Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) reports first-quarter earnings after the bell today.
The company has beaten revenue estimates in six straight quarters and topped EPS estimates in nine of the last 10. Shares closed Tuesday near $264, just below last week’s all-time high.
Polymarket gives Amazon a 94% chance of beating its $1.65 GAAP EPS consensus.
The more interesting action is on Kalshi, where traders are betting on which specific words Andy Jassy will say on the call.
What Words Does Kalshi Predict?
“Tariff” sits at 96%. Trump’s original tariffs were struck down in February and replaced with a temporary 15% import tariff that expires this summer.
Amazon’s pre-tariff inventory cushion ran out last fall; tonight’s call should tell us how much the price hikes are biting.
“Live Sports” is also at 96%. Prime Video just wrapped its biggest-ever Thursday Night Football season at 15.3 million average viewers and added NBA playoff games this month.
Sports is the highest-attention …
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