Elon Musk Says Tesla Robotaxis Could Go Widespread This Year, But Prediction Markets Say ‘Nah’

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Elon Musk said Monday that he expects fully self-driving Tesla cars without human safety monitors to spread across the United States later this year, doubling down on a robotaxi timeline he has missed repeatedly over the past decade.

Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) currently operates monitor-free robotaxis in Austin, Dallas and Houston, and received a permit for a ride-hailing service in Arizona last November.

Speaking by video link to the Smart Mobility Summit in Tel Aviv, Musk told the audience that nationwide expansion is coming this year.

The California Problem

The most liquid market on Musk’s near-term promises sits on Polymarket, where traders price just a 10% chance that Tesla launches unsupervised robotaxis in California by June 30.

More than $105,000 has traded on the contract.

The skepticism is driven by hard regulatory math.

Tesla has not filed for a California …

Full story available on Benzinga.com

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