position to have a bare minimum of due diligence done on a site in order to attract users,” he said. “We call it ‘stories’ because it really is just what you can gather on the surface about what the potential is on site from a power perspective or an entitlements perspective.”

While the Big 5 hyperscalers [which typically include Amazon, Microsoft, Google (Alphabet), Meta and Oracle] all have submission portals, don’t stop there if you’re trying to get them to look at your site, said Johnson. Getting in front of the transaction manager themselves is key.

“If you want to get into the Big 5, find out who the person is in your area by networking, and/or partnering with someone who has those relationships,” Johnson said. “But be careful because someone might say they have those relationships and they don’t have them.”

“As a developer, you may have experience in developing properties, but [users] want to see that you have expertise in [the data center] space, so partnering with people who have done it before is really how you instill confidence in potential users,” McGrath said. “They’re not looking to trust Joe Developer to build them a $1 billion site.”

“I do think finding those key partners early is very important to getting credibility … once you do a few, maybe that lets you spin off by yourself,” McGrath said. It also builds credibility when you can say that not only do you have a site and think you can get 100 MW on it, but that you have a site and already have 100 MW on it and a signed agreement with a power authority.

Power, Flexibility and Scalability

Next, Borron turned to that critical component of power availability, asking the panel, “How are users evaluating power risk today, and how is that reshaping the site selection and entitlement strategy?”

“Power has been something that we have had at the forefront of this discussion now for the last couple of years,” Purkert said. Key questions to consider include: What conversations have you had already with the utilities that are serving that piece of property? Where is that transmission line coming in? What is the time frame to get those that connectivity to your site?

“And in addition, what flexibility do you have on your site right now when it comes to power? Do you have that natural gas line? What is your risk aversion to things like hydrogen fuel cells? Are you willing to look at microgrid and on-site [power] generation?”

“You have to come to the table willing to talk about different solutions, whether you’re the design partner and/or the developer in that space,” Purkert said. “You really need to look at everything in order to figure out what’s going to work for your schedule, and also what’s going to work for the end product.”

When it comes to power, the idea that tier-one markets still reign supreme is inaccurate, Purkert said. “Any market now where you’re able to advance and get that signature early or that commitment right away [for power from the utility company] is now becoming a new tier-one market.”

Incorporating Flexibility in Design

“The expectations around density, scalability, AI workloads, and the cooling technology that goes along with that are reshaping design in a big way,” Borron noted. “What are the hardest aspects? What are the trade-offs that you go through there?”

Chip technology is changing rapidly, sometimes every two or three years, McGrath said, which changes the required density for the data centers.

“With all the changing technology, the ask that we’re getting is, ‘How can you be flexible and how can we offer late-binding decision-making,” he said.

Designers might decide to overbuild a little on the building shell, or provide more open space in the halls, or incorporate the ability to have multiple rack positionings. “Things like that that allow for us to accommodate whatever the chip technology is.” Data center design needs to incorporate flexibility and anticipate technological change before it even happens.

Balancing Speed to Market with Community Integration

“The reality is that now we are operating in an industry that has shielded itself a little bit from communities in the past,” Purkert said. “And now we’re entering an age where transparency is key to getting those permits, that community buy-in and ultimately have a successful project.”

“It’s also important to be good stewards of the communities in which we’re operating; many of us are also living in those communities, and we want to see them continue to prosper,” she said.

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In a recent conversation with NAIOP President and CEO Marc Selvitelli on the Inside CRE Podcast, Chad Lavender, president of capital markets for North America at Newmark, outlined a commercial real estate environment defined by improving liquidity, narrowing bid-ask spreads, and renewed investor confidence across nearly every major asset class.

“It’s a constructive market,” Lavender said. He described today’s investors as disciplined, informed and highly strategic.

“The pretenders are out of the business,” he said. “The people who are transacting today are very knowledgeable and are using all the technology and information to their behest to go make better investment decisions.”

That sophistication is translating into stronger pricing transparency and healthier transaction activity. According to Lavender, “the bid-ask gap has narrowed,” while cap rates across many sectors have stabilized.

He also made it clear that, in his view, the market recovery is already underway.

“I’d say we’re definitely in a recovery,” Lavender said. “Blackstone called the bottom last summer, so that’s good enough for me.”

Lavender sees opportunity across nearly every property type, though each sector has a different story driving capital flows.

Industrial remains one of the strongest performers, especially for large logistics facilities with limited new supply. “There’s virtually no speculative development and no supply for the big million-square-footers,” he noted.

Retail has also staged a major comeback. “There’s no new supply in the asset class,” Lavender said. “If there are any tenants going out, there’s a line out the door to come in, and generally at a higher rate.”

Meanwhile, senior housing is attracting significant investor interest after years of underperformance. Lavender highlighted projected NOI growth of 15% to 20% there over the next three years.

Office continues to be bifurcated. Class A assets are drawing institutional buyers and benefiting from scarcity, while Class B properties are increasingly viewed for repositioning or conversion.

One of Lavender’s clearest messages was that debt availability is no longer the constraint many feared two years ago.

“The availability of efficient financing is an all-time high from our perspective and super competitive,” he said.

While private credit has stepped in aggressively, Lavender emphasized that banks are returning in force as lenders seek to deploy excess deposits.

Compared to the Global Financial Crisis, he believes today’s market environment is dramatically healthier.

“Back then, there was no liquidity on the debt side, so you couldn’t really get anything done,” he said.

Looking ahead, Lavender said investors are less focused on predicting interest rates and more focused on economic growth and asset-level fundamentals.

“You can’t control what rates are,” he pointed out. Instead, investors are concentrating on replacement costs, NOI growth and long-term market positioning.

One overlooked opportunity, according to Lavender, is Class B real estate.

“I think the Class B and C side of the multifamily space and your discount to replacement cost and your yield premium to Class A multifamily – I think that’s a great opportunity,” he said.

For the market to fully regain momentum over the next 12 to 18 months, Lavender believes stability will be the key ingredient.

“As soon as we start seeing rapid NOI growth across sectors,” he said, “we’re going to see incredible sales activity pick up.”

Listen to the full episode of the Inside CRE podcast.

This post was created with the assistance of AI tools; all content was reviewed by the author.

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As part of their ongoing state-level advocacy work, NAIOP members from chapters in Ohio, Michigan and North Carolina engaged policymakers at their state capitals this week. NAIOP members from these states traveled to their respective state capitols to engage and educate lawmakers about the key role of commercial real estate development in spurring economic growth and job creation.

Nearly 80 members from the four Ohio chapters traveled to Columbus for meetings with lawmakers and administration officials to advocate for policies that promote smart economic growth, streamline regulatory processes and fund state programs supporting transformative development across the state. These state programs include the Transformational Mixed-Use Development Program, Opportunity Zone Tax Credit, Brownfield Remediation Program, and Historic Preservation Tax Credit. In addition, NAIOP of Ohio is supporting legislation that modernizes development processes, establishes timelines for local land use decisions, and ensures more predictability to annexation processes and Community Reinvestment Area approval processes.

The Annual Meeting and Legislative Day booklet also included a review of data center development in Ohio. The state alliance recognizes data center’s role as part of the state’s economic infrastructure and as drivers of innovation across multiple sectors of the state’s economy. NAIOP of Ohio supports “a balanced, informed and forward-looking policy framework that allows Ohio to remain competitive while responsibly addressing community, infrastructure and environmental considerations.”

In the mid-Atlantic, members from the three North Carolina chapters – Charlotte, North Carolina Piedmont Triad and Raleigh Durham – traveled to Raleigh this week to advance their 2026 legislative priorities within the state capitol. Their legislative day included meetings with House Speaker Dustin Hall, Senate President Phil Berger and other state lawmakers. NAIOP of North Carolina supports policies that support the state’s continued economic growth, invests in workforce development, funds needed transportation and infrastructure improvements, and provides more transparency and predictability to regulatory processes.

It is worth noting that there are efforts in Ohio to reduce and eliminate property taxes to provide owners with economic relief. However, some policymakers are concerned that the elimination of property taxes will result in increased taxes and fees in other sectors to make up for the lost revenue and maintain a balanced budget. Proponents in Ohio have pledged to continue their effort next year if the necessary requirements are not met for the initiative to qualify for the November ballot.

The core mission of NAIOP of Detroit, one of NAIOP’s newest chapters, is for the state to provide a foundation for continued commercial real estate development and strengthen Michigan’s competitiveness in attracting and retaining private sector investments. This includes effective advocacy at each level of government to ensure public policies are enacted to support growth.

The chapter took its first steps towards this objective with members traveling to Lansing for the initial introduction of NAIOP to lawmakers and the industry’s contribution to the state economy and workforce. The meetings established a relationship within the state capitol that will lead to future policy discussions impacting the development industry.

Legislative days at the state capitol provide valuable opportunities for NAIOP members to build relationships and discuss the issues impacting commercial real estate development directly with state decisionmakers. Member engagement in the legislative process ensures the industry’s voice is heard and taken into consideration.

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At NAIOP’s recent National Forums Symposium, held in Salt Lake City, participants stepped out of the meeting rooms and into the streets for a firsthand look at one of the city’s most significant redevelopment stories. A walking tour of the Gateway District offered commercial real estate professionals a closer view of how a legacy retail center has been repositioned into a vibrant, experience-driven mixed-use destination.

The walking tour, led by Andy Moffitt of Newmark’s Mountain West team, focused on the Gateway District, a downtown asset that has evolved well beyond its original role as a traditional retail center. Today, the district spans more than 1 million square feet and combines retail, dining, office, residential and hospitality uses into a highly walkable, transit-oriented environment that reflects how downtown Salt Lake City is continuing to change.

A central highlight of the tour was the adaptive reuse of the historic Union Pacific Depot, now home to the Asher Adams Hotel. Senior Group Sales Manager Olivia Ikimau led the group through the boutique hotel, which has become both an anchor and a symbol of the broader Gateway reinvention. Located at South Temple Street and 400 West, the project has brought new activity and energy to a site that carries deep historical importance for the city.

Completed in 1909, the depot served as Salt Lake City’s primary railroad station for decades and was an essential gateway to the region. Its architectural character and civic presence led to landmark designation in the early 1970s and inclusion on the National Register of Historic Places. Though restored during the Gateway’s original redevelopment in the late 1990s, the building and surrounding district struggled after the opening of City Creek Center. Retail traffic declined sharply, and the depot’s grand hall became little more than a pass-through space.

