As Elon Musk-led SpaceX prepares for its IPO, traders on prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket are betting on the listing to be delayed beyond its planned June timeline.
90% Chance SpaceX IPO Gets Delayed
91% of the bettors on Polymarket on Sunday thought that the IPO would take place before September 30, while over 94% of the bets were placed on the IPO not happening before December 31. On Kalshi, bettors thought that there was a 92% and 93% chance that the IPO would take place in November and December, respectively.
Interestingly, according to the contract, there was a 97% chance that the IPO would take place before June 1st next year.
On the other hand, the contract on Polymarket suggests bettors think there’s only a 46% chance the IPO takes place before June 30, while on …
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