McDonald’s Corp. (NYSE:MCD) reports first-quarter earnings Thursday before the bell, giving CEO Chris Kempczinski another shot at the Big Arch pitch after March’s viral video, where he barely bit into the burger he was promoting.
Polymarket gives MCD a 77% chance of topping the $2.75 non-GAAP consensus, and a 4% chance Kempczinski will be out as CEO by June 30th, down from 30% shortly after the video was released.
What Kalshi Predicts
The more tradeable action is on Kalshi, where contracts price the words Kempczinski will use on the 8:30 a.m. ET call.
“Big Arch” sits at 91%. McDonald’s biggest-ever burger landed in U.S. restaurants on March 3 after a viral run in the UK and Ireland, where it is now permanent. It is the centerpiece of management’s beef-quality push.
“Loyalty” is at 89%. CFO Ian Borden has called it the chain’s “single most important digital metric,” and said that U.S. customers visit 26 times …
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