Since acquiring the Gateway in 2016, Vestar has pursued a strategy to reposition the district around entertainment, dining, creative office and experiential retail rather than traditional enclosed shopping. The Asher Adams Hotel reflects that approach, preserving the depot’s French Renaissance architectural details while giving the building a new and economically viable use. Original design elements such as arched openings, decorative pilasters, and classical moldings remain central to the space, reinforcing the project’s balance of history and modern hospitality.

The tour also placed the Gateway within the broader context of Salt Lake City’s growth. More than $10 billion have been invested across the metro area between the airport and the University of Utah in recent years. The region has added more than 10,000 housing units over the past decade, contributing to increased density shaped by geographic constraints from the lake and surrounding mountains. Infrastructure investment, downtown development and preparations for the 2034 Winter Olympics continue to drive momentum.

For the tour attendees, the Gateway District offered a clear example of how underperforming retail environments can be reimagined through thoughtful redevelopment, placemaking and adaptive reuse. The walking tour underscored that in growing urban markets like Salt Lake City, honoring historic assets while responding to changing tenant demand can create destinations that feel both rooted and forward-looking.

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Commercial real estate professionals gathered for a capital markets briefing hosted by NAIOP Utah during NAIOP’s National Forums Symposium in Salt Lake City last week. Will McIntosh, Ph.D., senior visiting Fellow of the NAIOP Research Foundation and CEO of ArcBridge Research Group, LLC, shared his assessment of where the market stands and what risks remain.

McIntosh focused on how the CRE market is adjusting after a sharp repricing cycle. “The commercial real estate market is going through a real interesting transition period,” he said. Liquidity is beginning to return as banks slowly re-enter the lending market, transaction activity is picking up from recent lows, and valuations appear closer to stabilizing after several difficult years. At the same time, he emphasized that the market remains highly sensitive to interest rates and capital market volatility, which continue to shape pricing and investor behavior across asset classes.

The economic picture: slow growth, real constraints

The U.S. economy continues to grow, though at a slower pace. GDP growth is expected to be around 2.2% in 2026. McIntosh described that as modest but still constructive. Consumer spending has softened as households remain cautious about prices and employment. Job growth has slowed, though unemployment remains relatively low by historical standards.

Business investment is helping offset weaker consumer demand, particularly spending tied to technology and artificial intelligence. That investment has provided meaningful support for economic activity during a period of uncertainty.

Inflation has eased from recent highs but remains above the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 2% target, keeping pressure on interest rates and capital markets. Elevated energy prices and geopolitical tensions continue to complicate the outlook.

Why interest rates and the 10-year Treasury matter so much

Much of the risk in today’s real estate market comes back to interest rates. While the Fed controls short-term rates, McIntosh emphasized that long-term rates are what matter most for commercial real estate. “The one I worry the most about is not the federal funds rate. It is the 10-year Treasury,” he said. The 10-year Treasury drives mortgage pricing, cap rates and investor returns. Recently, it has remained in the 4% to 4.5% range, helping bring some stability to values. However, large federal borrowing needs mean significant bond issuance ahead. If investors demand higher yields to absorb that supply, long-term rates could rise again, putting renewed pressure on cap rates and valuations.

McIntosh cautioned that if inflation reaccelerates, whether due to energy prices or prolonged global conflict, interest rates could rise further and extend market volatility.

Lending conditions and transactions begin to normalize

One encouraging trend is the gradual return of liquidity. Banks are stepping back into the market after pulling back sharply in recent years, helping support refinancing activity and transaction volume. This shift away from heavy reliance on private debt has been important for market stability.

Lenders remain conservative. Loan-to-value ratios are lower, underwriting standards are tighter, and refinancing is still difficult for some borrowers. In multifamily, government-sponsored enterprises continue to provide most of the capital, while banks and insurance companies are lending selectively on high-quality assets.

Transaction activity has been muted since interest rates began rising in 2022, largely due to stalled price discovery. With fewer deals closing, appraisals were slow to adjust. That logjam is starting to ease. Activity picked up modestly in 2025 and has since stabilized across most property types.

Cap rates have risen since 2021, particularly in office, but have recently leveled off in most sectors. Office remains under pressure as work-from-home trends continue to weigh on demand. Industrial and retail pricing has been more stable, supported by longer leases and more predictable income streams. Multifamily values have adjusted as new supply delivered in recent years works its way through the market.

Key takeaways for CRE professionals

Three clear themes emerged from the discussion.

First, interest rates remain the dominant risk. Where long-term rates settle will determine whether today’s stabilization holds. Second, capital is returning, but selectively. Well-located assets with strong fundamentals are attracting the most attention. Third, the market is moving at different speeds by property type. Industrial and multifamily continue to benefit from long term demand fundamentals, while office remains in a longer reset as supply, valuation and use challenges work through the system.

The CRE market is no longer in crisis mode, but uncertainty remains. This is a period that calls for discipline, realistic assumptions and close attention to capital markets. For CRE professionals, understanding these dynamics will be critical as the next phase of the cycle unfolds.

This post was originally published here

In a wide-ranging conversation at NAIOP’s National Forums Symposium this week in Salt Lake City, former U.S. Senator Mitt Romney shared candid insights on leadership, economic uncertainty, artificial intelligence and the future of American institutions. Drawing from decades in both public service and private equity, Romney offered a sobering – but ultimately hopeful – assessment of where he sees the country stand today.

A Defining Moment of Disruption

Romney didn’t mince words when describing the current moment.

“This is a turbulent, difficult time to make any predictions,” he said. “It is an inflection point in global history.”

He compared today’s environment to major turning points like the Industrial Revolution and the rise of the semiconductor – but emphasized that artificial intelligence may surpass them all in impact.

“AI is quite significantly more dramatic in terms of the impact it’s going to have on the economy, on geopolitics, on our families’ lives. It is a completely disruptive technology,” he said.

At the same time, he pointed to compounding challenges: rising national debt, geopolitical competition with China, and a growing mental health crisis among young people.

“With all those things going on, this is probably a time for strong leadership, capable leadership,” Romney said, noting that extraordinary leaders are making their mark in corporate America and in religious institutions, but that, “politically, I think we’re coming up a little short, not so much in the states as it is at the federal level.”

The Risks We’re Not Addressing

When asked what leaders should be paying more attention to, Romney returned to AI – but with a warning that what concerns him most is the lack of coordinated oversight and the absence of international cooperation.

“When we were working on the nuclear weapon, we had all of the technologists in one place, making sure the technology didn’t escape,” he said. “With regards to AI, it’s going on entirely in the private sector… run like cowboy capitalism.”

Why the Private Sector Matters Most

Romney, who built his business career at Bain Capital, made a point that resonated strongly with the audience of commercial real estate leaders.

“What you do is harder than what Washington does,” he said, acknowledging the real risks associated with commercial real estate development. “If you mess up, you’ll lose your money, your job, and maybe the jobs of a lot of people.”

He contrasted that with government accountability and underscored the importance of economic strength.

“The reason we [the U.S.] have dominated the world is not because of the brilliance of our representatives. It’s because of the extraordinary strength of our economic engine.”

“I used to think that if a company had a really good strategy, they would be successful,” he said, “And [if they have] a bad game plan, a bad strategy, they’re not going to succeed.”

“The biggest surprise to me, the biggest lesson learned through my private sector career and public sector career, is the impact of a leader,” he said.

Leading Through Turnaround Moments

Romney drew on his experience leading the 2002 Winter Olympics turnaround that rescued the games from massive debt to illustrate how leaders should act in times of crisis.

“The first thing we did was a strategic audit, looking at every aspect of the enterprise and taking everything apart,” he explained. “Then we asked ourselves, what do we have to do well to succeed? What is the absolute critical thing [we] have to have? What’s our purpose?”

“The one thing we have to have run perfectly is the field of play for the athletes, and everything else comes second,” he summarized.

Assembling the right team of skilled individuals to earn financial grants, secure sponsorships, build venues, run operations, manage volunteers, and manage media relations was a critical yet difficult task.

Romney said he expects that the team who will lead the 2034 games hosted again in Salt Lake City, as well as the 2028 summer games in Los Angeles, have learned from their experience. 

“The key thing for the Olympics is for the host city to change the mindset from, “How can I make the most money out of these Olympics?” to “How can I  serve the athletes to make sure they have a fabulous experience and serve the people who come here from the rest of the world?”

A Pragmatic Approach to Healthcare Reform

Reflecting on his years as governor of Massachusetts, Romney discussed the origins of the state’s landmark healthcare reform.

“At the time, we had almost 10% of the state population who didn’t have health insurance, and I recognized that. But I recognized there was no way that the state could pay to give everybody health insurance,” he said.

The solution was a market-based approach: require those who can afford insurance to buy it, subsidize those who cannot, and repurpose existing funds.

This took bipartisan cooperation across the state, including with former U.S. Senator Ted Kennedy (D), who helped coordinate across the federal government to adjust the rules on Medicaid in the state.

“It ended up working,” Romney said. “Today, almost everybody in the state has health insurance.”

He noted that while elements were later adopted nationally, he believes “a state-by-state model was the right way.”

Trust in Institutions

Romney emphasized that America’s economic success is rooted in something deeper than policy: trust.

“We have absolute conviction that we are a nation of laws, and that justice is blind,” he said.

However, he warned that this foundation may be eroding.

“There’s a sense that is somewhat in jeopardy, and that who you know makes a difference,” pointing to increasing politicization, particularly in judicial appointments, as a concern for long-term stability.

Despite his concerns, Romney expressed confidence in America’s ability to adapt, highlighting the country’s culture of experimentation and competition as a key advantage.

“The great advantage America has, in my opinion, is the elixir of freedom,” he said. “That’s what has allowed us to outperform the world.”

Even if challenges escalate, he believes the system will respond – either through crisis or leadership. “I’m convinced that we will probably have a crisis or two associated with AI and with our debt and with our education system, all the things I described as problems,” he said. “We will have a crisis that will wake us up, or a leader that will stand up before the crisis occurs.”

A Call for Truthful Leadership

Romney closed with a reflection on what the country needs most from its leaders.

“We need leaders who tell the truth, whether it’s good news or bad news,” he said.

And while he ruled out another presidential run, he made clear what he’s looking for in the next generation.

“Someone who can rise to the occasion, is willing to tell us the truth about the challenges we have and is willing to address them,” he said.

Featured image by Brie Pereboom. Find her on Instagram @BriePereboom.

