Lethal Hantavirus Outbreak Jumps From Cruise Ship To Switzerland: What Do Prediction Markets Say About A New Pandemic?

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A returning passenger from the hantavirus-stricken MV Hondius cruise ship tested positive in Switzerland on Wednesday, the first off-ship case from an outbreak that has killed three people on board.

He is one of roughly 23 passengers who scattered home from Saint Helena on April 23, before contact tracing began.

The man initially tested negative on returning home, but the Andes virus can incubate for as long as eight weeks, the World Health Organization said.

The Hondius set sail from Ushuaia, Argentina, on April 1, and within 10 days the first passenger was dead. Argentine investigators believe he and his wife, who later died in a Johannesburg hospital, contracted the virus on a pre-cruise birdwatching tour at a local landfill. A German woman became the third fatality on May 2.

Prediction Markets See A Contained Cluster

Polymarket thinks there is a 10% chance we see a …

Full story available on Benzinga.com

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