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Odds of a U.S. ground invasion of Iran have surged on the cryptocurrency prediction market, despite President Donald Trump’s assertion that military objectives are nearly complete.
Will US Troops Enter Iran?
The probability that U.S. troops physically enter Iran by the end of April surged from 42% to 57% in a week on Polymarket. The odds of U.S. boots on the ground before year-end rose to 72%, up from 63% the week before.
Nearly $23 million has been wagered on the outcome. U.S. military personnel must physically enter Iran’s land territory to qualify. Operations limited to air or sea will not qualify.
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