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As both commuting times and gas prices continue to grow, having everything you need in one building becomes increasingly appealing. Enter live-work-play (LWP) developments, buildings that combine residential with office, retail and occasionally even industrial areas.

Noticing the growing popularity of LWP developments, CoworkingCafe’s latest report focuses on identifying the top U.S. cities with the most live-work-play developments completed over the past 10 years and tracking their evolution during that time. Here are the top entries:

No. 1 New York

Limited space for expansion makes New York the perfect breeding ground for mixed-use developments. Over the past decade, the Big Apple launched 119 new LWP buildings, with 2025 standing out due to the boom in live-work-play structures – 31 new mixed-use constructions opened their doors that year alone. Coworking spaces within LWP structures also went up, reaching 17 flex offices that are ready to accommodate New York’s hybrid workers.

No. 2 Miami and Chicago

Miami and Chicago share the second spot, with 15 LWP developments each. While Miami experienced a sharp spike in mixed-use structures after 2020, recording 11 new buildings, Chicago witnessed steady LWP growth before and after the COVID-19 pandemic. Although the two cities evolved differently, the distribution of residential, office and retail is remarkably similar. For both, multifamily areas dominate LWP constructions, with office and retail covering less of the total LWP square footage compared to the national average (27% for office and 11% for retail).

No. 3 Seattle

With 14 live-work-play developments, Seattle claims the third-highest number of mixed-use structures built in the past decade. Half of these buildings host coworking spaces, which comes as no surprise given that office space takes up a whopping 49% of total LWP square footage in Seattle – the second-highest percentage of office areas in our rankings.

No. 4 Philadelphia and Atlanta

Philadelphia and Atlanta share the fourth spot with 11 live-work-play buildings each. The main distinction between the two is how space breaks down within each city’s LWP buildings. Philadelphia has the third-highest office area in local LWP constructions, with 43% of the total square footage taken up by office space.

Atlanta, by contrast, has the second-lowest office square footage. Even though Atlanta has just 17% office space within mixed-use developments, the city has the sixth-highest number of coworking spaces, with three flex offices nestled within its LWP structures. As for LWP growth, both cities saw steady increases throughout the years.

No. 5 Columbus, Ohio, and Portland, Oregon

With 10 LWP developments apiece, Columbus and Portland share a spot in this ranking. The evolution of LWP buildings follows a similar pattern in both cities – each started strong, with three developments opening in 2016. Columbus saw more mixed-use developments before 2020, with the LWP trend experiencing a slight cool-down post pandemic. Portland has a bit more office square footage in LWP developments than Columbus (32% compared with 28%) which is possibly why the Rose City has a coworking space within its mixed-use developments and Columbus doesn’t.

No. 6 Denver and Nashville, Tennessee

While the LWP evolution is similar for both cities (three mixed-use developments before the pandemic and six after), the trajectory of coworking within these LWP buildings differs. Nashville gained two flex offices between 2022 and 2026, while Denver lost two, going from three to one. This drop likely reflects the small office area found in Denver’s live-work-play structures, which takes up just 19% of the total LWP square footage. Nashville, on the other hand, mirrors the national trend, with office taking up 27% of the total square footage. The Tennessee entry also differentiates itself with the premium quality of its buildings, as all of the LWP developments in Nashville have Class A ratings.

No. 7 Kansas City, Missouri; Cleveland; and Austin, Texas

While all three entries share seventh spot, Cleveland and Austin stand out through their high share of office areas. Out of the total live-work-play square footage for each city, office takes up 31% in Cleveland and 33% in Austin (the fifth-highest percentage of office). By comparison, Kansas City is below the national average, with 17% taken up by office areas. The quality of the LWP developments is also top-notch, with all mixed-use structures in Austin and Cleveland and seven in Kansas City carrying Class A ratings.

No. 8 Washington, D.C., and San Francisco

The nation’s capital and San Francisco share eighth place with seven LWP buildings apiece. San Francisco has the fourth-largest office area within LWP buildings, at 34%. Washington sits at the opposite end, holding the second-lowest share of office area within LWP developments (16%). San Francisco also has the third-highest number of coworking spaces in mixed-use developments; out of the seven LWP structures, six host flex offices. Washington also has a coworking space within its mixed-use developments.

No. 9 Jersey City, New Jersey; Los Angeles; and Rochester, New York

With six mixed-use constructions each, Jersey City, LA and Rochester share ninth place. Jersey City and Rochester stand at opposite ends of the spectrum when it comes to office area in local LWP buildings. While Rochester has the highest share of office space (51%) within live-work-play structures, Jersey City has the lowest (9%). And yet, within that 9%, five coworking spaces took root, marking the fourth-highest flex office share in LWP developments.

As for LA, the city stands out when it comes to quality. LA is one of the few cities where all of the mixed-use developments have Class A ratings, offering residents and workers modern amenities and high-end designs.

No. 10 Cincinnati, Houston and Dallas

Among our last three entries, Dallas is the only one that completed more LWP developments after 2020. Houston and Cincinnati were early to the live-work-play movement of the past decade, opening four and three new buildings, respectively. With retail taking up 16% of the total LWP square footage, Houston has the second-largest shopping area in our list. Although all three entries have more office space than the national average, only Dallas has a coworking space within its mixed-use developments.

Conclusion

As urban areas continue to densify and the lines between living, working and shopping blur further, live-work-play developments are becoming a more visible part of the American cityscape. With coworking spaces increasingly finding a home within these mixed-use structures, LWP buildings are becoming not just a lifestyle choice but a practical solution for the growing hybrid workforce.

This post was originally published here

In a rapidly shifting commercial real estate environment, discipline and patience prove just as important as strategy. In a recent episode of NAIOP’s Inside CRE podcast, Kathryn Hamilton, CAE, vice president for marketing and communications, NAIOP, spoke with Jordan Lott, president and CEO of Lake Washington Partners, to explore how the family-owned firm is navigating today’s challenges while staying focused on long-term success.

From its founding, Lake Washington Partners has taken a generational view of real estate. The firm operates across 10 states and multiple asset classes, including industrial, multifamily and mixed-use. But what sets it apart is how it evaluates growth.

“We don’t view each building individually,” Lott explained. “We’re trying to build one of the U.S.’ great real estate portfolios.”

This portfolio-first mindset has guided the company’s evolution from its industrial roots to a more diversified platform. Each investment is evaluated not just on its own merits, but on how it strengthens the broader portfolio over time. The firm may hold assets across generations.

“If you’re building a building with the mindset that your kids are going to own it 30 years from now… you make very different decisions,” Lott pointed out.

Today’s real estate environment is marked by higher interest rates, tighter capital and broader economic uncertainty. As a result, “[Lake Washington Partners] have chosen to be ultra-conservative at this point in the cycle,” Lott said, though the firm remains active and opportunistic, just focused on the fundamentals. “We’re not trying to financially engineer an outcome.”

Industrial, where the firm got its start, is still a core focus, and Lott expects long-term demand to remain strong. Their presence in multifamily is growing, too – and while Lott acknowledged that near-term rent growth may be limited, he’s confident in long-term fundamentals. “People are always going to need a place to live,” he said, and in a world with increasing unaffordability, there is upward pressure on apartment rents.

One of the biggest hurdles developers face today is entitlement risk, Hamilton noted. Lengthy approval processes, regulatory challenges and community opposition can all delay projects and increase costs. “How do you approach municipal relationships and community alignment so that projects make it across the finish line?” she asked.

“Entitlements are challenging across the country,” Lott agreed, and ultimately add to the cost of a building.

“I will call out Hanover County [located in central Virginia, 12 miles north of Richmond] where we’ve done several projects over the last few years, as being incredible to work with and really forward-thinking about wanting developers to come into their market and to get projects done.”

Shifting gears, Hamilton asked Lott how the firm’s investment decision making today is driven by data and technology versus experience and instinct.

Lott believes strong data combined with disciplined decision-making is what ultimately drives success. And as the use of AI proliferates, Lott emphasized the importance of human judgment.

“I always ask myself, is this a great real estate, or are we just trying to get a deal done?” he said.

Looking ahead, Lott offered straightforward advice for developers preparing for the next cycle: “Take the long-term approach to everything you do. Make sure you operate with integrity always. And be patient.”

Listen to the full episode of the Inside CRE podcast.

This post was created with the assistance of AI tools; all content was reviewed by the author.

This post was originally published here

Many children are drawn to busy construction sites with lumbering excavators digging deep piles of dirt – but not everyone gets to see a construction site up close. Growing up, MaryVictoria Montanari idolized her father, the late Victor L. Barr Jr., an internationally acclaimed architect and partner at the Martin Organization before founding his own architectural firm in the early 1990s. She spent her childhood exploring construction sites wearing a hard hat and tool belt.

Montanari, a recipient of the 2025 Developing Leaders Award, went on to work as an executive assistant to Karen Daroff at Daroff Design in Philadelphia. In this position, Montanari learned about both design and commercial real estate, and how all the members of a team – developers, brokers, designers, architects, etc. – come together on a project. She now works as an associate principal, practice strategy leader, hospitality, with NELSON Worldwide.

Outside of work, Montanari is a member of NAIOP’s Greater Philadelphia chapter and an active member of the chapter’s events and Battle of the Bands committees. She serves as an executive committee member for the Leukemia and Lymphoma Society’s Philadelphia Big Climb and as a board member on the Committee of Seventy, a nonprofit, nonpartisan organization that advocates for the improvement of government in Philadelphia.

NAIOP asked this enterprising young leader about career advancement and the role of AI in CRE.

NAIOP: How has being a member of NAIOP helped your career?

Montanari: NAIOP has expanded my network tenfold. I have met many leading decision makers in Philadelphia through NAIOP signature events, programming and volunteer positions on committees. The membership base of NAIOP is filled with professionals who are eager to give back to young people in their careers; many executive members are passionate about mentorship and fueling the next generation of commercial real estate professionals. This has given me the confidence to connect and converse with senior men and women in prominent real estate companies because I have been able to get to know many of them on a personal level through NAIOP. Lastly, the Battle of the Bands is a prime CRE event on the Philadelphia calendar every year, and serving on the planning committee has polished my leadership skills immensely.

NAIOP: What is one piece of practical advice you would give to Developing Leaders who are just starting out in their careers?

Montanari: Take the time to learn about the people you meet and don’t only stick to business conversation. I am extremely proud of the professional network that I have built, and I am even more proud to consider so many people in that network as friends, too. If you’re going to spend so many hours with people in this industry, at conferences, in business meetings, or in all-day design charettes, you might as well enjoy it! The authentic relationships I have built through networking will span years and career changes, and it’s this “realness” that will take you far.

