Elon Musk’s SpaceX put more than 10,000 active Starlink satellites into orbit this week with back-to-back Falcon 9 launches.
The milestone matters because Starlink is the revenue engine behind what may be the largest IPO in history, and prediction market traders are acting like it’s nearly a done deal.
Polymarket gives SpaceX an 87% chance of being the biggest IPO by market cap in 2026, with $1.2 million in total volume. Anthropic, OpenAI and Discord are some of the other companies with rumoured 2026 IPO’s.
A separate timing contract has June 30 at 60%, making a summer debut for SpaceX the base case.
Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) leads the underwriter race at 57%, a reversal from earlier this year when Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) was the frontrunner.
Both have long Musk ties; they …
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