UPS Raises Full-Year Outlook as Revenue Climbs 6.7%, but Quarterly Profit Falls
UPS raised its full-year revenue and earnings outlook Tuesday after third-quarter sales rose 6.7% to $22.9 billion, with growth across all three business segments ahead of the holiday shipping season.
The package-delivery company now expects 2026 revenue of about $92.6 billion, adjusted operating profit of about $8.75 billion and adjusted earnings of about $7.28 a share. Its adjusted free-cash-flow target rose to about $6.1 billion, according to its October 27 earnings release.
The stronger outlook came despite a decline in quarterly earnings. Net income fell to $1.163 billion from $1.311 billion a year earlier. Reported diluted earnings were $1.37 a share, down from $1.55, while adjusted earnings were $1.69, compared with $1.74.
UPS reported operating profit of $1.744 billion, compared with $1.804 billion a year earlier. Adjusted operating profit was $2.054 billion, down from $2.132 billion. The adjusted operating margin narrowed to 9.0% from 10.0%.
U.S. revenue grows as daily package volume falls
U.S. domestic revenue rose 4.5% to $14.865 billion, helped by a 6.1% increase in revenue per package. Average daily domestic package volume fell to 15.621 million from 16.150 million. The segment’s adjusted operating profit rose to $1.034 billion from $905 million.
International revenue increased 7.1% to $5.007 billion, driven by a 15% increase in revenue per package. Supply Chain Solutions revenue rose 18.2% to $2.981 billion, primarily on forwarding and logistics growth, including healthcare.
That business recorded a $182 million goodwill impairment. UPS said the quarter’s reported results included a net charge of $279 million, or 32 cents a share, reflecting transformation costs and the impairment, partly offset by a gain on the sale of MD-11 assets.
The company also cautioned that the prior-year quarter included a $330 million pretax gain from a sale-leaseback transaction in Supply Chain Solutions, equivalent to 30 cents a share.
Higher holiday-quarter forecast
UPS now expects fourth-quarter revenue of approximately $25.7 billion and adjusted operating profit of approximately $3.3 billion. CEO Carol Tomé said the company was entering the holiday shipping season with its most automated and efficient network to date.
The company said its network reconfiguration and efficiency programs delivered about $1.8 billion in benefits in the first nine months of 2026. It expects nearly $3 billion for the full year, with its Efficiency Reimagined initiative continuing through the fourth quarter of 2027.
UPS kept its full-year capital spending forecast at approximately $3 billion and dividend payments at around $5.4 billion, subject to board approval. Tomé and CFO Brian Dykes are scheduled to discuss the results on an 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time conference call.
File photo: UPS delivery truck, photographed in 2016. Credit: Mike Mozart / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 2.0. Image resized.
JBizNews Desk | Atlanta
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