NAIOP: How do you use artificial intelligence currently? What role do you see AI playing in commercial real estate in the coming years?

Montanari: As the leader of a hospitality design team, I am awed by the time and money AI saves our team during the proposal process for new hotel and casino projects. We showcase the creative boundaries we can push by generating a variety of renderings in a matter of minutes, rather than the days it has historically taken. I see AI’s role in the future as continuing to be an aid for our industry, but I don’t believe it will ever totally replace the brokers, architects and engineers who are so critical to our success.. This industry is people driven and relationship driven at the end of the day, but I’m sure our record keeping and documentation will see an increase in efficiency with AI.

NAIOP: What is something you’re passionate about?

Montanari: Before becoming a mom, I probably would have said I’m passionate about the Philadelphia Eagles (which I am), or physical fitness or traveling, but this question has a different meaning now. Making sure that my family gets the best part of me every day when I get home from work is important to me. I try to be immensely present every minute that I get to spend as a mom and wife because those are the moments I can’t ever get back once they’re gone.

Read more about the 2025 Developing Leaders Award winners in Development magazine. Applications for the 2026 Developing Leaders Award are now open.

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This April 15 marks the first Tax Day under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA). Signed into law on July 4, 2025, this landmark legislation introduces significant benefits for the commercial real estate sector. NAIOP was a strong advocate for the commercial real estate industry during the negotiation of OBBBA and has continued to engage with the Treasury Department and the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) as regulations to implement provisions important to NAIOP members have been promulgated.

Below are summaries of these key provisions and the strategic efforts undertaken by NAIOP’s government affairs team to ensure our members can fully leverage them.

Permanent 100% Bonus Depreciation: Perhaps the most impactful provision of the new law is the permanent extension of 100% bonus depreciation for assets placed into service after Jan. 19, 2025. By allowing businesses to deduct the full cost of qualifying assets in the year they are put into service, this policy provides the long-term certainty necessary for strategic investment. This permanent extension creates a powerful incentive for owners to modernize facilities, automate production and reinvest in critical equipment, aligning tax strategy with immediate operational needs.

Navigating Section 163(j)(7) and New IRS Guidance: The transition from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA) to the OBBBA created a technical hurdle for many in the industry. Under the TCJA, real property trades or businesses (RPTOB) were often forced to make irrevocable elections to either take bonus depreciation or avoid stricter limits on business interest deductions.

To address this, the IRS recently issued Revenue Procedure 2026-17. This guidance is essential for taxpayers who made an RPTOB election under Section 163(j)(7) prior to Jan. 20, 2025. It allows businesses to retroactively withdraw elections made for the 2022, 2023 or 2024 tax years, effectively unlocking the ability to benefit from the updated bonus depreciation provisions.

NAIOP’s Advocacy in Action: The availability of this retroactive relief is a direct result of NAIOP’s advocacy:

  • In February, NAIOP President and CEO Marc Selvitelli sent a  letter to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, urging expedited action to provide the clarifications real estate businesses needed before this year’s filing deadline.
  • NAIOP members and staff also engaged directly with the House Ways and Means Committee to communicate the urgency of this issue to the Treasury Department.

Without this specific IRS guidance – which NAIOP and our industry allies worked to secure – many real estate businesses would have remained locked into prior elections, unable to access the full suite of benefits offered by the OBBBA.

Additional Real Estate Tax Benefits

Section 199A (Pass-Through Deduction): The new law permanently extends the 20% deduction for pass-through business income and REIT dividends. This creates better parity between pass-through owners (effective rate of 29.6%) and corporations (21%).

Taxable REIT Subsidiary (TRS) Test: To increase operational flexibility, the allowable percentage of REIT assets held in a TRS will increase from 20% to 25% for tax years beginning after Dec. 31, 2025.

Business Interest Expense Limitation: For tax years beginning after Dec. 31, 2024, the calculation for the interest expense limitation is permanently shifted to EBITDA (Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization). By allowing the add-back of depreciation and amortization, businesses gain significant borrowing flexibility.

Excess Business Losses: The law permanently extends the disallowance of deductions for excess business losses. The $250,000 threshold is now indexed for inflation, and excess losses will continue to be treated as net operating loss (NOL) carryovers.

Factory Expensing: Owners of qualified production property can now expense 100% of costs if construction begins between Jan. 19, 2025, and Jan. 1, 2029, and the property is placed in service before Jan. 1, 2031.

  • Note: This applies only to owner-occupied nonresidential buildings used for manufacturing, production, or refining.

Condominium Construction: Developers are now granted an exception to the “percentage of completion” accounting method for certain residential contracts. The construction contract period has been extended from two to three years, effectively eliminating “phantom income” issues previously faced by condo developers.

Community and Housing Incentives

Opportunity Zones (OZ): A permanent OZ policy has been established with rolling 10-year designations starting Jan. 1, 2027. While it maintains the original TCJA process, it tightens eligibility by updating “Low-Income Community” (LIC) definitions and removing the “contiguous tract” loophole.

New Markets Tax Credit (NMTC): Originally set to expire at the end of 2025, the NMTC is now permanently extended, providing long-term certainty for urban and rural subsidy planning.

Low-Income Housing Tax Credit (LIHTC): Starting in 2026, the legislation permanently increases state credit allocations by 12% and lowers the bond-financing threshold to 25%, aimed at revitalizing developer interest in affordable housing.

Clean Energy Incentives

While many Inflation Reduction Act incentives have been scaled back, the following remain active under specific timelines:

Incentive Requirement / Deadline
Wind and Solar (48E) Must start construction within 12 months of July 4, 2025; placed in service by Dec. 31, 2027.
Commercial Buildings (179D) Expanded deduction available for projects starting construction by June 30, 2026.
Energy Efficient Homes (45L) Credits expire for homes acquired after June 30, 2026.

Adaptive Reuse

The bipartisan Revitalizing Downtowns and Main Streets Act (H.R. 2410), introduced by Representatives Mike Carey (R-OH) and Jimmy Gomez (D-CA), remains a top priority for NAIOP’s government affairs team. This legislation would create a tax incentive to offset the costs of converting commercial properties into residential units, providing communities with a vital tool to increase the rental housing supply.

Congress returned to Washington this week, with hopes of getting an agreement to resolve the funding standoff for the Department of Homeland Security. Republican congressional leaders and the White House are proposing another reconciliation package to circumvent the Democratic filibuster in the Senate. 

While there is uncertainty about the path ahead, reconciliation could potentially create a legislative vehicle for the inclusion of tax provisions, and NAIOP’s government affairs team will work with members of both the House and Senate to advocate to have adaptive reuse included in that legislation. 

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Adaptive reuse

A record 90,000 apartments are now in the U.S. pipeline of office-to-apartment conversions, according to RentCafe’s latest analysis of Yardi data – a sign that each year shifts adaptive reuse even more from niche strategy to mainstream development tool. The surge comes as office vacancy persists under hybrid work and housing demand remains strong in supply-constrained cities.

“Office-to-residential conversions are no longer just a workaround for distressed buildings – they’re becoming a strategic tool for adding housing in supply-constrained markets,” said Doug Ressler, senior analyst and manager of business intelligence at Yardi Matrix.

A FAST-GROWING PIPELINE FUELED BY MARKET SHIFTS

The rise in conversions reflects two key trends coming together: higher office vacancy rates and an ongoing need for more housing. As companies reassess how much space they need, some office buildings – particularly older ones – are seeing lower demand. At the same time, renters continue to face limited housing options in many desirable urban locations.

This imbalance is creating opportunities for developers to reposition office assets into residential units. Compared to ground-up construction, conversions can offer a faster path to delivery in well-located areas where zoning and land availability might otherwise slow new development.

Still, not every building is a good candidate. “The feasibility of office conversions depends heavily on building design – factors like floor depth, window access and structural layout can make or break a project,” explained Peter Kolaczynski, director of data and research at Yardi.

Most conversion activity is concentrated in properties built between the 1960s and 1990s, which tend to have layouts better suited for residential use.

WHY OLDER OFFICE BUILDINGS ARE LEADING THE WAY

A defining feature of the current conversion wave is the age of the buildings involved. Most projects focus on offices that are already several decades old – not because they are outdated in every sense, but because their design makes them easier to adapt.

Older buildings typically have narrower floor plates, which allow more units to access natural light – a key requirement for residential use. They also often feature operable windows and structural layouts that simplify reconfiguration.

By contrast, newer office buildings tend to have deeper floor plans and large glass facades, which can complicate residential conversions. In many cases, these properties are better suited for continued office use or full redevelopment rather than conversion.

In practice, not every office building can be converted. Even as more projects move forward, only certain properties have the right layout and features to make the switch to residential use.

NEW YORK CITY LEADS, BUT ACTIVITY IS SPREADING NATIONWIDE

New York City leads the office-to-apartment conversion landscape, with the largest pipeline of units nationwide in 2026: over 16,000 units. A combination of older office stock, strong demand for rental housing, and supportive policy changes has helped position the city at the forefront of adaptive reuse.

But the trend is no longer limited to coastal gateways. Cities across the Midwest and South are increasingly embracing conversions to reinvigorate downtown areas and add housing without relying solely on new construction.

Chicago and Cleveland, for example, are making use of historic office buildings to bring residents back into their urban cores. Washington, D.C., is another key player, supported by local incentives aimed at encouraging office repositioning. Meanwhile, Los Angeles is seeing steady activity, particularly in its downtown area.

Future office-to-apartments by metro area (Table)

Smaller metros are also embracing the trend. In these markets, conversions can play a key role in revitalizing central business districts that have seen reduced foot traffic in recent years.

POLICY SUPPORT HELPS CLOSE THE GAP

Office conversions can be complex and costly, often requiring significant upgrades to meet residential building codes and tenant expectations. That’s where policy support comes into play.

Cities across the country are introducing zoning changes, tax incentives and streamlined approval processes to encourage adaptive reuse. New York City, for instance, has expanded eligibility for office-to-residential conversions, opening the door for more projects. Washington, D.C., has implemented financial incentives aimed at jumpstarting activity.

These measures are helping bridge the financial gap that can make conversions challenging, particularly in markets where construction costs remain high.

At the same time, public-private collaboration is becoming increasingly important. By aligning development goals with housing needs, cities can use conversions as a tool to address both office vacancies and housing shortages.

CHALLENGES PERSIST, BUT MOMENTUM IS BUILDING

Despite its growth, the conversion trend still faces limitations. Structural constraints, financing hurdles and high construction costs can all impact project feasibility. In some cases, developers may find that only a portion of a building can be converted, or that costs outweigh potential returns.

Even so, as office demand stabilizes at lower levels and housing needs remain pressing, conversions are likely to remain part of the development mix.

Beyond adding units, these projects also contribute to more balanced urban environments. They help bring residents into office-heavy districts and support local businesses by attracting increased foot traffic and creating more active neighborhoods.

A PRACTICAL PATH FOR ADDING HOUSING

Office-to-apartment conversions are not a silver bullet for the housing shortage, but they are becoming an increasingly practical solution in the right contexts. For developers, they offer a way to reposition underperforming assets. For cities, they provide a strategy to breathe new life into downtown areas. And for renters, they expand housing options in locations that might otherwise see little new supply.

For more insights, charts and a detailed methodology, read the full report on RentCafe.com.

This post was originally published here

Gina Baker Chambers, president of MCB Real Estate, joined NAIOP’s Inside CRE podcast to offer a behind-the-scenes look at how one of the East Coast’s most active development firms is scaling with discipline while maintaining community focus.

MCB has rapidly grown into a $3 billion platform, executing $1.3 billion in acquisitions in 2025 alone. But for Chambers, the appeal of joining the firm after 14 years at Artemis Real Estate Partners wasn’t just about size, it was about potential.

“I felt like MCB really had a lot of the ingredients to scale,” she said, pointing to the firm’s track record, transparency and team. It was “almost a startup challenge,” as she put it, “not from zero, but from a $3 billion base to $10 billion and beyond.”

MCB’s rapid expansion didn’t happen overnight. Chambers credits consistency and focus rather than opportunism.

“We really stay focused on the fundamentals – investing where we see real demand… and where we know we can execute,” she said. “It’s that consistency that we think makes the difference.”

Relationships are equally critical. “Relationships are the foundation of everything,” Chambers emphasized, from capital partners to local communities, adding: “You build trust by continuing to show up, by continuing to do what you said you were going to do, by pushing forward when things get difficult.”

MCB’s strategy centers on building where people actually live, not just where they work. This has led the firm to focus heavily on grocery-anchored retail and mixed-use developments integrated into neighborhoods.

While many investors remain cautious about retail, Chambers sees opportunity, especially after years of market correction.

“I think retail was so out of favor for so long that it was able to quietly work through some of its oversupply,” she said, describing today’s environment as healthier and more demand driven.

MCB prioritizes necessity-based retail over experiential concepts, favoring resilience across economic cycles. “If you over-index to experiential [retail]… those [household expenses] are typically discretionary,” she pointed out.

Two of MCB’s most ambitious projects highlight its long-term vision.

In Baltimore, the redevelopment of Harborplace aims to transform a struggling waterfront into a vibrant, mixed-use destination with residential towers, park space and a new architecturally striking “sail” building as a centerpiece. Community input has been central to the process.

“This was the most massive community outreach project… ensuring that this isn’t just being built for out-of-towners,” Chambers said.

Meanwhile, Viva White Oak near Washington, D.C., is a major master-planned community anchored by residential, retail and life sciences uses, a combination some have coined “MedTail,” a portmanteau of “medical office” and “retail.”

“If you put retail where the folks have to go to their [doctor] appointment, it’s a nice complementary use to co-locate,” Chambers said. “And so, I do think you’ll see a fair bit more of that across the country,” especially with the aging demographic in the U.S.

The project also recently secured a landmark tax increment financing (TIF) deal, unlocking infrastructure investment.

As the real estate landscape evolves, the path forward is clear for Chambers: stay disciplined, strengthen relationships, and keep building where people live.

Listen to the full episode of the Inside CRE podcast.

This post was created with the assistance of AI tools; all content was reviewed by the author.

This post was originally published here

NAIOP members from the New York City Metro and Upstate New York chapters traveled to Albany in late March to engage with state lawmakers in support of our 2026 public policy priorities. Legislative action on these priorities will play an important role in advancing commercial real estate development that spurs economic growth, creates needed jobs and supports communities in providing additional housing, a centerpiece of discussions in meetings this year.

The New York chapters, comprised of hundreds of CRE developers, owners and related professionals, are strongly in support of Governor Kathy Hochul’s reforms to the State Environmental Quality Review Act (SEQRA) within her proposed 2026-2027 budget. Similar to CEQA reforms achieved in California last year, the governor’s SEQRA reforms, as part of her “Let Them Build” initiative, cuts unnecessary red tape and brings more certainty and predictability to the state’s environmental review process of housing projects.

Hochul proposes to expedite and exempt certain housing projects which do not have any significant environmental impact but which remain subject to local zoning and other state regulations and requirements, such as water usage. The expedited environmental review process is for housing projects on “previously disturbed areas” that have already been developed or improved. The governor’s SEQRA reforms will also apply to critical infrastructure projects with no impact on natural resources. The two chapters are hopeful that these commonsense SEQRA reforms will be expanded beyond housing to other property development types.

NAIOP’s New York chapters are also calling on the state Assembly to pass legislation establishing tax credit for the conversion of vacant office space to residential use. S. 9259 / A10192, which provide a 10% “office to residential conversion” tax credit to the costs of qualified office to residential projects outside of New York City, are very similar to NAIOP-supported Revitalizing Downtowns and Main Streets Act in Congress. New York City currently has its own successful conversion tax abatement program.

Qualified conversion projects include office buildings in upstate cities that are at least 50% vacant and converted to residential use in cities with populations under 1 million. The tax credit would also apply to historic rehabilitation projects with similar conversion objectives as well.

NAIOP members also expressed the need for state Assembly members to pursue energy policies designed to generate and transmit needed electricity to meet current and future demand. The state should also recognize and support steps already being taken by CRE to reduce emissions and reassess existing policies and mandates, such as the All-Electric Buildings Act, that hinder economic development and are unachievable within statutory timelines. Members also expressed support for maintaining an “all of the above” option for the source of energy for new and existing buildings.  

Other priorities, particularly for the Upstate New York chapter, include:

  • Revaluation of new wetlands regulations that expand wetlands and their adjacent areas from 3.5 million acres to 5.1 million acres
  • State support for opportunity zones that incentives the revitalization of economically distressed areas.
  • Repeal of the state’s Scaffold Law that holds the employer fully liable, with few exceptions, when a worker is injured from a fall, irrespective of if the worker is at fault.
  • Transparency in how prevailing wages rates are determined and applied on projects.

New York’s legislative Day at the Capitol provided an invaluable opportunity for state lawmakers and their staff to hear directly from the industry about the challenges and solutions facing the commercial development community. Member engagement in the legislative process, advocating for the interests of CRE in state capitals across the country, can affect policy outcomes.

This post was originally published here


A Matter of Perspective

Did you know that perspective was once “discovered”? It always existed, but for centuries, we didn’t know how to represent it. It wasn’t until the early Renaissance that artists like Filippo Brunelleschi unlocked the mathematical principles of perspective to accurately translate three-dimensional reality onto a flat surface.

In many ways, measuring embodied carbon mirrors that same journey. Translating the real-world complexity of buildings, their materials, sourcing, manufacturing, transportation, installation, use and eventual replacement into a model we can measure and analyze is one of the most complex challenges we face today. We rely on layers of abstraction: mathematics, coding, algorithms and databases to simulate multiple iterations and scenarios. And just like perspective, this modeling process is still evolving.

Means and Methods

When my interest in embodied carbon first started to grow, I noticed that most reports emphasized reductions, much like energy savings in energy models. That approach resonated with clients and the commercial real estate industry. But the question quickly became: reductions compared to what?

What is the universal benchmark? Is there an average per square foot? Should it vary by building type? And where were interior finishes in these studies? The truth was: there was no consensus. Defining system boundaries, scopes and baselines was messy and inconsistent. Believe me, we’ve lived through that confusion.

LEED v4 offered a starting point by requiring comparisons to a functionally equivalent baseline of the same size and scope. The Carbon Leadership Forum’s 2019 baseline guidance reinforced this need, while also spotlighting the overlooked impact of interiors. Though structural materials dominate new construction, tenant improvement projects, because of frequent renovations, can rival that impact over time, yet remain largely unsupported by standardized modeling practices.

Faced with these gaps, our team at BEYOND developed a methodology specifically designed for interiors. Like most things that involve calculations, it started with spreadsheets –  massive ones. We manually collected data from Environmental Product Declarations (EPDs), material take-offs and product specifications to piece together a working model.

At its core, our method revolves around these key principles:

  • Real project quantities. Using early design drawings to establish quantities ensures our baseline reflects actual project conditions.
  • Transparent baselines. We model the baseline to match the same size and scope as the proposed project.
  • Reliable carbon factors. We pull embodied carbon values from sources like industry-wide Environmental Product Declarations (EPDs), Carbon Leadership Forum baselines, One Click LCA databases and verified third-party studies.
  • Dynamic updates. As the design evolves, we continually refine the model from early design through bid documentation and all the way through post-value engineering reviews and construction.

This process helps us identify early opportunities where the biggest reductions can be made. For example, during one project, we discovered that 60% of the project’s embodied carbon stemmed from the carpet selection alone, driving us to prioritize low-carbon carpet options.

Lessons Learned: How Projects Made Them Real

Each project we’ve worked on has been an opportunity to refine our approach and better understand what truly drives embodied carbon reductions. The most important lessons we’ve learned come directly from experience:

For example, on the Lord Abbett project, our team was involved from the schematic design stage, working closely with the designers to specify materials and finishing below industry average values. This early alignment helped avoid last-minute compromises and contributed to the project avoiding over 1500 tons of CO₂e. Early collaboration makes all the difference.

“Less is more,” for many things in life, including embodied carbon. Steel and concrete are the usual suspects, but glass, aluminum and gypsum-based products often carry high embodied carbon values too. Identifying and minimizing their use when possible can make a major impact. On projects like Audible and Aspen, post-mortem assessments showed that glass components alone contributed significantly to overall carbon impacts, leading us to reconsider where and how these materials are used.

At Grant Thornton, an eight-story renovation project in Reading, London, reusing elements like glass partitions, carpet, ceiling finishes and access flooring became a core strategy. While these decisions were primarily carbon- driven, they ultimately deliver big budget savings along with a 75% reduction in embodied carbon, a powerful reminder that reuse, when thoughtfully implemented, is a quiet dynamo.

Generic assumptions only go so far. We now require product-specific EPDs for major material categories, especially flooring, ceiling systems and partitions. This pushes manufacturers to improve transparency and allows us to select materials with demonstrably lower global warming potential. We continue to work directly with manufacturers to better understand their products’ emissions. However, having an EPD, versus claiming your product is 90% recycled and powered by photovoltaics, makes a huge difference in credibility.

Transportation-related impacts aren’t always the biggest piece of the puzzle, but locally sourcing materials can still reduce emissions, and support local economies. For Clifford Chance’s NYC headquarters, the design team selected terrazzo with high recycled content of glass, and marble sourced within a 100-mile radius. These choices not only aligned with LEED, WELL, and overall sustainability goals but also contributed to the project’s 28% reduction in embodied carbon.

Plant-based Materials. Biobased products like wood, flax and plant-derived ceiling tiles often come with lower embodied carbon, and store carbon during their lifecycle. In the Skyfall project, combining repurposed access flooring with a palette of light, biobased finishes helped achieve a 78% reduction from baseline. If you’re an embodied carbon nerd, you might be suspicious of counting biogenic carbon storage as a sink that offsets anthropogenic emissions. And yes, there’s a lot of debate around it. We’ll discuss that another day. One thing I feel confident about is that equilibrium is key. If we only build with biobased materials, we’ll create imbalance, just as we have by relying too heavily on petrochemical-based products. Let’s be bold and explore more balanced, alternative solutions. This goes especially for manufacturers.

These five lessons have shaped our methodology and delivered tangible carbon reductions across a wide range of interior projects. We also recognize that as industry baselines improve over time, achieving large percentage reductions becomes harder, even though the design effort often increases. But this is a positive challenge that reflects real progress.

The Road Ahead

Our journey in modeling embodied carbon and using it as a tool to reduce global warming goes beyond specific strategies. It reflects a broader shift underway in our industry. More clients are setting carbon goals early. Designers are integrating embodied carbon into their decision-making, not as an afterthought but as a design driver. Manufacturers are stepping up with more transparent data and better products.

We can’t claim that we’ve perfected the method. Our approach continues to evolve with each project, each challenge and each conversation. But what we do see is progress. It is measurable, impactful and growing. Every baseline we define, every product we scrutinize and every kilogram of CO₂e we avoid brings us closer to a built environment that doesn’t just serve people, but also respects planetary boundaries.

The path to low-carbon design isn’t linear, just like the discovery of perspective. But it is becoming clearer with each project. And if these results are any indication, we’re heading in the right direction.

Read Part 1 of this series: The Fundamentals of Carbon.

Read Part 2 of this series: The Carbon Behind the Curtain.

This post was originally published here


Gen Z housing trends

Digitally fluent, socially connected and budget-conscious, Generation Z is entering the residential market with growing momentum. Over just five years, young renter households skyrocketed from 700,000 to 4.4 million, a sixfold expansion redrawing the map of demand from Birmingham, Alabama, to San Jose, California.

Although the vast majority of twentysomethings continue to rent rather than own, the pace at which young buyers are acquiring property is accelerating even faster – despite representing fewer than 1 million households overall. In fact, only 17% of Gen Zers own a home so far.

A RentCafe analysis of 97 U.S. metropolitan areas – each with at least 15,000 Gen Z households – reveals where the youngest generation of renters and buyers is choosing to live and which markets are recording the sharpest gains.

SUN BELT METROS SURGE AHEAD IN YOUNG RENTER GROWTH WHILE COASTAL HUBS HOLD FIRM

Today’s young renters are looking for cities with employment prospects, healthy wage gains and plenty of outdoor and entertainment options for a balanced lifestyle. But opportunity no longer resides exclusively in expensive coastal corridors. Emerging youth hubs across the South are absorbing much of the demand.

Birmingham, Alabama, exemplifies this shift. Five years ago, the metro barely registered on any Gen Z radar; today it leads the nation in young renter growth with a thirteenfold increase – from 1,683 households in 2018 to 23,859 in 2023. A lower cost of living (9% below the national average), expanding business activity, and diverse entertainment options draw young renters to Alabama’s largest metro.

Huntsville, Alabama, reinforces Alabama’s popularity among Gen Zers, ranking 11th after an eightfold increase.

Raleigh, North Carolina, ranks second with a twelvefold jump (3,079 to 39,887). The metro area’s appeal rests on its emergence as a tech hub and a 299% income gain in five years. Here, nine of 10 Gen Zers rent.

Buffalo, New York, climbed to third via affordability and remote-work appeal. Nashville, Tennessee, is fourth on the list after a ninefold surge that led to more than 65,000 Gen Z renter households in the metro area. Denver, in fifth place, posted a comparable ninefold gain driven by outdoor access and activities, and a strong job market.

Jackson, Mississippi, and Lafayette, Louisiana, round out the Southern contenders as affordable alternatives to coastal metros.

MAJOR METRO AREAS REMAIN POWERFUL DRAWS FOR GEN Z RENTERS

Large gateway cities continue to attract significant Gen Z renter volume. Washington, D.C., ranks seventh with nine times more young renter households in 2023 than in 2018 – reaching 115,473. The capital’s government, policy, technology and consulting sectors, combined with a tripling of typical young-professional income, sustain its pull.

San Jose, California, holds the eighth growth spot while claiming the highest renter share – nearly 95%. Miami follows at ninth and Boston at 10th, each posting eightfold increases.

New York ranks 12th and commands the largest absolute count at close to 280,000 Gen Z renter households after an eightfold expansion. New York City’s appeal is fueled by unmatched opportunities, experiences and networking, but also the quadrupling of Gen Z’s average income. Minneapolis and Philadelphia each recorded sevenfold gains; across all three metros, eight of every 10 Gen Zers rent.

CALIFORNIA AND TEXAS MARKETS REGISTER THE DENSEST YOUNG RENTER POPULATIONS

San Jose tops the concentration rankings with 95% of Gen Zers in the renter category. Four additional California metros feature in the top 20: San Francisco at 92%, Los Angeles at roughly 91%, San Diego at 91%, and Sacramento, California, at about 88%. Despite paychecks tripling in five years, elevated home prices keep ownership out of reach, reinforcing renter density.

Texas contributes four metros as well. College Station, Texas, places third at 93%, driven by Texas A&M University’s enrollment expansion. Austin, Texas, ranks sixth at approximately 92%. College-town Lafayette, Indiana, is the runner-up at 94%, while Raleigh and Ann Arbor, Michigan, each show nine of 10 Gen Z households renting.

AFFORDABLE HEARTLAND AND MID-SIZED MARKETS CAPTURE FIRST-TIME GEN Z BUYERS

Lower mortgage rates between 2020 and 2022 triggered the first substantial wave of Gen Z home purchases, concentrated in smaller and mid-sized metros across the South and Midwest where affordable prices coincide with strong income gains.

Tucson, Arizona, leads by a wide margin: Owner-occupied Gen Z households surged 170-fold, from 35 in 2018 to roughly 6,000 in 2023 – aided by the University of Arizona’s presence and a market far less expensive than Phoenix. Jacksonville, Florida and Dayton, Ohio, follow with approximately 60-fold jumps; both offer below-average living costs and solid wage growth.

Omaha, Nebraska, recorded a 44-fold increase to exceed 9,000 households, buoyed by housing costs roughly 20% under the national benchmark. Lafayette, Louisiana, ranks fifth with more than 3,400 homeowners in 2023 versus 78 in 2018 – 22% of all young-adult households. Louisville, Kentucky; Lincoln, Nebraska; San Antonio, Texas; Des Moines, Iowa; Lansing, Michigan; and Buffalo, New York – the highest-ranking Northeastern metro – also posted rapid gains.

WHICH MARKETS HOLD THE GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF GEN Z HOMEOWNERS?

Among the 97 metros studied, 10 have more than one-quarter of Gen Zers owning a home. Ogden, Utah, leads at approximately 41%, aided by proximity to Salt Lake City and local homeownership assistance programs. Detroit follows with one-third of young adults owning homes after household counts surpassed 29,500. Birmingham, Alabama, and Jackson, Mississippi, each register 30%, propelled by incomes that more than tripled. Greenville, South Carolina, ranks next at about 28%.

At the opposite extreme, San Jose, California, has the smallest Gen Z homeowner share at just 5% – underscoring how affordability constraints and a preference for flexibility keep nearly all young residents in the rental market.

For more insights, charts, and a detailed methodology, read the full report on RentCafe.com.

This post was originally published here


Last week, the Senate passed the 21st Century Road to Housing Act by a large bipartisan margin of 89-10, sending a major piece of housing legislation to the House of Representatives for its approval. The Senate combined its bill with a version passed by the House earlier, expanding and revising certain provisions, and excluding others. Both bills aim to increase the supply of affordable housing. Specifically, the Senate’s bill would increase the supply of affordable housing by, among other things, streamlining regulatory reviews for housing projects, promoting housing development in opportunity zones, increasing Federal Housing Administration loan limits and supporting manufactured housing.

While NAIOP and it national housing association allies supported legislation designed to increase housing supply and help address the current housing affordability crisis in many of our communities, the Senate bill contains a very problematic provision that would have the opposite effect. The Senate included language, demanded by President Donald Trump, designed to restrict the purchase of single-family homes by large institutional investors that own 350 homes or more. But in doing so, it would also undermine a nascent build-to-rent (“BTR”) industry that is increasing the supply of rental housing available to families – an outcome we do not believe was intended.

Preventing large institutional investment companies from purchasing existing single-family homes for rental – essentially taking them off the market for families seeking homeownership – has become a potent populist issue and one that Trump has embraced, issuing an executive order earlier this year titled Stopping Wall Street from Competing with Main Street Homebuyers.” This was one issue on which Trump and Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren agreed.

However, Section 901 of the Senate legislation establishing the institutional investor ban also includes language that would require BTR developers, who are building units meant specifically to create rental communities, to sell these units within seven years to individual buyers. This seven-year disposition requirement would effectively eliminate the production of BTR housing at a time when public policy should be increasing housing supply and expanding rental choices for families.

Recently, BTR housing has emerged as a major source of new rental housing production for families who prefer these types of units to apartments. Many times the underlying zoning for these developments is multifamily, and the rental homes are all located on a single tax parcel and were never intended for individual sale. These communities often come with amenities and are fully staffed with onsite maintenance, the costs of which a future homeowners association would be unable to assume. The appeal and benefit of these communities is that residents are not forced to shoulder many of the maintenance responsibilities or costs of homeownership.

Notably, Trump’s executive order directing federal agencies to stop assisting large institutional investors from purchasing existing single-family homes provides a specific exemption for BTR communities, stating that guidance from federal agencies issued as a result of the order “shall include appropriate, narrowly tailored exceptions for build-to-rent properties that are planned, permitted, financed, and constructed as rental communities, and such other appropriate, narrowly tailored exceptions as the applicable agency may determine appropriate . . . ”

During the Senate floor debate of the housing bill, some Democrats also acknowledged that the seven-year disposition language would need to be revised. Senator Brian Schatz (D-HI), for example, warned that the bill could undermine housing production, saying that ”while there are a lot of good things in this bill that are kind of on the pro-housing supply side, what we are about to do is essentially ban a specific kind of housing.”

Procedurally, the House could vote on the Senate-passed legislation without any changes, or it could demand changes, which would require that both chambers pass a compromise, identical bill. NAIOP and national housing industry advocates have raised serious concerns with members of the House and Senate over the BTR language, and several House Republicans have called for revisions, as well as other changes to the Senate legislation before the bill is allowed to be voted on in the House. Representative French Hill (R-AR), chairman of the House Financial Services Committee with jurisdiction over housing legislation, is also calling for changes.

While the sponsors of the Senate’s legislation were hoping that Trump would put pressure on House Republicans to force a vote, he has not in fact done so. For now, it seems the House and Senate will have to work out their differences on BTR and other issues before the major housing legislation can be sent to the president’s desk for his signature.

This post was originally published here


In the latest episode of the Inside CRE podcast, NAIOP President and CEO Marc Selvitelli sat down with Carleton Riser, president of Transwestern, for a wide-ranging conversation on development strategy, market timing and how smart capital is positioning for the next upcycle. With more than 30 years in the business, Riser has seen multiple downturns, and the lessons he’s carried forward are shaping how he approaches today’s unique environment.

Another Cycle, Another Lesson

The dot-com bust underscored the fact that “credit actually matters,” Riser said, after markets cratered on the back of “phantom absorption” (where commercial real estate space appears occupied on paper but goes unused). The Global Financial Crisis taught him that “having flexibility in your capitalization matters because when the tide goes out and there’s no liquidity in the market, you need to make sure you’ve got some sort of staying power.”

More recently, the COVID-19 pandemic fueled a surge in multifamily and industrial development, where “the markets got out over their skis, inflation came in, and then an interest rate spike [occurred]. From a development standpoint, we’ve been in a three-year downturn because of that,” he said.

Thankfully, “we have a very diversified business, both geographically and by product type, which I think has served us well through these different fluctuations in the market,” Riser said.

Making Smarter Bets in Today’s Market

With capital markets disruptive and liquidity still constrained, Riser says Transwestern evaluates new projects in two different ways: the cost of upfront pursuit capital and the potential capital markets environment 9-18 months down the road when institutional partners would likely join the deal.

That means only the strongest opportunities make the cut. “The better deals are the first deals to get done as we emerge from this trough,” Riser said. Transwestern is prioritizing projects in submarkets with strong fundamentals, backed by smart underwriting and realistic assumptions around occupancy and rents.

Mixed-use Success Means Flexibility

Mixed-use development is complex but rewarding, Riser said, and requires discipline from day one. Don’t assume a mixed-use project can fix a weaker location: every individual use must stand on its own. Flexibility is key; plans must be able to adapt as market conditions evolve without requiring a complete redesign. Capital stacks should allow each component of the project to attract the right investors.

Avoid what Riser’s team has described as “broken teeth” – a missing piece of the “mix” in a mixed-use project – “which can send your plan sideways… and can be fatal to the first phase.” The complementary nature of the different product types working together is absolutely critical.

Capital is Scarce and Selective

Capital scarcity, particularly for multifamily development, is shaping strategy, Riser said. Investors with dozens of opportunities may pursue only a handful, so differentiation is essential.

On the other hand, mixed-use has become appealing to many partners as both a defensive and offensive play. “We know that if executed properly, a mixed-use project, especially in a Sunbelt market, will drive superior occupancy levels and superior rental rates if that retail offering and that placemaking aspect of the environment is compelling for those ventures as a differentiator versus their alternatives,” Riser said.

Transwestern is staying away from preferred equity and mezzanine debt structures, preferring a more conservative capital stack. “The more leverage, the more pressure you’ve got on your capital stack, the less staying power you have in the event of a market sea change,” he explained.

Fortunately, construction lending has improved, and Riser sees solid absorption trends across the Sunbelt. “In some of these markets, we think there’s a rationale to build today. In some of them, it’s more towards the end of 2026. In some of those, it’s more towards 2027. But we’ve seen a lot of robust absorption in those markets.”

Positioning for the Next Upcycle

Asked what developers should be doing now, Riser didn’t hesitate: control land. But do so carefully. Buying too early or without a clear picture of where capital markets are headed can be risky.

“None of us has a perfect crystal ball, but we are spending considerably more time these days trying to forecast out to early 2027, early 2028, and trying to get comfortable with that when we are putting capital at risk today,” he said.

Success in development is less about predicting the future and more about preparing for a wide range of possibilities.

Listen to the full episode of the Inside CRE podcast.

This post was originally published here


As February drew to a close, NAIOP members from Utah and Minnesota traveled to their respective state capitols to meet with lawmakers and advance the legislative interests of commercial real estate. The meetings with lawmakers provided important opportunities for NAIOP and the industry to build relationships and educate lawmakers on the important role of commercial real estate development in providing economic opportunities, creating jobs and strengthening the quality of life within communities. These relationships ensure that the interests of CRE are taken into consideration during policy debates.

Following breakfast under the capitol dome, NAIOP Utah members met with several lawmakers, including Rep. Mike Schultz, speaker of the state House of Representatives. Schultz highlighted the strength of state policies in attracting and retaining private business, along with infrastructure investments that support economic growth and the movement of goods and services between communities. U.S. News and World Report recently ranked Utah as the overall No. 1 state for the fourth consecutive year. Their No. 1 ranking is based on the economy, education, fiscal stability, crime and corrections, health care, and infrastructure. Schultz concluded by expressing concern over outside political pressure and court decisions that limit the legislature’s authority to govern under the state constitution. He made reference to the legislature authority to draw political boundaries.

Utah members also heard from state Senator Calvin Musselman, a real estate sales professional, who is sponsoring SB 245, Impact Fee Amendments. Impact fees, also known as linkage fees or proffers, depending on the state, are one-time fees paid by developers to help cover the costs of infrastructure and other public services associated with development projects. Members voiced support for the legislation that would require local governments to apply the fee within the service area that is impacted by the new development, not geographically unconnected areas of the municipality.

In Minnesota, over 60 CRE industry representatives, including NAIOP members, participated in the 2026 Day at the State Capitol in St. Paul. Numerous lawmakers from both parties provided their perspectives on the legislative outlook and challenges heading into the fall election. Following their remarks, attendees had the opportunity to ask questions and educate policymakers on the industry’s priorities for this year. NAIOP Minnesota’s 2026 priorities include taxes, energy and sustainability; vibrancy (i.e., removal of regulatory barriers to commerce); and workforce development.

The current challenges in Minnesota’s legislative process also involve the political structure of the two chambers and the declining influence of a governor not seeking reelection. The state House of Representatives is currently tied – 67 Democratic-Farmer-Labor (DFL) to 67 Republicans – following several special elections and the assassination of former Speaker Melissa Hortman. Committees are presently co-chaired by a member from each party, who alternate presiding over hearings.

On the other side of the capitol, DFL holds a narrow one seat advantage over Republicans at 34 to 33. Several special elections occurred last year because of resignations, criminal convictions, and the unexpected passing of Senator Bruce Anderson. With no clear advantage, the political rhetoric from both parties in St. Paul is focused on government fraud, waste and inefficiencies.

Lane Thor with Ryan Tax Firm also testified on behalf of CRE in support of HF 2959 during a House Judiciary meeting that same morning. This important NAIOP-supported legislation is intended to protect the privacy of data and lease agreements from public release if property tax assessments are appealed and go to court. The NAIOP chapter and coalition intend to continue their advocacy in support of the bill through individual meetings and other legislative opportunities until the legislature’s adjournment sine die on May 18.

These legislative advocacy days within state capitols play a critical role for lawmakers to directly hear from constituents on the priorities of NAIOP and the CRE industry within their respective states. These educational meetings continue to provide a platform for members to build relationships and engage policymakers that may influence policy outcomes. NAIOP chapters across the country will be holding their own “Days at the Capitol” throughout the remainder of 2026.  

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From advanced manufacturing to hyperscale data centers, many modern industrial developments are requiring unprecedented levels of energy – and the demand is growing exponentially. A panel of experts at I.CON West this week moderated by Angela Gomez-Jones, RPA, CPM, partner, Endeavor Agency, discussed the challenges in locating and securing power, as well as strategies to overcome grid constraints, improve energy efficiency and use artificial intelligence to model and plan power needs.

Joining Gomez-Jones were Amanda Criscione, vice president, development, Link Logistics Real Estate; Mike Englhard, chief development officer, TeraWatt Infrastructure; John Gaglio, president, Newport Utility Consulting; and Matthew Goelzer, AIA, LEED AP, principal, MG2.

The number of U.S. data centers has more than doubled between 2018 and 2021. Fueled by investments in AI, that number has already doubled again, began Gomez-Jones, sharing a statistic from the Lincoln Institute of Land Policy.

Goelzer doesn’t see demand slowing anytime soon, even as available land and power constraints begin to throttle development: “AI demand is going to continue to drive it … We’re anticipating in the next five years you’re going to see more bumps in efficiency that’ll allow us to go back and retrofit existing centers to be able to drive more power through,” said Goelzer.

Gomez-Jones asked Gaglio to compare the energy demands of data centers to a typical residential site or office building. “Data centers compared to everything else – it’s absolutely astronomical the amount of power [required]. I like to compare it to an aircraft carrier relative to a small sailboat.”

However, many buildings are initially built with transformers much larger than what is required for the actual demand load of the tenant. “I think what you’re going to start to see are utilities utilizing AI to study the demand load of every building and then we might start to see things like transformers being downsized to free up capacity in the grid,” said Gaglio.

“We’re also starting to see utilities charge you if you’re not using the power,” said Goelzer. If a developer requests a certain amount of power and only uses a fraction of it, a utility may bill the developer back for the infrastructure they built to support the power usage originally projected.

“Even with electric vehicle charging [facilities], we’re having to put up bonds or deposits for three years of our utility bill that we say we are going to use,” Goelzer added. He’s seen these range anywhere from $200,000 to $1 million.

“We’ve done a sweep of our existing assets to get an understanding of what we have today and what we need to do to build for the future,” said Criscione. “We’re very cognizant of power and the race to get it, but we’re also making sure that we’re educating ourselves to know that we are providing ample amount of power but allowing for flexibility so that we’re not in a situation where we’re saying we need more than we do.”

Gaglio agreed with Link Logistics’ approach, and emphasized the importance of early, accurate planning. Developers who bring utilities precise load data and not inflated worst-case estimates secure power far more quickly.

As power needs surge, utilities are struggling to keep up. Power grids designed decades ago are not designed for the loads needed today.

Englhard shared that representatives from Southern California Edison said, “‘For the last 50 years, we have had a half-percent increase in demand every year… Four years ago, that went from half a percent a year to 4% a year.’” The steep increase in demand caught the utility flat-footed, but they’re working to catch up; there are a lot of advancements happening to the grid in California and elsewhere, he said.

Meanwhile, grid congestion has forced some developers to go offsite to find available capacity, with major users stretching up to nine miles away to connect to power – an extremely costly solution. “The cost of that comes at about $2.5 million/mile to run those ducts without pulling any wire – just to get the pathway there,” Englhard added.

On the plus side, Goelzer said he’s found that when he talks to city leaders, they often understand what developers are up against in terms of securing power supply.

 “As long as we’re able to demonstrate that we’re ready to go when power is ready to be there, we find that most cities are willing to meet us in that spot.” He stressed the importance of having real conversations, understanding the city’s priorities, and building relationships.

If you do that, “you can still move projects forward, because I think as a community, we all understand what we’re up against.”


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Artificial intelligence is reshaping how deals are sourced, analyzed, negotiated and managed across the industrial sector. At NAIOP’s I.CON West this week in Los Angeles, a panel of experts with diverse roles and perspectives discussed efficiency gains, risk considerations and the competitive implications for firms that adopt (or hesitate).

Denice Tokunaga, partner, Seyfarth Shaw LLP, moderated the discussion, which included Jay Carle, partner, Seyfarth Shaw LLP; Chris Karacic, due diligence director, LBA Realty; Will Pearce, CEO and co-founder, Orbital; and Maria Poyer; head of acquisitions, Verrus.

Poyer shared how AI-driven platforms have transformed early site selection. What previously required weeks of analyst time now can be completed in a single day, often by just one person. “So really what that means is the speed of knowing site constraints is much faster. And in the development cycle, that’s everything,” she said. That acceleration has real implications for how many opportunities a team can evaluate, and how quickly they can pursue the most viable ones.

Tasks that once consumed hours or days – pulling jurisdictional data, comparing rent rolls, summarizing long leases – can now be accomplished in a fraction of the time. Poyer acknowledged that there’s a lot of discussion in the market about AI eliminating certain jobs, “but really it’s just transferring the type of analysis that needs to be done by junior folks and senior folks, rather than focusing their time on some of the minutia.”

Karacic shared another use case: “If you run into an issue with a seller that you need to creatively think around, you can prompt AI to give you some methods to solve the issue.”

As the CEO of an AI-enabled real estate technology company, Pearce presented an optimistic view: that AI represents the most significant technical paradigm shift in our lifetimes. In his view, nearly every step of a transaction that involves reasoning, pattern recognition or analysis will be accelerated and eventually executed by AI.

He highlighted the rapid pace of improvement: The latest AI models are doubling in capability once every seven months, so the professionals using them need to continuously recalibrate their expectations.

Optimism will get you far, but pragmatism has its value, too. Carle emphasized that while technology evolves quickly, law and regulation do not – and corporate governance must bridge that gap. Firms must know exactly what data they’re inputting into AI systems, where it’s going, and how it will be handled. Confidential lease terms and investor data, for instance, should never be uploaded into publicly available AI tools.

Companies need clear policies, audit trails and human oversight. It’s critical to have a reasonable validation process for AI outputs and build it into your governance, and clearly define what requires human review. Financial models and major underwriting decisions still need “a human in the loop,” as Carle put it.

With this tech acceleration in hyperdrive, what’s next?

“I would say robotics, and the interaction of AI and robotics, to support real estate construction,” said Pearce, and other panelists nodded in agreement.

Karacic shared a more near-term prediction. “Right now, a lot of the way that we use AI is through prompting… we ask the AI to abstract a lease. Then we ask the AI to look at a credit profile for a tenant. Then we ask it to run an environmental history.” Users have to prompt the AI several times at various steps. Karacic expects that as agentic AI tools – which act mostly autonomously with limited human supervision to accomplish pre-determined goals – continue to be more integrated into the due diligence process, the AI will do a lot of that by itself.

“And it should be able to compare different deliverables against each other,” he added. “So, for example, it’ll be able to look at an environmental history report, assess the risk, and then go look at the financial underwriting and say, ‘Well, do we need to tweak the underwriting based on the environmental risks that I just learned about?’”

Pearce brought up the flywheel effect: As AI capabilities grow, the speed of building AI products increases, which further strengthens AI itself – a cycle that drives the exponential growth AI researchers often discuss.

“I think things are going to get pretty scary pretty quickly,” said Pearce, clarifying: “Scary like good scary, like there’s going to be a world of opportunity with AI to disrupt real human work.”


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Asian industrial capital

Global capital flows into U.S. industrial real estate are evolving, but one trend remains consistent: Asian investors continue to view the United States as one of the most attractive markets for long-term investment.

That was the central message from a panel at NAIOP’s I.CON West this week in Los Angeles moderated by Garry Weiss, SIOR, vice president – national director business development and strategic initiatives, ARCO/Murray. The panel featured Gunnar Branson, CEO of AFIRE; Richard Prokup, CEO, U.S. logistics, Mapletree Investments; and Cecilia Xu, managing principal, GT Global Advisory.

The speakers explored the motivations behind Asian investment in U.S. industrial real estate, the risks shaping decision-making, and what developers and capital partners should understand as global capital continues to evolve.

According to Prokup, the current cycle is characterized by a large amount of capital waiting to be deployed after several years of caution. “Everybody was on the sidelines for the last few years,” Prokup said. “There was uncertainty about demand, and uncertainty about the economy and rising interest rates. But these organizations still have billions of dollars they need to place every year.”

Now that market conditions are stabilizing and industrial fundamentals remain strong, capital is beginning to move.

The scale of the U.S. market also makes it difficult for global investors to ignore. “If you want to place capital at scale, the United States is really the only place where you can do that,” Prokup said. “The industrial market here is massive compared with most other regions.” Branson agreed, noting that the U.S. represents roughly half of the world’s investable institutional real estate.

“In most countries, you’re lucky to have one global city,” Branson said. “In the United States, you have about a dozen. That scale is incredibly attractive to global investors.”

GEOPOLITICAL UNCERTAINTY IS NOT SLOWING INVESTMENT

While headlines often focus on political tensions, tariffs and shifting global alliances, panelists said those factors are not deterring investment as much as some might expect.

Instead, geopolitical uncertainty often reinforces the appeal of the U.S. market.

“There’s what people say emotionally about politics, and then there’s what they actually do with their capital,” Branson said. “Those two things are often very different.” According to Branson, investors may voice concerns about political volatility, but they continue to view the U.S. as a relatively safe environment for long-term real estate investment.

Xu added that global trade tensions can even strengthen the case for U.S. industrial development. “If companies are worried about tariffs or supply chain disruptions, one way to reduce that risk is to move operations into the United States,” she said. “That means more demand for logistics and manufacturing space.”

Prokup said that Singapore-based global real estate developer, investor and manager Mapletree has already seen that shift in tenant demand. “About half of the major leases we signed last year involved companies bringing manufacturing or distribution back onshore.”

DEVELOPMENT OPPORTUNITIES ARE EMERGING

Prokup also pointed to a significant opportunity that emerged during the past year as construction pipelines declined across many markets. As new development slowed, Mapletree began building a new pipeline of projects.

“The pipeline under construction kept shrinking,” Prokup said. “At the same time, demand was still there. We started asking where the new buildings would come from in 2026 and 2027.”

In response, the firm moved aggressively into development.

“We’ve built about a half-billion-dollar development pipeline over the last year,” Prokup said. “We saw a window where there simply weren’t many competitors pursuing new projects.”

However, he noted that development activity is beginning to pick up again as other investors recognize the same opportunity.

PARTNERSHIP REMAINS KEY TO ATTRACTING GLOBAL CAPITAL

For developers and operators looking to work with Asian capital, panelists emphasized the importance of building long-term relationships rather than focusing on individual transactions.

Xu explained that relationship-building is particularly important for many Asian investors. “The first deal is always the hardest,” Xu said. “There is a long process of building trust and completing due diligence. But once that relationship is established, you often gain a very loyal capital partner.”

Those relationships frequently lead to multiple investments across different market cycles. “It’s not just about one deal,” Xu said. “It’s about working together over time.”

Branson also cautioned that “Asian capital” should not be viewed as a single group. “Asia is half the world,” he said. “There are many different countries, cultures and investment strategies involved.”

Understanding those differences can help developers build stronger partnerships and attract long-term capital.

A CHANGING GLOBAL INVESTMENT LANDSCAPE

Looking ahead, panelists expect the mix of international investors in U.S. real estate to continue evolving.

Branson noted that capital activity from countries such as Australia and Japan is increasing in the U.S. market. “They have enormous pension systems and limited opportunities to deploy capital domestically,” Branson said. “That’s pushing them to look abroad.”

Over time, Xu expects Asian investors to become even more integrated into the U.S. real estate landscape. “In five years, Asian capital will feel much less ‘foreign,’” she said. “Many of these investors have already been active in the U.S. for decades.”

As global capital continues to flow toward stable, large-scale markets, panelists agreed that U.S. industrial real estate is likely to remain a primary destination. “The fundamentals are still very strong,” Prokup said. “And when investors look around the world, the U.S. continues to stand out.”


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This post is brought to you by JLL, the social media and conference blog sponsor of NAIOP’s I.CON West 2026. Learn more about JLL at www.us.jll.com or www.jll.ca.

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